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Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences

Transitivity, contextuality and decision making

William Sulis

Published Nov 27, 2025• 1 citation
Publisher

Abstract

In recent years there has been interest in the relationship between intransitivity and the presence of true (Type II) contextuality (contextuality with context independent marginals). The latter has been considered to be a sine qua non of quantum mechanics, although it has been observed in experiments on human decision making. Transitivity has long been viewed as essential to rational decision making although intransitivity appears to be ubiquitous in the natural world. An analogue of a preference graph is introduced for non-deterministic dynamical systems (of which decision making is an example) and used to identify several conditions which appear necessary for true contextuality to be present. Comparing the preference graph for the system against a reference preference graph formed from the marginals of the observables, one sees losses of options and intransitivity as necessary conditions. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)’.

DOI
10.1098/rsta.2024.0373

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In recent years there has been interest in the relationship between intransitivity and the presence of true (Type II) contextuality (contextuality with context independent marginals). The latter has been considered to be a sine qua non of quantum mechanics, although it has been observed in experiments on human decision making. Transitivity has long been viewed as essential to rational decision making although intransitivity appears to be ubiquitous in the natural world. An analogue of a preference graph is introduced for non-deterministic dynamical systems (of which decision making is an example) and used to identify several conditions which appear necessary for true contextuality to be present. Comparing the preference graph for the system against a reference preference graph formed from the marginals of the observables, one sees losses of options and intransitivity as necessary conditions. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)’.
The transitivity of preferences is one of the basic assumptions used in the theory of games and decisions. It is often equated with rationality of choice and is considered useful in building rankings. Intransitive preferences are considered paradoxical and undesirable. This problem is discussed by many social and natural sciences. The paper discusses a simple model of sequential game in which two players in each iteration of the game choose one of the two elements. They make their decisions in different contexts defined by the rules of the game. It appears that the optimal strategy of one of the players can only be intransitive! (the so-called \textsl{relevant intransitive strategies}.) On the other hand, the optimal strategy for the second player can be either transitive or intransitive. A quantum model of the game using pure one-qubit strategies is considered. In this model, an increase in importance of intransitive strategies is observed -- there is a certain course of the game where intransitive strategies are the only optimal strategies for both players. The study of decision-making models using quantum information theory tools may shed some new light on the understanding of mechanisms that drive the formation of types of preferences.
This article considers the relationships between quantum theory (QT) and quantum-like theories (QLTs), theories using mathematical models based on the formalism of QT, from a reverse perspective, that of QLTs. The article argues that QT is no longer a theory of the behaviour, in particular motion, of physical objects, as was the case in classical physics and relativity. Instead, QT is a form of decision theory, involving a special 'topology' of decisions, using the term topology in part metaphorically, but only in part, because it applies in its proper mathematical sense to the formalism of QT. Part of this topology is the concept of free will, reconsidered through the concept of decision. This character of QT is grounded in a particular type of interpretations of QT, 'reality without realism' (RWR) interpretations. To address the affinities and differences between QT and QLTs, the article introduces two new principles: 'the unambiguity principle', equally applicable in QT and QLTs, or in mathematics and science in general, and 'the free will principle', only applicable in QLTs and not in QT. The article also reflects on the limits of quantum-like sciences (QLSs) and mathematical-experimental science in general in dealing with human thinking and decision making.This article is part of the theme issue 'Quantum theory and topology in models of decision making (Part 1)'.
The context-sensitivity of cognition has been demonstrated across a wide range of cognitive functions such as perception, memory, judgement and decision making. A related term, 'contextuality', has appeared from the field of quantum cognition, with mounting empirical evidence demonstrating that cognitive phenomena are sometimes contextual. Contextuality is a subtle notion that influences how we must view the properties of the cognitive phenomenon being studied. This article addresses the questions: What does it mean for a cognitive phenomenon to be contextual? What are the implications of contextuality for probabilistic models of cognition? How does contextuality differ from context-sensitivity? Starting from George Boole's "conditions of possible experience", we argue that a probabilistic model of a cognitive phenomenon is necessarily subject to an assumption of realism. By this we mean that the phenomenon being studied is assumed to have cognitive properties with a definite value independent of observation. In contrast, quantum cognition holds that a cognitive property maybe indeterminate, i.e., its properties do not have well established values prior to observation. We argue that indeterminacy is sufficient for incompatibility between cognitive properties. In turn, incompatibility is necessary for their contextuality. The significance of this argument for cognitive psychology is the following:if a cognitive phenomenon is found to be contextual, then there is reason to believe it may be indeterminate. We illustrate by means of two crowdsourced experiments how context-sensitivity and contextuality of cognitive properties in the form of facial trait judgements can be characterized from empirical data. Finally, we conceptually and formally contrast contextuality with context-sensitivity. We propose that both involve a form of context dependence, with causality being the differentiating factor: the context dependence in context-sensitivity has a causal basis, whereas the context dependence in contextuality is acausal. The resulting implications for probabilistic models of cognition are discussed.
Most behavioural and social experiments aimed at revealing contextuality are confined to cyclic systems with binary outcomes. In quantum physics, this broad class of systems includes as special cases Klyachko-Can-Binicioglu-Shumovsky-type, Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen-Bell-type and Suppes-Zanotti-Leggett-Garg-type systems. The theory of contextuality known as contextuality-by-default allows one to define and measure contextuality in all such systems, even if there are context-dependent errors in measurements, or if something in the contexts directly interacts with the measurements. This makes the theory especially suitable for behavioural and social systems, where direct interactions of 'everything with everything' are ubiquitous. For cyclic systems with binary outcomes, the theory provides necessary and sufficient conditions for non-contextuality, and these conditions are known to be breached in certain quantum systems. We review several behavioural and social datasets (from polls of public opinion to visual illusions to conjoint choices to word combinations to psychophysical matching), and none of these data provides any evidence for contextuality. Our working hypothesis is that this may be a broadly applicable rule: behavioural and social systems are non-contextual, i.e. all 'contextual effects' in them result from the ubiquitous dependence of response distributions on the elements of contexts other than the ones to which the response is presumably or normatively directed.
In quantum physics there are well-known situations when measurements of the same property in different contexts (under different conditions) have the same probability distribution but cannot be represented by one and the same random variable. Such systems of random variables are called contextual. More generally, true contextuality is observed when different contexts force measurements of the same property (in psychology, responses to the same question) to be more dissimilar random variables than warranted by the difference of their distributions. The difference in distributions is itself a form of context-dependence but of another nature: it is attributable to direct causal influences exerted by contexts upon the random variables. The Contextuality-by-Default theory allows one to separate true contextuality from direct influences in the overall context-dependence. The Contextuality-by-Default analysis of numerous previous attempts to demonstrate contextuality in human judgments shows that all context-dependence in them can be accounted for by direct influences, with no true contextuality present. However, contextual systems in human behavior can be found. In this paper we present a series of crowd-sourcing experiments that exhibit true contextuality in simple decision making. The design of these experiments is an elaboration of one introduced in the Snow Queen experiment (Decision 5, 193-204, 2018), in which contextuality was for the first time demonstrated unequivocally. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2019 APA, all rights reserved).