Accurate and efficient pricing of multi-asset basket options poses a significant challenge, especially when dealing with complex realworld data. In this work, we investigate the role of quantum-enhanced uncertainty modeling in financial pricing options on real-world data. Specifically, we use quantum amplitude estimation and analyze the impact of varying the number of uncertainty qubits while keeping the number of assets fixed, as well as the impact of varying the number of assets while keeping the number of uncertainty qubits fixed. To provide a comprehensive evaluation, we establish and validate a hybrid quantumclassical comparison framework, benchmarking quantum approaches against classical Monte Carlo simulations and Black-Scholes methods. Beyond simply computing option prices, we emphasize the trade-off between accuracy and computational resources, offering insights into the potential advantages and limitations of quantum approaches for different problem scales. Our results contribute to understanding the feasibility of quantum methods in finance and guide the optimal allocation of quantum resources in hybrid quantum-classical workflows.
Accurate and efficient pricing of multi-asset basket options poses a significant challenge, especially when dealing with complex realworld data. In this work, we investigate the role of quantum-enhanced uncertainty modeling in financial pricing options on real-world data. Specifically, we use quantum amplitude estimation and analyze the impact of varying the number of uncertainty qubits while keeping the number of assets fixed, as well as the impact of varying the number of assets while keeping the number of uncertainty qubits fixed. To provide a comprehensive evaluation, we establish and validate a hybrid quantumclassical comparison framework, benchmarking quantum approaches against classical Monte Carlo simulations and Black-Scholes methods. Beyond simply computing option prices, we emphasize the trade-off between accuracy and computational resources, offering insights into the potential advantages and limitations of quantum approaches for different problem scales. Our results contribute to understanding the feasibility of quantum methods in finance and guide the optimal allocation of quantum resources in hybrid quantum-classical workflows.
Option pricing is a fundamental problem in quantitative finance, where the accuracy and efficiency of valuation methods directly affect investment and risk management decisions. While the Black-Scholes model provides a closed-form solution for European options, numerical approaches such as Monte Carlo simulation are widely used when analytical methods are intractable. However, Monte Carlo suffers from slow convergence with complexity O(1/ε2).Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE), an algorithm in quantum computing, promises a quadratic speedup with complexity O(1/ε). This paper implements QAE, specifically Iterative Amplitude Estimation (IAE), for European call option pricing and compares its performance against Monte Carlo simulation and the Black-Scholes model. Experiments are conducted on both Qiskit simulators and IBM Quantum hardware (ibm_brisbane).Results show that QAE achieves estimates close to Monte Carlo and analytical benchmarks, with mean payoff deviations of less than 0.01. While QAE produces wider confidence intervals due to noise and discretization, the findings demonstrate its potential scalability advantage for future quantum finance applications.
The accurate valuation of financial derivatives plays a pivotal role in the finance industry. Although closed formulas for pricing are available for certain models and option types, exemplified by the European Call and Put options in the Black-Scholes Model, the use of either more complex models or more sophisticated options precludes the existence of such formulas, thereby requiring alternative approaches. The Monte Carlo simulation, an alternative approach effective in nearly all scenarios, has already been challenged by quantum computing techniques that leverage Amplitude Estimation. Despite its theoretical promise, this approach currently faces limitations due to the constraints of hardware in the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era. In this study, we introduce and analyze a quantum algorithm for pricing European call options across a broad spectrum of asset models. This method transforms a classical approach, which utilizes the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT), into a quantum algorithm, leveraging the efficiency of the Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT). Furthermore, we compare this novel algorithm with existing quantum algorithms for option pricing.
