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IEEE International Conference on Blockchain and Distributed Systems Security (ICBDS)

Role of Quantum Computing in Weather Prediction Models Through Pre-Parametrization

Kallur V. Vijayakumar, Madhukar K, Soumya Teggi, A. S. Chethan, M S Muneshwara

Published Oct 30, 2025• 1 citation
Publisher

Abstract

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) refers to the use of mathematical models to simulate the atmosphere's behavior and predict weather conditions. These models are based on the fundamental laws of physics and dynamics, integrated using initial atmospheric observations. Pioneers like Lewis Fry Richardson and Edward Lorenz laid the foundation of modern weather prediction. Parametrization involves replacing complex or unresolved physical processes (e.g., cloud formation, turbulence) with simplified models. It enhances computational efficiency and model realism. Quantum computing leverages quantum bits (qubits), which exist in superpositions and exhibit entanglement. Quantum gates manipulate qubits, and circuits' process quantum information. Quantum computing offers a way to solve high-dimensional, nonlinear systems more efficiently, crucial for parametrization in weather models. In this paper we discuss the quantum computing, though nascent, shows strong potential in enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of weather forecasting through refined parametrization.

DOI
10.1109/icbds67396.2025.11379702

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Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) refers to the use of mathematical models to simulate the atmosphere's behavior and predict weather conditions. These models are based on the fundamental laws of physics and dynamics, integrated using initial atmospheric observations. Pioneers like Lewis Fry Richardson and Edward Lorenz laid the foundation of modern weather prediction. Parametrization involves replacing complex or unresolved physical processes (e.g., cloud formation, turbulence) with simplified models. It enhances computational efficiency and model realism. Quantum computing leverages quantum bits (qubits), which exist in superpositions and exhibit entanglement. Quantum gates manipulate qubits, and circuits' process quantum information. Quantum computing offers a way to solve high-dimensional, nonlinear systems more efficiently, crucial for parametrization in weather models. In this paper we discuss the quantum computing, though nascent, shows strong potential in enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of weather forecasting through refined parametrization.
Weather forecasting plays a critical role across various sectors, supporting strategic planning and reducing the impact of hazardous climatic conditions. However, the inherently chaotic and nonlinear nature of atmospheric systems limits the performance of conventional forecasting approaches, often resulting in prediction inaccuracies and heightened risk. This study proposes a quantum-driven predictive framework that exploits the computational strengths of Quantum Machine Learning (QML) and hybrid quantum–classical optimization to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of modern forecasting models. The framework employs Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs) combined with Variational Quantum Circuits (VQCs) to learn complex spatial–temporal dynamics embedded within large meteorological datasets. Through quantum feature encoding, key atmospheric indicators—including temperature, humidity, wind velocity, and barometric pressure—are projected into high-dimensional Hilbert spaces, enabling more expressive pattern extraction and robust predictive behavior. Simulation results reveal that the quantum-augmented approach surpasses traditional deep learning architectures in both training convergence and forecast precision when applied to extensive weather records. The hybrid design further supports scalability by intelligently distributing computational workloads between classical processors and quantum hardware. Overall, this research demonstrates the transformative potential of quantum computing in atmospheric modeling, offering a foundation for future real-time forecasting systems capable of managing the increasing complexity of global climate patterns.
This chapter discusses the transformative potential of quantum computing in the forecasting of weather and modeling of climate—two very critical fields for understanding and addressing climate change. Quantum computing brings unique computational advantages that will improve the accuracy of predictions, increase knowledge about climate systems, and informed decision-making. The chapter first discusses the importance of these fields and introduces quantum computing and its many applications. It then outlines the current methods used in weather forecasting and climate modeling, highlighting the limitations of traditional computational approaches. Key quantum computing concepts, such as qubits, superposition, and entanglement, are discussed alongside quantum algorithms and architectures. This chapter addresses how quantum computing could bring numerical weather prediction models to a new level, allowing for faster, more accurate weather forecasting through quantum simulation, and using quantum machine learning in analyzing weather patterns. It also gives quantum-inspired algorithms for climate modeling and optimization problems related to 174processing large climatic datasets. While highlighting the promise of quantum computing in revolutionizing these domains, the chapter also discusses its limitations: technical, ethical, and societal. It, therefore, calls for collaboration and responsible deployment in order to reap the full potential of quantum computing to improve the accuracy of predictions, understand climate dynamics, and reduce the impacts of climate change.
