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RIVF International Conference on Computing and Communication Technologies (RIVF)

Performance Analysis of Satellite-to-Ground Entanglement-Based QKD Under Realistic Atmospheric Turbulence

Duc-Minh Nguyen, Khac-Tuan Nguyen, Hai-Chau Le

Published Dec 18, 2025• 0 citations
Publisher

Abstract

Satellite-based quantum key distribution (QKD) offers a pathway to secure global communications, yet its performance is fundamentally constrained by atmospheric turbulence. This paper presents a detailed analysis of the BBM92 entanglement-based protocol under realistic satellite-to-ground conditions using the Hufnagel-Valley turbulence model. We examine the role of key atmospheric factors, including wind speed, ground station altitude, and diurnal variations, on quantum performance metrics across a mean photon number (MPN) range of 0.001-0.3. Results reveal that turbulence strength, captured via the refractive index structure constant, governs channel transmittance through Rytov variance and scintillation index, directly impacting quantum bit error rate (QBER) and secret key rate (SKR). Simulations show that elevated ground stations improve SKR by$1 5 - 2 5 \%$, nighttime operation yields$\text{40 - 80 \%}$gains compared with daytime, and wind speeds of$30 \mathrm{m} / \mathrm{s}$can reduce SKR by up to 60% relative to$10 \mathrm{m} / \mathrm{s}$conditions. Optimal operation lies in the MPN range of 0.1-0.2, beyond which multiphoton noise degrades security as QBER approaches the 9% threshold.

