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IEEE Transactions on Aerospace and Electronic Systems

Performance Analysis of Hybrid Digital–Quantum Satellite Links: Comparative Study of Classical BER and Quantum QBER under Turbulent Atmospheric Conditions

Tinashe Hando

Published Jan 1, 2026• 0 citations
Publisher
DOI
10.1109/taes.2026.3740071

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Abstract Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) provides information-theoretic security for future communication networks by exploiting the fundamental principles of quantum mechanics. However, satellite-to-ground QKD links suffer significant performance degradation due to atmospheric turbulence, absorption, scattering, and satellite-induced pointing errors. This paper investigates the BB84 QKD protocol over a Free-Space Optical (FSO) channel modeled using the Gamma–Gamma distribution, which accurately captures both small-scale and large-scale atmospheric irradiance fluctuations. Closed-form and numerical results for outage probability and Quantum Bit Error Rate (QBER) are presented under weak, moderate, and strong turbulence regimes. The Secure Key Rate (SKR) is analyzed as a function of link distance under clear and foggy weather conditions. Additionally, the impact of satellite vibration is evaluated using a jitter-dependent pointing error model, demonstrating that misalignment significantly reduces link reliability. Simulation results show that strong turbulence conditions introduce more than 15 dB SNR penalty compared to clear-sky operation, while haze conditions limit QKD range to under 8–10 km. These findings provide practical performance benchmarks for Low-Earth Orbit (LEO) quantum downlinks in realistic atmospheric environments. The results provide practical insights for electronic receiver design and system implementation of satellite quantum communication links.
Atmospheric conditions play a pivotal role in determining the performance of satellite-to-ground quantum key distribution (QKD). In this research, we meticulously investigate the influence of various factors, including background light, dark counts, and aperture coupling efficiency, on the performance of satellite-to-ground QKD under different levels of turbulence intensity associated with diverse atmospheric stratifications. Based on the decoy state BB84 protocol, we refine the calculation formula for the quantum bit error rate (QBER) of the satellite-to-ground QKD system. Subsequently, we conduct simulations to analyze how the quantum BER varies under different conditions, such as varying intensities of background light, different wavelengths, and different zenith angles. The simulation results reveal that, when taking all the above-mentioned factors into comprehensive consideration, employing signals with shorter wavelengths can lead to a more favorable QBER. The findings of this study offer valuable insights and a solid reference for the construction of a satellite-to-ground QKD system, facilitating the development of more reliable and efficient quantum communication links between space and the ground.
Satellite-based quantum key distribution (QKD) offers a pathway to secure global communications, yet its performance is fundamentally constrained by atmospheric turbulence. This paper presents a detailed analysis of the BBM92 entanglement-based protocol under realistic satellite-to-ground conditions using the Hufnagel-Valley turbulence model. We examine the role of key atmospheric factors, including wind speed, ground station altitude, and diurnal variations, on quantum performance metrics across a mean photon number (MPN) range of 0.001-0.3. Results reveal that turbulence strength, captured via the refractive index structure constant, governs channel transmittance through Rytov variance and scintillation index, directly impacting quantum bit error rate (QBER) and secret key rate (SKR). Simulations show that elevated ground stations improve SKR by15−25%1 5 - 2 5 \%15−25%, nighttime operation yields40 - 80 %\text{40 - 80 \%}40 - 80 %gains compared with daytime, and wind speeds of30m/s30 \mathrm{m} / \mathrm{s}30m/scan reduce SKR by up to 60% relative to10m/s10 \mathrm{m} / \mathrm{s}10m/sconditions. Optimal operation lies in the MPN range of 0.1-0.2, beyond which multiphoton noise degrades security as QBER approaches the 9% threshold.