We apply methods of quantum mechanics for mathematical modeling of price dynamics at the financial market. We propose to describe behavioral financial factors (e.g., expectations of traders) by using the pilot wave (Bohmian) model of quantum mechanics. Trajectories of prices are determined by two financial potentials: classical-like $V(q)$ ("hard" market conditions, e.g., natural resources) and quantum-like $U(q)$ (behavioral market conditions). On one hand, our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven, E. W.Piotrowski, J. Sladkowski. On the other hand, (since Bohmian mechanics provides the possibility to describe individual price trajectories) it belongs to the domain of extended research on deterministic dynamics for financial assets (C.W. J. Granger, W.A. Barnett, A. J. Benhabib, W.A. Brock, C. Sayers, J. Y. Campbell, A. W. Lo, A. C. MacKinlay, A. Serletis, S. Kuchta, M. Frank, R. Gencay, T. Stengos, M. J. Hinich, D. Patterson, D. A. Hsieh, D. T. Caplan, J.A. Scheinkman, B. LeBaron and many others).We apply methods of quantum mechanics for mathematical modeling of price dynamics at the financial market. We propose to describe behavioral financial factors (e.g., expectations of traders) by using the pilot wave (Bohmian) model of quantum mechanics. Trajectories of prices are determined by two financial potentials: classical-like $V(q)$ ("hard" market conditions, e.g., natural resources) and quantum-like $U(q)$ (behavioral market conditions). On one hand, our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven, E. W.Piotrowski, J. Sladkowski. On the other hand, (since Bohmian mechanics provides the possibility to describe individual price trajectories) it belongs to the domain of extended research on deterministic dynamics for financial assets (C.W. J. Granger, W.A. Barnett, A. J. Benhabib, W.A. Brock, C. Sayers, J. Y. Campbell, A. W. Lo, A. C. MacKinlay, A. Serletis, S. Kuchta, M. Frank, R. Gencay, T. Stengos, M. J. Hinich, D. Patterson, D. A. Hsieh, D. T. Caplan, J.A. Scheinkman, B. LeBaron and many others).

arXiv:quant-ph/0109122Sep 24, 20014 citations

Quantum-like Models in Economics and Finances.

Olga Choustova

We apply methods of quantum mechanics for mathe-matical modeling of price dynamics at financial mar-ket. We propose to describe behavioral financial factors (e.g., expectations of traders) by using the pilot wave (Bohmian) model of quantum mechanics. Our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven. Our model expresses complexity of financial market: tra-ditional description of price dynamics is completed by Schrödinger’s dynamics for the pilot wave of expecta-tions of traders. This is a kind of socio-economic model for financial marketWe apply methods of quantum mechanics for mathe-matical modeling of price dynamics at financial mar-ket. We propose to describe behavioral financial factors (e.g., expectations of traders) by using the pilot wave (Bohmian) model of quantum mechanics. Our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven. Our model expresses complexity of financial market: tra-ditional description of price dynamics is completed by Schrödinger’s dynamics for the pilot wave of expecta-tions of traders. This is a kind of socio-economic model for financial market

National Conference on Artificial IntelligenceJan 1, 20071 citation

Price-Dynamics of Shares and Bohmian Mechanics: Deterministic or Stochastic Model?

Olga Choustova

We apply the mathematical formalism of Bohmian mechanics to describe dynamics of shares. The main distinguishing feature of the financial Bohmian model is the possibility to take into account market psychology by describing expectations of traders by the pilot wave. We also discuss some objections (coming from conventional financial mathematics of stochastic processes) against the deterministic Bohmian model. In particular, the objection that such a model contradicts to the efficient market hypothesis which is the cornerstone of the modern market ideology. Another objection is of pure mathematical nature: it is related to the quadratic variation of price trajectories. One possibility to reply to this critique is to consider the stochastic Bohm‐Vigier model, instead of the deterministic one. We do this in the present note.We apply the mathematical formalism of Bohmian mechanics to describe dynamics of shares. The main distinguishing feature of the financial Bohmian model is the possibility to take into account market psychology by describing expectations of traders by the pilot wave. We also discuss some objections (coming from conventional financial mathematics of stochastic processes) against the deterministic Bohmian model. In particular, the objection that such a model contradicts to the efficient market hypothesis which is the cornerstone of the modern market ideology. Another objection is of pure mathematical nature: it is related to the quadratic variation of price trajectories. One possibility to reply to this critique is to consider the stochastic Bohm‐Vigier model, instead of the deterministic one. We do this in the present note.