DOI
10.1109/rivf68649.2025.11365029

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Abstract Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) provides information-theoretic security for future communication networks by exploiting the fundamental principles of quantum mechanics. However, satellite-to-ground QKD links suffer significant performance degradation due to atmospheric turbulence, absorption, scattering, and satellite-induced pointing errors. This paper investigates the BB84 QKD protocol over a Free-Space Optical (FSO) channel modeled using the Gamma–Gamma distribution, which accurately captures both small-scale and large-scale atmospheric irradiance fluctuations. Closed-form and numerical results for outage probability and Quantum Bit Error Rate (QBER) are presented under weak, moderate, and strong turbulence regimes. The Secure Key Rate (SKR) is analyzed as a function of link distance under clear and foggy weather conditions. Additionally, the impact of satellite vibration is evaluated using a jitter-dependent pointing error model, demonstrating that misalignment significantly reduces link reliability. Simulation results show that strong turbulence conditions introduce more than 15 dB SNR penalty compared to clear-sky operation, while haze conditions limit QKD range to under 8–10 km. These findings provide practical performance benchmarks for Low-Earth Orbit (LEO) quantum downlinks in realistic atmospheric environments. The results provide practical insights for electronic receiver design and system implementation of satellite quantum communication links.
Establishing information-theoretically secure communication between arbitrary locations on Earth is a central goal of quantum networking, for which space-based distribution of quantum entanglement is a leading approach. Modelling and analysis of the performance of satellite entanglement pair distribution is therefore important for the architecture and design of future constellations and space systems. However, entanglement-based quantum key distribution in the absence of quantum repeaters, is especially prone to finite-key effects due to low coincident count rates compared to trusted-node single-path links. Quantifying these effects under realistic orbital conditions is therefore essential for the design of practical satellite quantum communication systems. Here, we develop a high-fidelity model of pair distribution from a low-Earth-orbit satellite that captures orbital dynamics, elevation-dependent loss, background noise, and extraneous detector effects. Integrating this with a finite-key security framework for the BBM92 protocol, we optimise the secret key length across different overpass geometries, orbital altitudes, and optical ground station (OGS) separations. We show that secure key generation remains feasible in early clear daytime conditions using baseline parameters representative of current technologies, while showing that modest system improvements could further extend daytime operation. Finally, we evaluate the annual secret key performance for representative intercity-scale OGS pairings. Our results provide quantitative performance bounds and practical design guidelines for near-term entanglement-based satellite QKD, enabling informed trade-offs between satellite payload complexity, ground infrastructure, and achievable secure key throughput.
Satellite-based free-space quantum key distribution (QKD) provides a practical framework for achieving secure global communication beyond the limitations of optical fibers. In this work, the quantum bit error rate (QBER) and secure key rate of four representative protocols-BB84, B92, BBM92, and E91 are investigated over low earth orbit (LEO) links in both uplink and downlink configurations. The optical link is modeled using a Gaussian beam formalism, incorporating the effects of diffraction, pointing errors, atmospheric turbulence, and background noise contributions. The protocols are examined under day and night-time operating conditions, and their dependence on the zenith angle is analyzed. The findings show that downlink links generally exhibit lower QBER and higher secure key rates than uplinks, and among prepare-and-measure schemes, BB84 consistently outperforms B92, while in entanglement-based approaches, BBM92 achieves higher key rates than E91.
This study investigates the performance of mode-pairing quantum key distribution (MP-QKD) over satellite-to-ground free-space channels. A nonuniform atmospheric transmission model is adopted to characterize key loss mechanisms, including turbulence, aerosol scattering, solar interference, and platform-induced beam jitter. Numerical simulations quantify the secret key rate under varying zenith angles and environmental conditions. Results show that increasing zenith angle significantly degrades the key rate because the longer optical path aggravates propagation loss and atmospheric impairment. Under identical atmospheric conditions, nighttime achieves a higher key rate than daytime, mainly because negligible solar interference leads to lower background-photon counts and a reduced QBER. Within the present simplified model, increasing the maximum pairing interval l improves the key rate, although the gain gradually saturates. These findings provide a performance evaluation of MP-QKD in a representative satellite-to-ground free-space configuration and offer practical guidance for parameter selection, environmental-sensitivity analysis, and robust system design.
Atmospheric turbulence is the major challenge to satellite-to-ground quantum key distribution (QKD), yet most performance models treat turbulence only through average statistics, masking temporal loss fluctuations that dominate real links. Here we present an end-to-end, time-evolving satellite-to-ground QKD model that embeds a phase-screen description of turbulence into beam propagation, focusing, tracking, adaptive-optics compensation, and single-mode fiber (SMF) coupling. The simulation delivers the instantaneous channel loss L channel ( t ) and thermal photon dark counts D C bgn , from which we estimate the finite-size secret key rate (SKR) and evaluate the performance of turbulence mitigation techniques. For a GEO-to-Lijiang Station link, the optimized configuration enables day-and-night QKD operation under favorable weather conditions, although the daytime link margin remains limited. This study complements conventional time-averaged models by offering a more realistic and detailed framework for analyzing satellite-to-ground QKD performance and the effectiveness of mitigation techniques under time-evolving turbulence.
Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) has emerged as a fundamentally secure approach to communication in the era of quantum computing, offering protection against threats posed to classical cryptographic schemes such as RSA and Diffie-Hellman. This thesis presents a comprehensive performance analysis of satellite-based QKD protocols, focusing on both prepare-and-measure and entanglement-based schemes under realistic atmospheric and operational conditions. The study begins by introducing the theoretical foundations of quantum communication, including qubits, entanglement, and quantum entropy, and motivates the need for satellite-based QKD to overcome the distance limitations of fiber-based systems. Subsequently, the thesis evaluates four prominent QKD protocols-BB84, B92, BBM92, and E91-using a circular beam propagation model that incorporates atmospheric effects such as diffraction, turbulence, attenuation, and pointing errors, along with environmental noise contributions for uplink and downlink. Comparative numerical simulations reveal that protocol performance is strongly influenced by channel asymmetries, beam propagation characteristics, and noise, providing guidance on optimal protocol selection for low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite links. The research further investigates high-dimensional (HD) QKD protocols, specifically HD-BB84 and HD-Extended B92, using the elliptic-beam approximation to account for turbulence-induced distortions for both uplink and downlink. Simulations under vary ing system dimensions, weather conditions, and zenith angles demonstrate that HD-BB84 achieves higher key rates, superior noise tolerance, and more favorable probability distributions of the key rate compared to HD-Extended B92, highlighting the advantages of high-dimensional encoding for robust satellite-based QKD.