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Telecommunications Forum (TELFOR)

A Case Study on the Impact of Noise on Maximum Likelihood Quantum Amplitude Estimation

Doaa Subhi, László Bacsárdi

Published Nov 25, 2025• 0 citations
Publisher

Abstract

The recent quantum age has allowed quantum algorithms to perform in the real world. However, they have significant performance errors in noisy environments. To investigate this issue, we conduct an analysis and simulation to evaluate maximum likelihood quantum amplitude estimation (MLQAE) circuit depths under various conditions: (1) ideal, (2) theoretical noise model, and (3) real noise model. These show variant performance errors, especially in a high-qubit circuit with high error rates, even when using a low-noise model.

DOI
10.1109/telfor67910.2025.11314476

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The recent quantum age has allowed quantum algorithms to perform in the real world. However, they have significant performance errors in noisy environments. To investigate this issue, we conduct an analysis and simulation to evaluate maximum likelihood quantum amplitude estimation (MLQAE) circuit depths under various conditions: (1) ideal, (2) theoretical noise model, and (3) real noise model. These show variant performance errors, especially in a high-qubit circuit with high error rates, even when using a low-noise model.
Quantum amplitude estimation is a key subroutine in a number of powerful quantum algorithms, including quantum-enhanced Monte Carlo simulation and quantum machine learning. Maximum-likelihood quantum amplitude estimation (MLQAE) is one of a number of recent approaches that employ much simpler quantum circuits than the original algorithm based on quantum phase estimation. In this article, we deepen the analysis of MLQAE to put the algorithm in a more prescriptive form, including scenarios where quantum circuit depth is limited. In the process, we observe and explain particular ranges of `exceptional' values of the target amplitude for which the algorithm fails to achieve the desired precision. We then propose and numerically validate a heuristic modification to the algorithm to overcome this problem, bringing the algorithm even closer to being useful as a practical subroutine on near- and mid-term quantum hardware.
Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) -- a technique by which the amplitude of a given quantum state can be estimated with quadratically fewer queries than by standard sampling -- is a key sub-routine in several important quantum algorithms, including Grover search and Quantum Monte-Carlo methods. An obstacle to implementing QAE in near-term noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices has been the need to perform Quantum Phase Estimation (QPE) -- a costly procedure -- as a sub-routine. This impediment was lifted with various QPE-free methods of QAE, wherein Grover queries of varying depths / powers (often according to a "schedule") are followed immediately by measurements and classical post-processing techniques like maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Existing analyses as to the optimality of various query schedules in these QPE-free QAE schemes have hitherto assumed noise-free systems. In this work, we analyse QPE-free QAE under common noise models that may afflict NISQ devices and report on the optimality of various query schedules in the noisy regime. We demonstrate that, given an accurate noise characterization of one's system, one must choose a schedule that balances the trade-off between the greater ideal performance achieved by higher-depth circuits, and the correspondingly greater accumulation of noise-induced error.
Abstract Recently we find several candidates of quantum algorithms that may be implementable in near-term devices for estimating the amplitude of a given quantum state, which is a core subroutine in various computing tasks such as the Monte Carlo methods. One of those algorithms is based on the maximum likelihood estimate with parallelized quantum circuits. In this paper, we extend this method so that it incorporates the realistic noise effect, and then give an experimental demonstration on a superconducting IBM Quantum device. The maximum likelihood estimator is constructed based on the model assuming the depolarization noise. We then formulate the problem as a two-parameters estimation problem with respect to the target amplitude parameter and the noise parameter. In particular we show that there exist anomalous target values, where the Fisher information matrix becomes degenerate and consequently the estimation error cannot be improved even by increasing the number of amplitude amplifications. The experimental demonstration shows that the proposed maximum likelihood estimator achieves quantum speedup in the number of queries, though the estimation error saturates due to the noise. This saturated value of estimation error is consistent to the theory, which implies the validity of the depolarization noise model and thereby enables us to predict the basic requirement on the hardware components (particularly the gate error) in quantum computers to realize the quantum speedup in the amplitude estimation task.
Many quantum algorithms contain an important subroutine---the quantum amplitude estimation. As the name implies, this is essentially the parameter estimation problem and thus can be handled via the established statistical estimation theory. However, this problem has an intrinsic difficulty that the system, i.e., the real quantum computing device, inevitably introduces unknown noise; the probability distribution model then has to incorporate many nuisance noise parameters, resulting that the construction of an optimal estimator becomes inefficient and difficult. For this problem we apply the theory of nuisance parameters (more specifically, the parameter orthogonalization method) to precisely compute the maximum likelihood estimator for only the target amplitude parameter by removing the other nuisance noise parameters. That is, we can estimate the amplitude parameter without estimating the noise parameters. We validate the parameter orthogonalization method in a numerical simulation and study the performance of the estimator in the experiment using a real superconducting quantum device.
The Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) algorithm is a major quantum algorithm designed to achieve a quadratic speed-up. Until fault-tolerant quantum computing is achieved, being competitive over classical Monte Carlo (MC) remains elusive. Alternative methods have been developed so as to require fewer resources while maintaining an advantageous theoretical scaling. We compared the standard QAE algorithm with two Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ)-friendly versions of QAE on a numerical integration task, with the Monte Carlo technique of Metropolis–Hastings as a classical benchmark. The algorithms were evaluated in terms of the estimation error as a function of the number of samples, computational time, and length of the quantum circuits required by the solutions, respectively. The effectiveness of the two QAE alternatives was tested on an 11-qubit trapped-ion quantum computer in order to verify which solution can first provide a speed-up in the integral estimation problems. We concluded that an alternative approach is preferable with respect to employing the phase estimation routine. Indeed, the Maximum Likelihood estimation guaranteed the best trade-off between the length of the quantum circuits and the precision in the integral estimation, as well as greater resistance to noise.
Quantum advantage requires overcoming noise-induced degradation of quantum systems. Conventional methods for reducing noise such as error mitigation face scalability issues in deep circuits. Specifically, noise hampers the extraction of amplitude and observable information from quantum systems. In this work, we present a novel algorithm that enhances the estimation of amplitude and observable under noise. Remarkably, our algorithm exhibits robustness against noise that varies across different depths of the quantum circuits. We assess the accuracy of amplitude and observable using numerical analysis and theoretically analyze the impact of gate-dependent noise on the results. This algorithm is a potential candidate for noise-resilient approaches that have high computational accuracy.