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Quantum-Enhanced Bayesian Network Propagation for Risk Assessment

Jincheng Zhang

Published Aug 31, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

This paper investigates the potential of quantum computing to enhance Bayesian Network (BN) propagation for risk assessment. Traditional BN models struggle with scalability and computational complexity, particularly when dealing with long-time horizons and complex scenarios. We propose a novel framework that leverages quantum algorithms to accelerate probabilistic model updates, thereby improving accuracy and enabling more sophisticated risk assessment. This work explores the feasibility of quantum-enhanced BN propagation through the application of variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) and quantum annealing techniques. The core claim is that quantum computing offers a significant advantage in risk assessment by improving model accuracy and providing a more robust representation of uncertainty.

DOI
10.5281/zenodo.22187318

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This paper investigates the potential of quantum mechanics to accelerate and enhance Bayesian inference, specifically targeting complex probabilistic models. We propose a novel framework incorporating quantum algorithms to efficiently explore the parameter space, ultimately aiming to improve convergence rates and accuracy. The core challenge lies in adapting existing algorithms to the inherently complex nature of quantum systems, while maintaining the interpretability of the results. This work explores the application of quantum annealing and variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) techniques within a Bayesian context to address challenges inherent in probabilistic modeling. We present preliminary results demonstrating enhanced convergence compared to classical methods for a specific model, highlighting the potential for transformative advancements in Bayesian inference.
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