AIP conference proceedingsJan 1, 20072 citations

Bohmian mechanics in finance and economics

Emmanuel E. Haven, Andrei Yu. Khrennikov

The pilot wave function and its uses outside of quantum mechanics Let us recall our discussion on Bohmian mechanics in Chapter 6. The idea of using Bohmian mechanics outside of quantum mechanics is not new anymore. Khrennikov [1] provides for an overview on how this model can contribute in precise terms to areas such as economics and finance.1 Historically, the work by Bohm and Hiley [2] and also Hiley and Pylkkanen [3] brought forward the idea that the pilot wave function could be seen as a wave function containing information. In Khrennikov [4], Choustova [5], and Haven [6], the idea of using pilot wave theory to finance was investigated. Khrennikov [1] (p. 160) remarks that “the force induced by the pilot wave field does not depend on the amplitude of the wave.” He cites the argument made by Bohm and Hiley [2] that because of this property the pilot wave is an information wave. The various interpretations (with applications) of the wave function will be covered in detail in Chapter 13. Here are some of the key features which can be of use in an financial/economics setting. When the wave function is not factorized, then a change in the price of a stock i will affect the prices of stocks, j , with j ≠ i . See Khrennikov [1] (p. 161). The Bohmian theory, as we remarked already in Chapters 1 and 6, is non-local.The pilot wave function and its uses outside of quantum mechanics Let us recall our discussion on Bohmian mechanics in Chapter 6. The idea of using Bohmian mechanics outside of quantum mechanics is not new anymore. Khrennikov [1] provides for an overview on how this model can contribute in precise terms to areas such as economics and finance.1 Historically, the work by Bohm and Hiley [2] and also Hiley and Pylkkanen [3] brought forward the idea that the pilot wave function could be seen as a wave function containing information. In Khrennikov [4], Choustova [5], and Haven [6], the idea of using pilot wave theory to finance was investigated. Khrennikov [1] (p. 160) remarks that “the force induced by the pilot wave field does not depend on the amplitude of the wave.” He cites the argument made by Bohm and Hiley [2] that because of this property the pilot wave is an information wave. The various interpretations (with applications) of the wave function will be covered in detail in Chapter 13. Here are some of the key features which can be of use in an financial/economics setting. When the wave function is not factorized, then a change in the price of a stock i will affect the prices of stocks, j , with j ≠ i . See Khrennikov [1] (p. 161). The Bohmian theory, as we remarked already in Chapters 1 and 6, is non-local.

Cambridge University Press eBooksJan 17, 20130 citations

Classical and quantum randomness and the financial market

Andrei Yu. Khrennikov

We analyze complexity of financial (and general economic) processes by comparing classical and quantum-like models for randomness. Our analysis implies that it might be that a quantum-like probabilistic description is more natural for financial market than the classical one. A part of our analysis is devoted to study the possibility of application of the quantum probabilistic model to agents of financial market. We show that, although the direct quantum (physical) reduction (based on using the scales of quantum mechanics) is meaningless, one may apply so called quantum-like models. In our approach quantum-like probabilistic behaviour is a consequence of contextualy of statistical data in finances (and economics in general). However, our hypothesis on "quantumness" of financial data should be tested experimentally (as opposed to the conventional description based on the noncontextual classical probabilistic approach). We present a new statistical test based on a generalization of the well known in quantum physics Bell's inequality.We analyze complexity of financial (and general economic) processes by comparing classical and quantum-like models for randomness. Our analysis implies that it might be that a quantum-like probabilistic description is more natural for financial market than the classical one. A part of our analysis is devoted to study the possibility of application of the quantum probabilistic model to agents of financial market. We show that, although the direct quantum (physical) reduction (based on using the scales of quantum mechanics) is meaningless, one may apply so called quantum-like models. In our approach quantum-like probabilistic behaviour is a consequence of contextualy of statistical data in finances (and economics in general). However, our hypothesis on "quantumness" of financial data should be tested experimentally (as opposed to the conventional description based on the noncontextual classical probabilistic approach). We present a new statistical test based on a generalization of the well known in quantum physics Bell's inequality.

arXiv:0704.2865Apr 22, 20074 citations

Design of an Experiment to Test Quantum Probabilistic Behavior of the Financial market

Andrei Yu. Khrennikov

The recent crash demonstrated (once again) that the description of the financial market by present financial mathematics cannot be considered as totally satisfactory. We remind that nowadays financial mathematics is heavily based on the use of random variables and stochastic processes which are described by Kolmogorov's measure-theoretic model for probability ("classical probabilistic model"). I speculate that the present financial crises is a sign (a kind of experiment to test validity of classical probability theory at the financial market) that the use of this model in finances should be either totally rejected or at least completed. One of the best candidates for a new probabilistic financial model is quantum probability or its generalizations, so to say quantum-like (QL) models. Speculations that the financial market may be nonclassical have been present in scientific literature for many years. The aim of this note is to move from the domain of speculation to rigorous statistical arguments in favor of probabilistic nonclassicality of the financial market. I design a corresponding statistical test which is based on violation of the formula of total probability (FTP). The latter is the basic in classical probability and its violation would be a strong sign in favor of QL behavior at the market.The recent crash demonstrated (once again) that the description of the financial market by present financial mathematics cannot be considered as totally satisfactory. We remind that nowadays financial mathematics is heavily based on the use of random variables and stochastic processes which are described by Kolmogorov's measure-theoretic model for probability ("classical probabilistic model"). I speculate that the present financial crises is a sign (a kind of experiment to test validity of classical probability theory at the financial market) that the use of this model in finances should be either totally rejected or at least completed. One of the best candidates for a new probabilistic financial model is quantum probability or its generalizations, so to say quantum-like (QL) models. Speculations that the financial market may be nonclassical have been present in scientific literature for many years. The aim of this note is to move from the domain of speculation to rigorous statistical arguments in favor of probabilistic nonclassicality of the financial market. I design a corresponding statistical test which is based on violation of the formula of total probability (FTP). The latter is the basic in classical probability and its violation would be a strong sign in favor of QL behavior at the market.

arXiv:0902.1922Feb 11, 20091 citation

V(q)

("hard" market conditions, e.g., natural resources) and quantum-like

U(q)

(behavioral market conditions). On one hand, our Bohmian model is a quantum-like model for the financial market, cf. with works of W. Segal, I. E. Segal, E. Haven, E. W.Piotrowski, J. Sladkowski. On the other hand, (since Bohmian mechanics provides the possibility to describe individual price trajectories) it belongs to the domain of extended research on deterministic dynamics for financial assets (C.W. J. Granger, W.A. Barnett, A. J. Benhabib, W.A. Brock, C. Sayers, J. Y. Campbell, A. W. Lo, A. C. MacKinlay, A. Serletis, S. Kuchta, M. Frank, R. Gencay, T. Stengos, M. J. Hinich, D. Patterson, D. A. Hsieh, D. T. Caplan, J.A. Scheinkman, B. LeBaron and many others).