Quantum Machine Learning (QML):An emerging research area that integrates principles of quantum computing with machine learning algorithms to enhance computational efficiency, scalability, and learning capability for complex data-driven problems. Cloud-Based Quantum Computing:A computing paradigm that provides remote access to quantum processors and simulators through cloud platforms, enabling scalable, cost-effective, and accessible quantum experimentation without the need for dedicated quantum hardware. Hybrid Quantum–Classical Models:Machine learning architectures that combine classical data preprocessing and optimization techniques with quantum circuits to leverage the strengths of both classical and quantum computation. Weather Forecasting:The process of predicting atmospheric conditions such as temperature, humidity, pressure, and wind speed using data-driven models and computational techniques. Variational Quantum Circuits (VQC):Parameterized quantum circuits optimized using classical algorithms, widely used in quantum machine learning for classification and regression tasks on Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices. NISQ Devices:Current-generation quantum computers characterized by limited qubit counts and noise, which influence the performance and accuracy of present-day quantum algorithms.
In this paper we explore how quantum scientific machine learning can be used to tackle the challenge of weather modeling. Using parametrized quantum circuits as machine learning models, we consider two paradigms: supervised learning from weather data and physics-informed solving of the underlying equations of atmospheric dynamics. In the first case, we demonstrate how a quantum model can be trained to accurately reproduce real-world global stream function dynamics at a resolution of ${4}^{\ensuremath{\circ}}$. We detail a number of problem-specific classical and quantum architecture choices used to achieve this result. Subsequently, we introduce the barotropic vorticity equation (BVE) as our model of the atmosphere, which is a third-order partial differential equation (PDE) in its stream function formulation. Using the differentiable quantum circuits algorithm, we successfully solve the BVE under appropriate boundary conditions and use the trained model to predict unseen future dynamics to high accuracy given an artificial initial weather state. While challenges remain, our results mark an advancement in terms of the complexity of PDEs solved with quantum scientific machine learning.
The study of cloud droplet dynamics is essential for understanding cloud formation, precipitation, and broader atmospheric processes. Traditional computational methods face significant limitations due to the extensive computational resources required for large-scale, high-resolution simulations. Quantum computing, with its ability to perform complex calculations more efficiently, offers a promising solution to these challenges. This review explores the application of quantum computing in analyzing cloud droplet dynamics, highlighting key methodologies, benefits, and challenges. Several studies have demonstrated the potential of quantum algorithms and hybrid quantum-classical approaches to enhance data processing, improve simulation accuracy, and reduce computational time. By leveraging the unique capabilities of quantum mechanics, quantum computing can revolutionize the study of cloud dynamics, paving the way for more accurate weather prediction and climate modeling. Future research directions include the development of more robust quantum algorithms, improved integration with classical methods, and addressing current hardware limitations. This review underscores the transformative potential of quantum computing in atmospheric science and its critical role in advancing our understanding of cloud droplet dynamics.
Global challenge of climate change demands precise predictive models to grasp its effects and create sensible mitigating plans. Based on classical computing methods, traditional models suffer in processing complicated climate data, which results in lower accuracy in long-term forecasts and extreme weather prediction. With its capacity to do huge parallel computations via superposition and entanglement, quantum computing offers a potential fix for improving climate models. In addition to focused on its ability to increase weather forecasting accuracy, long-term climate projections, and extreme weather event predictions, this work investigates the integration of quantum computing in climate science. Quantum-assisted climate models demonstrate better computational efficiency, higher forecast accuracy, and better resource management for mitigating techniques including sustainable agriculture, carbon capture, and solar energy deployment. However, obstacles, developments in quantum technology and multidisciplinary cooperation between climate researchers and quantum physicists are opening the path for more dependable and scalable climate solutions.