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arXiv:2602.14827

Constrained Portfolio Optimization via Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) with XY-Mixers and Trotterized Initialization: A Hybrid Approach for Direct Indexing

Javier Mancilla, Theodoros D. Bouloumis, Frederic Goguikian

quant-phq-fin.CPq-fin.PMSubmitted Feb 16, 2026• Announced Feb 17, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

Portfolio optimization under strict cardinality constraints is a combinatorial challenge that defies classical convex optimization techniques, particularly in the context of "Direct Indexing" and ESG-constrained mandates. In the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era, the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) offers a promising hybrid approach. However, standard QAOA implementations utilizing transverse field mixers often fail to strictly enforce hard constraints, necessitating soft penalties that distort the energy landscape. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of a constraint-preserving QAOA formulation against Simulated Annealing (SA) and Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP). We implement a specific QAOA ansatz utilizing a Dicke state initialization and an XY-mixer Hamiltonian that strictly preserves the Hamming weight of the solution, ensuring only valid portfolios of size K are explored. Furthermore, we introduce a Trotterized parameter initialization schedule inspired by adiabatic quantum computing to mitigate the "Barren Plateau" problem. Backtesting on a basket of 10 US equities over 2025 reveals that our QAOA approach achieves a Sharpe Ratio of 1.81, significantly outperforming Simulated Annealing (1.31) and HRP (0.98). We further analyze the operational implications of the algorithm's high turnover (76.8%), discussing the trade-offs between theoretical optimality and implementation costs in institutional settings.

