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Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)

A Quantum Perceptron: A New Approach for Predicting Rice Prices at the Indonesian Wholesale Trade Level

Solikhun, Tri Yunita

Published Aug 7, 2024• 0 citations
Publisher

Abstract

The wholesale rice trade in Indonesia encounters various challenges in forecasting prices. These challenges are influenced by factors such as weather, government policies, global market conditions, and other economic variables. Accurate price predictions are crucial for informing government policy in a timely manner. This research introduces a new approach that utilizes the Quantum Perceptron algorithm to forecast rice prices. The algorithm, an innovative method in quantum computing, is expected to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of price predictions. Although the research is still in the analytical stage, the use of Quantum Perceptron shows promise in dynamically addressing the complexity of market data and the variability of factors affecting rice prices. The method focuses on developing models that can leverage quantum computing to process information more effectively than classical methods. By harnessing the unique properties of quantum mechanics, such as superposition and entanglement, Quantum Perceptron can identify complex patterns and optimize predictions of future rice prices. The research describes the implementation of quantum algorithms in the context of the Indonesian rice wholesale market, including the technical challenges encountered and future development prospects. The research utilizes quantum computing along with the perceptron algorithm. The researchers focused on analyzing the quantum perceptron algorithm because of the limited availability of quantum computing devices. The findings of this research are confined to analysis. In order to advance this research, the author recommends that future studies employ quantum devices to achieve more accurate predictions

DOI
10.29207/resti.v8i4.5869

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The wholesale rice trade in Indonesia encounters various challenges in forecasting prices. These challenges are influenced by factors such as weather, government policies, global market conditions, and other economic variables. Accurate price predictions are crucial for informing government policy in a timely manner. This research introduces a new approach that utilizes the Quantum Perceptron algorithm to forecast rice prices. The algorithm, an innovative method in quantum computing, is expected to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of price predictions. Although the research is still in the analytical stage, the use of Quantum Perceptron shows promise in dynamically addressing the complexity of market data and the variability of factors affecting rice prices. The method focuses on developing models that can leverage quantum computing to process information more effectively than classical methods. By harnessing the unique properties of quantum mechanics, such as superposition and entanglement, Quantum Perceptron can identify complex patterns and optimize predictions of future rice prices. The research describes the implementation of quantum algorithms in the context of the Indonesian rice wholesale market, including the technical challenges encountered and future development prospects. The research utilizes quantum computing along with the perceptron algorithm. The researchers focused on analyzing the quantum perceptron algorithm because of the limited availability of quantum computing devices. The findings of this research are confined to analysis. In order to advance this research, the author recommends that future studies employ quantum devices to achieve more accurate predictions
Rice imports are crucial to ensure a country's food availability, especially when domestic production is insufficient. Because rice is the staple food of Indonesians, a spike in rice prices could cause social unrest. Rice imports have a strategic role in maintaining food stability and reducing the risk of price instability. This research aims to utilize the Quantum Perceptron algorithm to predict rice imports more effectively. Quantum Perceptron is a new approach that combines the principles of quantum mechanics with artificial intelligence to improve prediction performance. Researchers used data on the number of rice imports from the leading countries of origin obtained from the Central Statistics Agency using 7 variables x1 to x7. The research results show that the quantum perceptron algorithm can make predictions very well, proven by a perfect accuracy of 100% with a total of 20 epochs. This result is still better than the classical perceptron, which has 100% accuracy but with a larger number of epochs, namely 50. Quantum perceptron has better performance and shorter time, which can be seen from the smaller number of epochs compared to the classical perceptron.
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In the current digital era, e-commerce has become the backbone of Indonesia's digital economy, which is experiencing rapid growth. However, competition in this industry is becoming increasingly fierce, indicating the importance of predicting the number of website visitors for an effective marketing strategy. Quantum Perceptron, the latest quantum computing innovation, promises a more accurate and efficient approach compared to conventional methods such as classical Perceptron. This research proposes the use of Quantum Perceptron to predict the number of visitors on large e-commerce platforms in Indonesia. The data used in the research is data on the number of e-commerce visitors obtained from the katadata.com website. Data from Shopee, Tokopedia, Lazada, Blibli, and Bukalapak were used to analyze and compare predictions with classical perceptron methods, showing the significant potential of Quantum Perceptron in supporting the development of more efficient business strategies. The research results show that the Quantum Perceptron algorithm can make predictions very well compared to the classical perceptron, proven by the Quantum Perceptron having a perfect accuracy of 100% with a total of 2 epochs while the classical perceptron has 100% accuracy with a total of 10 epochs. Quantum perceptron has better performance and shorter time, this can be seen from the smaller number of epochs.
The price of gold has garnered significant attention in the world of finance and investment due to its role as a safe haven asset and an indicator of global economic stability. An inherent risk of investing in gold is the daily fluctuation in prices, which can rise, fall, or remain stable. Investors are constantly seeking accurate ways to predict gold price movements in order to make informed investment decisions. While classic algorithms like artificial neural networks have been used for gold price prediction, they often struggle with analyzing complex data and identifying the hidden patterns within large datasets. It is widely acknowledged that accurately and consistently predicting the gold price movements, exchange rate, and whether the gold price will rise or fall is very challenging. To address this challenge, this study explored the use of quantum perceptron algorithm for predicting global gold prices. This approach harnesses the principles of quantum computing to improve the efficiency and performance of neural network models. Quantum computers can perform multiple computations simultaneously, enabling the solution of problems that are difficult for classical computers. This study utilized global gold data from January 2018 to December 2022, with 80:20 split of training and testing data; data from January 2018 to December 2021 for training and data from January 2022 to December 2022 for testing. This study aims to offer insights into the potential and application of quantum algorithms in predicting gold prices. The research involved an analysis of global gold price predictions using the quantum perceptron algorithm and quantum computing.
This review explores the emerging field of quantum-classical hybrid approaches for predicting stock price movement. Predicting the stock price movement has been a popular topic amongst machine learning (ML) enthusiasts. However, predicting how a particular stock or stock market will perform is a difficult task, due to market dynamics, company (stock) specific dynamics, volatility, and other environmental factors. Using advanced classic machine learning techniques, such predictions have become possible, but also computationally complex. There is a need to develop a non-linear prediction model for predicting the movement of the price of a stock, in a more accurate and faster manner. We examine recent advancements in quantum computing algorithms, focusing on the potential to enhance the efficiency and accuracy of traditional prediction models. This review delves into key concepts such as quantum feature maps, variational quantum circuits, and hybrid architectures that integrate quantum and classical components. We discuss the potential advantages of quantum-enhanced techniques, for their ability to process complex financial data efficiently and unlock hidden patterns. Furthermore, we analyze the current challenges and limitations. This review aims to provide an in-depth overview of the latest quantum-classical stock price prediction, highlighting promising avenues for further research and development in this exciting field.
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