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arXiv:quant-ph/0109122

Toward Quantum Behavioral Finances: Bohmian Approach

Olga Choustova

Published Sep 24, 2001• 4 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

We apply methods of quantum mechanics for mathematical modeling of price dynamics at the financial market. We propose to describe behavioral financial factors (e.g., expectations of traders) by using the pilot wave (Bohmian) model of quantum mechanics. Trajectories of prices are determined by two financial potentials: classical-like $V(q)$ ("hard" market conditions, e.g., natural resources) and quantum-like $U(q)$ (behavioral market conditions). On one hand, our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven, E. W.Piotrowski, J. Sladkowski. On the other hand, (since Bohmian mechanics provides the possibility to describe individual price trajectories) it belongs to the domain of extended research on deterministic dynamics for financial assets (C.W. J. Granger, W.A. Barnett, A. J. Benhabib, W.A. Brock, C. Sayers, J. Y. Campbell, A. W. Lo, A. C. MacKinlay, A. Serletis, S. Kuchta, M. Frank, R. Gencay, T. Stengos, M. J. Hinich, D. Patterson, D. A. Hsieh, D. T. Caplan, J.A. Scheinkman, B. LeBaron and many others).

DOI
10.48550/arxiv.quant-ph/0109122

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We apply methods of quantum mechanics for mathematical modeling of price dynamics at the financial market. We propose to describe behavioral financial factors (e.g., expectations of traders) by using the pilot wave (Bohmian) model of quantum mechanics. Trajectories of prices are determined by two financial potentials: classical-like V(q)V(q)V(q) ("hard" market conditions, e.g., natural resources) and quantum-like U(q)U(q)U(q) (behavioral market conditions). On one hand, our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven, E. W.Piotrowski, J. Sladkowski. On the other hand, (since Bohmian mechanics provides the possibility to describe individual price trajectories) it belongs to the domain of extended research on deterministic dynamics for financial assets (C.W. J. Granger, W.A. Barnett, A. J. Benhabib, W.A. Brock, C. Sayers, J. Y. Campbell, A. W. Lo, A. C. MacKinlay, A. Serletis, S. Kuchta, M. Frank, R. Gencay, T. Stengos, M. J. Hinich, D. Patterson, D. A. Hsieh, D. T. Caplan, J.A. Scheinkman, B. LeBaron and many others).
We apply methods of quantum mechanics for mathematical modeling of price dynamics at the financial market. We propose to describe behavioral financial factors (e.g., expectations of traders) by using the pilot wave (Bohmian) model of quantum mechanics. Trajectories of prices are determined by two financial potentials: classical-like V ( q ) ("hard" market conditions, e.g., natural resources) and quantum-like U ( q ) (behavioral market conditions). On the one hand, our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven, E. W. Piotrowski, J. Sladkowski. On the other hand, (since Bohmian mechanics provides the possibility to describe individual price trajectories) it belongs to the domain of extended research on deterministic dynamics for financial assets (C.W.J. Granger, W.A. Barnett, A. J. Benhabib, W.A. Brock, C. Sayers, J. Y. Campbell, A. W. Lo, A. C. MacKinlay, A. Serletis, S. Kuchta, M. Frank, R. Gencay, T. Stengos, M. J. Hinich, D. Patterson, D. A. Hsieh, D. T. Caplan, J.A. Scheinkman, B. LeBaron and many others).
We apply methods of quantum mechanics for mathe-matical modeling of price dynamics at financial mar-ket. We propose to describe behavioral financial factors (e.g., expectations of traders) by using the pilot wave (Bohmian) model of quantum mechanics. Our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven. Our model expresses complexity of financial market: tra-ditional description of price dynamics is completed by Schrödinger’s dynamics for the pilot wave of expecta-tions of traders. This is a kind of socio-economic model for financial market
The pilot wave function and its uses outside of quantum mechanics Let us recall our discussion on Bohmian mechanics in Chapter 6. The idea of using Bohmian mechanics outside of quantum mechanics is not new anymore. Khrennikov [1] provides for an overview on how this model can contribute in precise terms to areas such as economics and finance.1 Historically, the work by Bohm and Hiley [2] and also Hiley and Pylkkanen [3] brought forward the idea that the pilot wave function could be seen as a wave function containing information. In Khrennikov [4], Choustova [5], and Haven [6], the idea of using pilot wave theory to finance was investigated. Khrennikov [1] (p. 160) remarks that “the force induced by the pilot wave field does not depend on the amplitude of the wave.” He cites the argument made by Bohm and Hiley [2] that because of this property the pilot wave is an information wave. The various interpretations (with applications) of the wave function will be covered in detail in Chapter 13. Here are some of the key features which can be of use in an financial/economics setting. When the wave function is not factorized, then a change in the price of a stock i will affect the prices of stocks, j , with j ≠ i . See Khrennikov [1] (p. 161). The Bohmian theory, as we remarked already in Chapters 1 and 6, is non-local.