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11 pages, 6 figures

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Portfolio optimization under strict cardinality constraints is a combinatorial challenge that defies classical convex optimization techniques, particularly in the context of "Direct Indexing" and ESG-constrained mandates. In the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era, the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) offers a promising hybrid approach. However, standard QAOA implementations utilizing transverse field mixers often fail to strictly enforce hard constraints, necessitating soft penalties that distort the energy landscape. This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of a constraint-preserving QAOA formulation against Simulated Annealing (SA) and Hierarchical Risk Parity (HRP). We implement a specific QAOA ansatz utilizing a Dicke state initialization and an XY-mixer Hamiltonian that strictly preserves the Hamming weight of the solution, ensuring only valid portfolios of size K are explored. Furthermore, we introduce a Trotterized parameter initialization schedule inspired by adiabatic quantum computing to mitigate the "Barren Plateau" problem. Backtesting on a basket of 10 US equities over 2025 reveals that our QAOA approach achieves a Sharpe Ratio of 1.81, significantly outperforming Simulated Annealing (1.31) and HRP (0.98). We further analyze the operational implications of the algorithm's high turnover (76.8%), discussing the trade-offs between theoretical optimality and implementation costs in institutional settings.
The Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) is a quantum algorithm proposed for Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices and is regarded as a promising approach to combinatorial optimization problems, with potential applications in the financial sector. In this study, we apply QAOA to the portfolio optimization problem, which is one of the central challenges in financial engineering. A portfolio consists of a combination of multiple assets, and the portfolio optimization problem aims to determine the optimal asset allocation by balancing expected return and risk. In the context of quantum optimization, portfolio optimization is often formulated using discrete variables. Unlike conventional binary formulations, we consider a ternary portfolio optimization problem that accounts for three states-holding, not holding, and short selling-and compare its performance using different mixer operators. Specifically, we implement QAOA with the standard mixer and several XY Mixers (XY Ring, XY Parity Ring, XY Full, and QAMPA), and conducted simulations using real data based on the German stock index (DAX 30) for portfolios consisting of 5 and 8 assets. Furthermore, we introduce noise based on a depolarizing channel to investigate the behavior of the algorithm in realistic environments. The results show that while XY Mixers exhibit superiority in noiseless settings, their advantage degrades in noisy environments, and the optimal choice of mixer depends on both the number of QAOA depths and the noise strength.
We introduce a counterdiabatic (CD) extension of the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) for constrained portfolio optimization. By incorporating approximate adiabatic gauge potentials generated from nested commutators of the Ising-type portfolio problem Hamiltonian and the Hamming weight-preserving XY mixer Hamiltonian into our variational ansatz, the resulting Constrained Counterdiabatic QAOA (CCD-QAOA) achieves improved optimization performance under realistic budget and risk constraints. Benchmarking against standard XY-mixer QAOA, Grover-mixer QAOA, and penalty-based QAOA formulations, our numerical simulations demonstrate that, for a fixed QAOA depth, our CCD-QAOA approach consistently results in better approximation ratios.
Abstract The Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) is a quantum algorithm proposed for Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices and is regarded as a promising approach to combinatorial optimization problems, with potential applications in the financial sector. In this study, we apply QAOA to the portfolio optimization problem, which is one of the central challenges in financial engineering. A portfolio consists of a combination of multiple assets, and the portfolio optimization problem aims to determine the optimal asset allocation by balancing expected return and risk. In the context of quantum optimization, portfolio optimization is often formulated using discrete variables. Unlike conventional binary formulations, we consider a ternary portfolio optimization problem that accounts for three states—holding, not holding, and short selling—and compare its performance using different mixer operators. Specifically, we implement QAOA with the standard mixer and several XY Mixers (XY Ring, XY Parity Ring, XY Full, and QAMPA), and conducted simulations using real data based on the German stock index (DAX 30) for portfolios consisting of 5 and 8 assets. Furthermore, we introduce noise based on a depolarizing channel to investigate the behavior of the algorithm in realistic environments. The results show that while XY Mixers exhibit superiority in noiseless settings, their advantage degrades in noisy environments, and the optimal choice of mixer depends on both the number of QAOA depths and the noise strength.
The Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) is a leading hybrid heuristic for combinatorial optimization, but efficiently handling hard constraints remains a significant challenge. XY-mixers successfully confine quantum state evolution to a feasible subspace, such as the Hamming-weight-1 sector for one-hot constraints. On the contrary, warm-starting biases the search toward promising regions based on preliminary solutions. Combining these two techniques requires maintaining the essential alignment between the initial state and the mixer Hamiltonian to preserve convergence guarantees. Previous work demonstrated warm-starting with XY-mixers via a biased initial state, but relying only on standard mixer Hamiltonians. Consequently, the initial state is no longer a ground state of the mixer. In this work, we overcome these limitations by formulating a warm-started XY-mixer Hamiltonian for one-hot constraints and proving its ground-state properties. Furthermore, we provide a shallow circuit implementation suitable for NISQ implementations. We embed the warm-starting into a classical heuristic that iteratively updates the bias based on previous samples, called Iterative Warm-Starting (IWS). Extensive numerical simulations on Max-kkk-Cut and Traveling Salesperson Problem instances demonstrate that IWS-QAOA significantly accelerates the solution-finding process, increasing the probability of sampling optimal solutions by orders of magnitude compared to standard XY-QAOA. Finally, we validate our approach on the ibm_boston QPU using hardware-tailored 144-qubit problem instances. By coupling IWS-QAOA with a greedy steepest-descent post-processing strategy to repair infeasible measurements caused by hardware noise, we successfully identify optimal solutions on actual quantum devices.
Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm, further generalized as Quantum Alternating Operator Ansatz (QAOA), is a family of algorithms for combinatorial optimization problems. It is a leading candidate to run on emerging universal quantum computers to gain insight into quantum heuristics. In constrained optimization, penalties are often introduced so that the ground state of the cost Hamiltonian encodes the solution (a standard practice in quantum annealing). An alternative is to choose a mixing Hamiltonian such that the constraint corresponds to a constant of motion and the quantum evolution stays in the feasible subspace. Better performance of the algorithm is speculated due to a much smaller search space. We consider problems with a constant Hamming weight as the constraint. We also compare different methods of generating the generalized W-state, which serves as a natural initial state for the Hamming-weight constraint. Using graph-coloring as an example, we compare the performance of using XY model as a mixer that preserves the Hamming weight with the performance of adding a penalty term in the cost Hamiltonian.
Large-scale portfolio optimization is hard because investors must balance risk, return, diversification, and liquidity across many assets with complex constraints. Classical methods, such as quadratic programming or metaheuristics, often become slow or less effective as the number of assets and factors grows. In this project, I explore the use of the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) as a hybrid quantum–classical approach to portfolio selection. The framework encodes portfolio decisions as qubits and represents financial objectives—such as mean–variance trade-offs or risk-adjusted return—inside a parameterized quantum circuit. Classical optimization is then used to tune the circuit parameters so that the quantum system converges toward low-risk, high-return portfolios. Multi-factor constraints, including sector limits, liquidity rules, ESG scores, and macroeconomic risk factors, are integrated into the Hamiltonian as penalty terms. A qualitative comparison with classical solvers (e.g., mixed-integer programming and simulated annealing) suggests that QAOA can scale more gracefully in high-dimensional settings and handle complex constraint structures. Overall, the project shows how quantum hybrid optimization could support future portfolio management, linking theoretical quantum algorithms with practical, sustainability-aware investment strategies.