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arXiv:2602.16426

Nonlocal prediction of quantum measurement outcomes

Chirag Srivastava, Aparajita Bhattacharyya, Ujjwal Sen

quant-phSubmitted Feb 18, 2026• Announced Feb 19, 2026• 0 citations
v1 · Feb 18, 2026v2 · Jul 10, 2026
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Abstract

We define nonlocal predictability as how well one observer can predict another's measurement outcomes without classical communication, given full knowledge of the shared quantum state and measurement settings. The local bound on nonlocal predictability is defined as the maximum probability with which one observer can correctly predict the other's measurement outcome prior to measurement. We show that product states always meet this bound, while all pure entangled states and some classically correlated states can exceed it. This demonstrates a nonlocal phenomenon since the predictability of measurement outcomes increases after the measurement. Perfect nonlocal predictability for arbitrary projective measurements occurs only for maximally entangled states among all pure states, underscoring their special role. Comparing pure entangled states with their dephased versions, we find that dephasing on one subsystem can enhance nonlocal predictability for a broad class of states and measurements - a counterintuitive, noise-induced advantage that vanishes for maximally entangled states under any projective measurement.

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We define nonlocal predictability as how well one observer can predict another's measurement outcomes without classical communication, given full knowledge of the shared quantum state and measurement settings. The local bound on nonlocal predictability is defined as the maximum probability with which one observer can correctly predict the other's measurement outcome prior to measurement. We show that product states always meet this bound, while all pure entangled states and some classically correlated states can exceed it. This demonstrates a nonlocal phenomenon since the predictability of measurement outcomes increases after the measurement. Perfect nonlocal predictability for arbitrary projective measurements occurs only for maximally entangled states among all pure states, underscoring their special role. Comparing pure entangled states with their dephased versions, we find that dephasing on one subsystem can enhance nonlocal predictability for a broad class of states and measurements - a counterintuitive, noise-induced advantage that vanishes for maximally entangled states under any projective measurement.
A central aspect of quantum information is that correlations between spacelike separated observers sharing entangled states cannot be reproduced by local hidden variable (LHV) models, a phenomenon known as Bell nonlocality. If one wishes to explain such correlations by classical means, a natural possibility is to allow communication between the parties. In particular, LHV models augmented with two bits of classical communication can explain the correlations of any two-qubit state. Would this still hold if communication is restricted to measurement outcomes? While in certain scenarios with a finite number of inputs the answer is yes, we prove that if a model must reproduce all projective measurements, then for any qubit-qudit state the answer is no. In fact, a qubit-qudit under projective measurements admits an LHV model with outcome communication if and only if it already admits an LHV model without communication. On the other hand, we also show that when restricted sets of measurements are considered (for instance, when the qubit measurements are in the upper hemisphere of the Bloch ball), outcome communication does offer an advantage. This exemplifies that trivial properties in standard LHV scenarios, such as deterministic measurements and outcome-relabelling, play a crucial role in the outcome communication scenario.
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We present a bipartite protocol inspired by the Monty Hall puzzle that operationally distinguishes quantum coherence from classical ignorance. A principal qutrit is entangled with an ancillary qutrit via a controlled unitary, preparing ∣Ψ⟩=13(∣A,0⟩+∣B,1⟩+∣C,2⟩)|Ψ\rangle = \frac{1}{\sqrt{3}}(|A,0\rangle + |B,1\rangle + |C,2\rangle)∣Ψ⟩=3​1​(∣A,0⟩+∣B,1⟩+∣C,2⟩). A rank-1 projective discard then eliminates one basis state, leaving a coherent superposition of the two remaining states. Finally, the ancilla and qutrit are measured, yielding joint probabilities that encode the interplay between superposition and measurement back-action. We show that the conditional probability P(B∣anc=0)P(B|\text{anc}=0)P(B∣anc=0) takes the value 1/41/41/4 in both quantum mechanics and the classical ignorant-host model, making it unsuitable as a witness. The true quantum-classical separation emerges in conditional joint probabilities that correlate ancilla outcomes with specific discard operations. We define witnesses Wi,j=P(anc=i,qutrit=j∣discard k)\mathcal{W}_{i,j} = P(anc=i, qutrit=j \mid \text{discard } k)Wi,j​=P(anc=i,qutrit=j∣discard k) where jjj differs from the ancilla-implied state. Quantum mechanics predicts W=1/4\mathcal{W} = 1/4W=1/4, while any classical epistemic model with perfect initial correlations yields W=0\mathcal{W} = 0W=0. We provide the explicit 9×99 \times 99×9 unitary matrix, a complete analysis of all measurement outcomes, and a detailed proof of the violation. The witness is fully immune to white noise and robust against moderate dephasing. The protocol requires only a single pair of entangled qutrits and sequential measurements -- no spatial separation, no multiple copies, and no complex sets of incompatible observables. This makes it suitable for advanced undergraduate laboratories and provides a pedagogically accessible test of the ontic-epistemic distinction in quantum foundations.
A local measurement on one member of an entangled composite system is said to change the distant member's state instantaneously. Taken without qualification, this is misleading. A selective measurement changes the conditional state assigned to the remote subsystem once a local outcome is specified; a non-selective measurement, where that outcome is ignored, leaves the remote reduced density operator unchanged. This distinction reconciles quantum state update with operational no-signalling and provides the setting for Einstein–Podolsky–Rosen steering. This review develops measurement using density operators, completely positive instruments, Kraus representations, partial traces, conditional states, and steering assemblages. It derives the invariance of remote marginal statistics under local trace-preserving operations and contrasts this with Bell-local factorization. It examines the hierarchy among entanglement, steering, and Bell nonlocality, joint measurability, remote state preparation, and one-sided device-independent protocols. The article considers spacelike-separated measurements, microcausality in relativistic quantum theory, and ontological readings of selective state update offered by Everettian, Bohmian, collapse, and relational approaches. Decoherence is treated as the process through which local outcomes become records, while quantum Darwinism accounts for their redundant local accessibility. It highlights gaps in literature, and concludes that entanglement permits nonclassical conditional correlations, but local measurement supplies no controllable superluminal signal.