Basket option pricing often relies on Monte Carlo estimation, for which quantum amplitude estimation (QAE) provides a quadratic speed-up. However, the practical benefit of QAE can be limited by the depth of the state-preparation circuit. We propose a structure-aware quantum state-preparation framework for QAE-based basket option pricing. The framework uses tensor-train (TT) rank information to design shallow variational state-preparation circuits. In the independent regime, TT ranks remove unnecessary entangling links from a hardware-efficient ansatz. In correlated basket settings, we instead prepare asset-wise marginals locally and train a compact latent block to match the basket cumulative distribution function. The Basket-CDF objective targets the basket pushforward distribution rather than the full joint state, directly aligning state preparation with basket-dependent payoffs. Numerical experiments show that the proposed circuits replace the exponential state-preparation depth scaling of exact amplitude loading with linear scaling, while maintaining low-percent basket-pricing errors. Additional sampling-based training experiments and an end-to-end QAE integration study support compatibility with sample-estimated training and standard QAE-based pricing workflows.
Basket option pricing often relies on Monte Carlo estimation, for which quantum amplitude estimation (QAE) provides a quadratic speed-up. However, the practical benefit of QAE can be limited by the depth of the state-preparation circuit. We propose a structure-aware quantum state-preparation framework for QAE-based basket option pricing. The framework uses tensor-train (TT) rank information to design shallow variational state-preparation circuits. In the independent regime, TT ranks remove unnecessary entangling links from a hardware-efficient ansatz. In correlated basket settings, we instead prepare asset-wise marginals locally and train a compact latent block to match the basket cumulative distribution function. The Basket-CDF objective targets the basket pushforward distribution rather than the full joint state, directly aligning state preparation with basket-dependent payoffs. Numerical experiments show that the proposed circuits replace the exponential state-preparation depth scaling of exact amplitude loading with linear scaling, while maintaining low-percent basket-pricing errors. Additional sampling-based training experiments and an end-to-end QAE integration study support compatibility with sample-estimated training and standard QAE-based pricing workflows.
Quantum amplitude estimation (QAE) can achieve a quadratic speedup for applications classically solved by Monte Carlo simulation. A key requirement to realize this advantage is efficient state preparation. If state preparation is too expensive, it can diminish the quantum advantage. Preparing arbitrary quantum states has exponential complexity with respect to the number of qubits, and thus, is not applicable. Currently known efficient techniques require problems based on log-concave probability distributions, involve learning an unknown distribution from empirical data, or fully rely on quantum arithmetic. In this paper, we introduce an approach to simplify state preparation, together with a circuit optimization technique, both of which can help reduce the circuit complexity for QAE state preparation significantly. We demonstrate the introduced techniques for a numerical integration example on real quantum hardware, as well as for option pricing under the Heston model, i.e., based on a stochastic volatility process, using simulation.
Accurate and efficient pricing of multi-asset basket options poses a significant challenge, especially when dealing with complex realworld data. In this work, we investigate the role of quantum-enhanced uncertainty modeling in financial pricing options on real-world data. Specifically, we use quantum amplitude estimation and analyze the impact of varying the number of uncertainty qubits while keeping the number of assets fixed, as well as the impact of varying the number of assets while keeping the number of uncertainty qubits fixed. To provide a comprehensive evaluation, we establish and validate a hybrid quantumclassical comparison framework, benchmarking quantum approaches against classical Monte Carlo simulations and Black-Scholes methods. Beyond simply computing option prices, we emphasize the trade-off between accuracy and computational resources, offering insights into the potential advantages and limitations of quantum approaches for different problem scales. Our results contribute to understanding the feasibility of quantum methods in finance and guide the optimal allocation of quantum resources in hybrid quantum-classical workflows.
This thesis studies option pricing under an inverse-stable time change from both classical and quantum computational perspectives. The operational-time pricing expectation is approximated by truncating and discretizing the inverse clock and, in the direct formulation, the latent Gaussian variables. Direct and conditional finite-state representations are developed, together with Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) estimators and error decompositions that separate deterministic approximation, state-preparation, function-evaluation, and finite-query errors. The same expectation structure is used to estimate Galerkin load-vector entries and reconstruct a fixed-maturity European call-price curve on a bounded log-price interval. In the first numerical example, Iterative Quantum Amplitude Estimation (IQAE) is implemented on a noiseless Qiskit Aer simulator and compared with a classical finite-state Galerkin benchmark. A second example considers a two-asset arithmetic-basket call and compares classical Monte Carlo with the median of five independent ideal canonical QAE estimates for the same finite-state target. The numerical results illustrate the improved oracle-query accuracy scaling available from amplitude estimation while also showing that state preparation, reversible payo! evaluation, deterministic discretization error, and gate-level implementation costs remain essential. Accordingly, the ex- periments demonstrate estimator-level query scaling rather than an end-to-end practical quantum speedup.
Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) requires repeated risk-neutral expectation estimation, making it a natural test bed for quantum amplitude estimation, whose coherent amplification can in principle reduce Monte Carlo sampling cost. Whether this advantage survives realistic financial encoding and noisy hardware remains open. We develop an end-to-end, noise-aware quantum workflow for CVA, covering market calibration, discretisation, oracle construction, hardware execution and error-budget analysis. The model combines a correlated two-asset exposure with discount and default factors, encoded through a QCBM-based joint time-market distribution and controlled payoff rotations. We introduce contrast-aware Bayesian iterative quantum amplitude estimation (CABIQAE), which incorporates experimentally calibrated Grover-contrast loss into Bayesian inference and circuit-depth selection. Hardware-calibrated experiments show that CABIQAE exploits the limited amplification available on current devices more effectively than noise-agnostic alternatives and achieves a much lower classical post-processing runtime than the noise-aware BAE baseline. The analysis further decomposes the total CVA error into statistical, encoding, discretisation and hardware contributions. The full CVA oracle remains limited by circuit depth and discretisation resolution.
Classical Monte Carlo algorithms can theoretically be sped up on a quantum computer by employing amplitude estimation (AE). To realize this, an efficient implementation of state-dependent functions is crucial. We develop a straightforward approach based on pretraining parameterized quantum circuits, and show how they can be transformed into their conditional variant, making them usable as a subroutine in an AE algorithm. To identify a suitable circuit, we propose a genetic optimization approach that combines variable ansatzes and data encoding. We apply our algorithm to the problem of pricing financial derivatives. At the expense of a costly pretraining process, this results in a quantum circuit implementing the derivatives' payoff function more efficiently than previously existing quantum algorithms. In particular, we compare the performance for European vanilla and basket options.
We present a methodology to price options and portfolios of options on a gate-based quantum computer using amplitude estimation, an algorithm which provides a quadratic speedup compared to classical Monte Carlo methods. The options that we cover include vanilla options, multi-asset options and path-dependent options such as barrier options. We put an emphasis on the implementation of the quantum circuits required to build the input states and operators needed by amplitude estimation to price the different option types. Additionally, we show simulation results to highlight how the circuits that we implement price the different option contracts. Finally, we examine the performance of option pricing circuits on quantum hardware using the IBM Q Tokyo quantum device. We employ a simple, yet effective, error mitigation scheme that allows us to significantly reduce the errors arising from noisy two-qubit gates.