Abstract Financial derivative pricing is a significant challenge in finance, involving the valuation of instruments like options based on underlying assets. While some cases have simple solutions, many require complex classical computational methods like Monte Carlo simulations and numerical techniques. However, as derivative complexities increase, these methods face limitations in computational power. Cases involving Non-Vanilla Basket pricing, American Options, and derivative portfolio risk analysis need extensive computations in higher-dimensional spaces, posing challenges for classical computers. Quantum computing presents a promising avenue by harnessing quantum superposition and entanglement, allowing the handling of high-dimensional spaces effectively. In this paper, we introduce a self-contained and all-encompassing quantum algorithm that operates without reliance on oracles or presumptions. More specifically, we develop an effective stochastic method for simulating exponentially many potential asset paths in quantum parallel, leading to a highly accurate final distribution of stock prices. Furthermore, we demonstrate how this algorithm can be extended to price more complex options and analyze risk within derivative portfolios.
Options are financial instruments whose payoffs are determined by the value of an underlying asset. These underlying assets are typically stocks, interest rates, or exchange rates, but can also include commodities such as energy or agricultural products. Options serve diverse purposes, including hedging against price volatility and speculating on market movements. Additionally, they play a critical role in assessing certain positions on the balance sheets of insurance companies, particularly in the context of solvency capital requirement calculations. As an option’s payoff lies in the future and is stochastic in nature, finding a fair price today is a non-trivial task. The focus of this work is finding quantum algorithms for calculating these prices and compare them to algorithms designed for classical computers. This work follows two different directions on how to improve on classical methods for option pricing. The first direction is improving on Monte-Carlo (MC) methods and the second one is adapting Fourier based pricing algorithms. The Amplitude Estimation (AE) algorithm promises a quadratic speedup compared to classical MC. This fact makes this algorithm an interesting candidate for improvements by quantum algorithms. It was shown in the literature, that simple options with very crude discretization of the underlying stochastic models, can be implemented on a quantum device and evaluated with AE. One big challenge is the efficient implementation of the option’s payoff profile. To solve this problem colleagues and I have introduced a multi-objective genetic algorithm to automatically find well performing and efficient circuits to implement the payoff of non-path-dependent European options on one or more underlyings. Another strategy for pricing options is based on the fact, that in many models the characteristic function of the underlying is numerically more tractable than its distribution function. There are methods that make use of this fact and the performance of the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) to efficiently calculate prices for European call options for many strikes in one go. The quantum version of the FFT, the Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT), is in some sense, even faster than its classical counterpart. We have adapted the existing classical method to make use of QFT, to benefit from its performance. Finally, the different strategies are benchmarked and compared regarding their accuracy, their potential for scaling and their adaptability to different styles of derivatives and models. The result of this comparison are requirements on the quantum hardware for the methods to be viable as well as use cases where each method has its benefits over the others.
This work introduces a novel approach to price rainbow options, a type of path-independent multi-asset derivatives, with quantum computers. Leveraging the Iterative Quantum Amplitude Estimation method, we present an end-to-end quantum circuit implementation, emphasizing efficiency by delaying the transition to price space. Moreover, we analyze two different amplitude loading techniques for handling exponential functions. Experiments on the IBM QASM simulator validate our quantum pricing model, contributing to the evolving field of quantum finance.
Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) is an attractive financial derivative pricing algorithm with the potential for a quadratic speedup over classical Monte Carlo approaches. Yet, quantum advantage will only be found if not just fault-tolerant hardware but also an accurate representation of the financial problem on a quantum circuit is achieved. This paper offers a reproducible, diagnostic examination of the default Qiskit Finance application to European option pricing. We present a critical diagnostic marker: the classical discretized price, which is the classically computed expected payoff on the quantum model's actual grid. Our convergence analysis of low-qubit models (4, 5, and 6 uncertainty qubits) shows that for this particular configuration, representation error, which arises due to imprecise trigonometric encoding of the option payoff function, is the prevalent source of error, much larger compared to the discretization error. In a 6-qubit model, the representation error was 0.17699 USD, which is an order of magnitude larger than the discretization error of -0.01200 USD. We illustrate how a different Piecewise Linear (PWL) encoding can successfully remove this representation error, but at the expense of more circuit resources. Our results, for the vanilla, low-qubit Qiskit Finance circuits we used, indicate that the creation of high-fidelity, resource-conscious problem encodings is a pressing and essential problem on the road to applicable quantum advantage in finance.