We apply the mathematical formalism of Bohmian mechanics to describe dynamics of shares. The main distinguishing feature of the financial Bohmian model is the possibility to take into account market psychology by describing expectations of traders by the pilot wave. We also discuss some objections (coming from conventional financial mathematics of stochastic processes) against the deterministic Bohmian model. In particular, the objection that such a model contradicts to the efficient market hypothesis which is the cornerstone of the modern market ideology. Another objection is of pure mathematical nature: it is related to the quadratic variation of price trajectories. One possibility to reply to this critique is to consider the stochastic Bohm‐Vigier model, instead of the deterministic one. We do this in the present note.
Abstract Finance stands as the most quantitatively advanced branch of the social sciences, yet it is also the most humbling. The mean-variance efficient frontier, the CAPM, arbitrage pricing relations, the Black–Scholes–Merton option formula and the efficient market hypothesis possess unparalleled formal elegance, yet they suffered a broad empirical refutation in the global financial crisis of 2008. Standard models understate tail risk, misinterpret the comovement of assets that are supposed to diversify risk, and presuppose liquidity and rationality — two features that vanish precisely when they are most needed. Behavioural finance has documented an extensive catalogue of cognitive biases, yet it remains a patchwork of isolated effects without a unified calculus of probability. This monograph is the first systematic work to establish quantum finance. It argues that the mathematical formalism of quantum mechanics supplies this missing unified structure: financial states are state vectors in Hilbert space; beliefs and valuations coexist as superposed amplitudes; trading and information disclosure act as measurements that collapse states in accordance with the Born rule; assets and markets are entangled with one another; and path interference generates fat tails and herding, which are inadmissible under classical additive probability. The book comprises six parts and thirty chapters in total. Part I lays the philosophical and formal foundations. Starting from the paradigm crisis, it proceeds through quantum probability and quantum stochastic processes to construct the analytical framework built on three core pillars of quantum finance. Part II develops quantum asset pricing, covering the quantum CAPM, quantum APT, quantum option pricing and the term structure of interest rates. Part III advances quantum risk management, including quantum risk measures, Value-at-Risk (VaR) and expected shortfall, stress testing, credit risk and phase transitions in systemic risk. Part IV addresses quantum portfolios and asset allocation, ranging from the quantum meanvariance frontier, strategic and tactical asset allocation, to factor investing and hedge fund strategies. Part V turns to market microstructure and behavioural finance, examining quantum order flows, marketmaker liquidity, quantum prospect theory and market sentiment. Part VI looks ahead to frontier avenues: quantum computational optimization, quantum machine learning, blockchains, postquantum cryptography and quantuminformed financial regulation. This book rigorously recovers the classical CAPM, efficient market hypothesis and Gaussian risk models as special cases under decoherence limits. It is intended for graduate students and faculty in finance and financial engineering, as well as researchers and practitioners working on asset pricing, risk management, portfolio allocation and financial regulation.
In the so called ‘causal’ interpretation of quantum mechanics, an electron is considered as a particle and such particle is influenced not only by a classical but also by a so called quantum potential. This idea was developed by Professor Bohm in an important paper. In this paper we use some of the basics of this interpretation in a financial option pricing environment. The causal interpretation allows for trajectories. Path breaking work by Professors Bohm and Hiley and Khrennikov and Choustova have made that the causal interpretation is a step closer to potential applications in social science. In this paper we consider the wave function as a wave of information. We consider the gradient of the phase of this wave function and show how the option price could be influenced by this gradient.