Three Roads to Objective Probability
Tim Maudlin
Abstract This chapter considers three ways in which probabilities may be derived from a physical theory without adverting to subjective considerations. The first derives from a fundamentally stochastic dynamics that implies transition chances at the level of natural law. The second is a Humean approach, in which probabilities are deployed as part of a compact system for conveying information about the structure of the Humean mosaic, i.e. the distribution of local physical quantities in space-time. The last employs either deterministic or stochastic dynamics together with a measure of typicality, i.e. a measure of sets of initial conditions that count as extremely large. Probabilities emerge in this setting as typical frequencies, that is, frequencies exhibited by most initial conditions.
•Sep 1, 2011•12 citations