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Local Quantum Probabilities and Global Spacetime Histories

Eran Sinbar

Published Aug 2, 2026• 0 citations
Publisher

Abstract

The Born rule assigns probabilities to quantum measurement outcomes using only the local quantum amplitudes immediately before measurement. Yet the physical consequences of those outcomes may differ dramatically in their subsequent evolution, producing spacetime histories with very different entropies, information content, computational complexity, entanglement structure, and ultimately even spacetime curvature. These global properties appear to play no role in determining quantum probabilities. This paper argues that, viewed through the relativistic block-universe picture, this separation between local probability and global physical structure raises a natural conceptual question. The Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) preserves the complete branching structure of these histories, whereas collapse interpretations retain only a single realized history. The purpose of this paper is not to challenge the Born rule, but to highlight a conceptual asymmetry that may deserve further investigation.

DOI
10.5281/zenodo.21756624

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The Born rule assigns probabilities to quantum measurement outcomes using only the local quantum amplitudes immediately before measurement. Yet the physical consequences of those outcomes may differ dramatically in their subsequent evolution, producing spacetime histories with very different entropies, information content, computational complexity, entanglement structure, and ultimately even spacetime curvature. These global properties appear to play no role in determining quantum probabilities. This paper argues that, viewed through the relativistic block-universe picture, this separation between local probability and global physical structure raises a natural conceptual question. The Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) preserves the complete branching structure of these histories, whereas collapse interpretations retain only a single realized history. The purpose of this paper is not to challenge the Born rule, but to highlight a conceptual asymmetry that may deserve further investigation.
The nature of branching in the many-worlds interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics remains an open question, particularly regarding its locality and compatibility with special relativity. This paper challenges the conventional view that branching is either global or local, demonstrating instead that it is nonlocal for entangled systems. Through a new analysis of the EPR-Bohm experiment, I argue that global branching has several potential issues and can hardly be justified. At the same time, I argue that branching cannot be entirely local, as entangled particles exhibit simultaneous, spacelike-separated branching, manifesting an apparent action at a distance within individual worlds. However, while nonlocal branching suggests the emergence of a preferred Lorentz frame within each world, the multiverse as a whole retains full Lorentz invariance, ensuring no superluminal signaling. By refining the ontology of branching and resolving tensions between MWI and relativistic constraints, this analysis may help advance our understanding of quantum nonlocality and also strengthen MWI's standing as a viable interpretation of quantum mechanics.
Quantum Mechanics notoriously faces a measurement problem, the problem that the unitary time evolution, encoded in its dynamical equations, together with the kinematical structure of the theory generally implies the non-existence \nof definite measurement outcomes. There have been multiple suggestions to solve this problem, among them the so called many worlds interpretation that originated with the work of Hugh Everett III. According to it, the quantum state and time evolution fully and accurately describe nature as it is, implying that under certain conditions multiple measurement outcomes that are seemingly mutually exclusive can be realized at the same time – but as different 'worlds' contained in a global, quantum mechanical structure, sometimes referred to as 'the multiverse'. The many worlds interpretation has, however, been confronted with serious difficulties over the course of its development, some of which were solved by the advent of decoherence theory. The present thesis critically investi- \ngates the state of play on a key remaining problem of the many worlds interpretation, the problem of the meaning and quantification of probabilities in a quantum multiverse. Recent attempts of deriving the pivotal statistical ingredient of quantum mechanics, Born’s rule, from either principles of decision theory or from quantum mechanics alone, supplemented with a few general premises about \nprobability are analyzed and their premises are scrutinized. It will be argued that, though both approaches yield promising results, they both ultimately fail \nto clearly establish the validity of Born’s rule in the context of the many worlds interpretation. It is hence suggested that further research on this problem is indicated.
Ultimately, any explanation of quantum measurement must be extendable to relativistic quantum mechanics (RQM), since many precisely confirmed experimental results follow from quantum field theory (QFT), which is based on RQM. Certainly, the traditional "collapse" postulate for quantum measurement is problematic in a relativistic context, at the very least because, as usually formulated, it violates the relativity of simultaneity. The present paper addresses this with a relativistic model of measurement in which the state of the universe is decomposed into decoherent histories of measurements recorded within it. The approach is essentially Everettian, in the sense that it uses the unmodified, unitary quantum formalism of RQM. But it addresses the difficulty with typical "many worlds" interpretations on how to even define probabilities over different possible ``worlds''. To do this, Zurek's concept of envariance is generalized to the context of relativistic spacetime, giving an objective definition of the probability of any one of the quantum histories, consistent with Born's rule. It is then shown that the statistics of any repeated experiment within the universe also tend to follow the Born rule as the number of repetitions increases. The wave functions that we actually use for such experiments are local reductions of very coarse-grained superpositions of universal eigenstates, and their "collapse" can be re-interpreted as simply an update based on additional incremental knowledge gained from a measurement about the "real" eigenstate of our universe.
One of the primary conceptual difficulties facing the multiple worlds interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics is the interpretation of the Born rule measure as a probability. Given that each world in the MWI is typically envisioned as being equally “real,” a more natural rule would be to assign each of the N branches associated with a measurement the equivalent probability 1/N, rather than the probability |a|^2 prescribed by the Born rule. This approach, the “alternate projection postulate” (APP), has been paid scant attention, however, since it leads to predictions that contradict those of standard quantum mechanics. In this paper, a further modification of the MWI is presented that not only incorporates the aesthetic advantages of the APP, but also is compatible with the predictions of quantum mechanics. This further modification involves an alternative method of enumerating branches that satisfies what is termed here the “Born identity,” according to which there is not a single branch associated with a given experimental outcome, but rather more than one branch, with each branch being physically distinct and the number of branches being proportional to |a|2. In place of the assumption of the Born identity, however, a feasibility argument for the derivation of the Born identity from more fundamental field-theoretic principles (such as those provided by general relativity) is sought. In this manner, it is proposed that quantum statistics may be derived from a purely classical (general relativistic) foundation without injecting the Born rule – either directly or in disguised form – as an independent postulate.
The standard measurement postulate of quantum mechanics stipulates an instantaneous, non-local update of the global wavefunction upon measurement of an entangled subsystem. This postulate has been a persistent source of foundational tension, both with the locality structure of relativistic physics and with the dynamical character of the decoherence program. We separate the measurement postulate into three logically independent claims: definite outcome realization, Born-rule probability assignment, and instantaneous projection for the global wavefunction. We argue that the third claim can be eliminated at the axiomatic level and propose a modified measurement postulate, Postulate M, that replaces it. Under Postulate M, a single pointer outcome is realized locally when environmental decoherence has einselected a pointer basis at the measurement site; the corresponding selection acts on the global wavefunction as a conditional restriction to a branch rather than as a physical operation on spacelike-separated regions. We show that Postulate M recovers the standard measurement postulate as a limiting idealization for vanishing decoherence time, derives Lüders’ rule for sequential measurements, and yields no-signaling as an automatic structural consequence — not only at the level of measurement statistics but at the level of physical states themselves. Two explicit illustrations in the EPR scenario — with one and with both particles coupled to local spin environments — demonstrate the framework concretely and exhibit its frame-independent, manifestly local character. The framework is built on standard decoherence theory, compatible with multiple candidate mechanisms for single-outcome realization including gravitationally-induced collapse proposals, and naturally situated within a ψ-ontic reading of the quantum state. It represents, we argue, a reformulation of quantum mechanics as a local, state-realist theory — preserving Einstein’s aspiration for an objective physical world in the only form consistent with the empirical content of quantum mechanics, namely realism about the wavefunction rather than about pre-measurement observable values.
Decoherence theory has played a central role in explaining the suppression of interference and the emergence of classicality in quantum systems. However, it remains unclear whether decoherence alone can universally account for the origin of quantum probabilities themselves. In the present work, we examine the consequences of interpreting decoherence not merely as an interference-suppression mechanism, but as the fundamental generator of probabilistic measurement outcomes. If quantum probabilities are produced through system–apparatus–environment interactions, the resulting probabilities would generally be expected to depend on the detailed structure of those interactions. Such dependence would imply the possibility of interaction-dependent corrections to the Born-rule probabilities. However, the experimentally observed universality and robustness of the Born rule strongly constrain such a possibility. We therefore argue that decoherence successfully explains the effective suppression of interference terms, but does not by itself universally determine quantum probabilities without additional principles ensuring probability invariance. Based on this distinction, we propose that the origin of quantum probabilities should be conceptually separated from decoherence-induced classicality. Within the Intrinsic Observability Framework (IOF), this separation arises naturally through structural limitations on observability rather than through environment-generated probability formation. The present analysis suggests a conceptual reorganization of the role of decoherence in the quantum measurement problem.