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International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)

Modern Power System Risk Assessment Using Quantum Computing

Seyed Amir Hosseini, Antonello Monti, Saeed Peyghami

Published Jun 24, 2024• 2 citations
Publisher

Abstract

The incorporation of renewable energy and the expanding size of power systems have elevated operational uncertainty, thereby raising the risk of load loss. Additionally, the analysis duration has been extended as a consequence. Swift and imperative risk assessments are vital for guaranteeing the safety and reliability of modern power systems operations. In this paper, the utilization of Quantum computing methodologies to enhance the efficiency of the risk assessment in modern power systems is explored. Two prevalent methods, namely Monte Carlo simulation and Bayesian networks, are the focus of this study. The first part introduces a Quantum Monte Carlo circuit designed to analyze risk with greater efficiency compared to the conventional Monte Carlo simulations commonly employed on classical computers. Moreover, the exploration of Quantum computing in Bayesian networks offers a novel approach for modeling and analyzing dependencies within power systems. The potential of Quantum computing to redefine risk assessment methodologies in the domain of power system reliability is illuminated by this research.

DOI
10.1109/pmaps61648.2024.10667102

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This paper introduces the first quantum computing framework for Stochastic Quantum Power Flow (SQPF) analysis in power systems. The proposed method leverages quantum states to encode power flow distributions, enabling the use of Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) sampling to efficiently assess the probability of line overloads. Our approach significantly reduces the required sample size compared to traditional Monte Carlo methods, making it particularly suited for risk assessments in scenarios involving high uncertainty, such as renewable energy integration. We validate the method on two test systems, demonstrating the computational advantage of quantum algorithms in reducing sample complexity while maintaining accuracy. This work represents a foundational step toward scalable quantum power flow analysis, with potential applications in future power system operations and planning. The results show promising computational speedups, underscoring the potential of quantum computing in addressing the increasing uncertainty in modern power grids.
This paper introduces the first quantum computing framework for Stochastic Quantum Power Flow (SQPF) analysis in power systems . The proposed method leverages quantum states to encode power flow distributions, enabling the use of Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) sampling to efficiently assess the probability of line overloads. Our approach significantly reduces the required sample size compared to traditional Monte Carlo methods , making it particularly suited for risk assessments in scenarios involving high uncertainty, such as renewable energy integration. We validate the method on two test systems, demonstrating the computational advantage of quantum algorithms in reducing sample complexity while maintaining accuracy. This work represents a foundational step toward scalable quantum power flow analysis, with potential applications in future power system operations and planning. The results show promising computational speedups, underscoring the potential of quantum computing in addressing the increasing uncertainty in modern power grids.
To enable an in-depth study of power system operation and planning, the assessment of standard reliability indices is inevitable. The Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) approach is a broadly used method in replacing the analytical methods in reliability indices assessment. The accuracy of MCS, however, highly depends on the sampling size, and hence, a complicated system with large number of components requires a large sampling size and daunting computational effort. To address this shortcoming, this paper attempts to take advantage of potentials of the quantum computing (QC) for power system reliability assessment by realizing the following contributions: 1) an innovative quantum model designed for reliability assessment; 2) a quantum circuit that achieves the quadratic speed up compared to the classical MCS method; 3) an efficient quantum amplitude estimation (QAE) algorithm to accurately evaluate the reliability indices. The accuracy and efficacy of the quantum reliability method are extensively verified and demonstrated on both radial and mesh distribution systems.
Operational demands in industries, such as the energy sector, underscore the critical need for reliable equipment capable of withstanding long-term planning and unpredictable factors.Reliability assessment is important for maintaining productivity and optimizing maintenance strategies, especially in scenarios where data limitations challenge traditional assessment methods.In this context, Bayesian inference has emerged as a dynamic tool to update reliability estimates using data from various hierarchical levels.However, conventional simulation techniques may lack computational efficiency when dealing with the reliability estimation of complex systems, creating opportunities to explore alternative approaches such as quantum computation techniques.Quantum Computing leverages principles of quantum mechanics, such as superposition and entanglement, to try to address these computational challenges more effectively.Previous works have applied quantum Bayesian networks using amplitude amplification methods to the context of risk and reliability, focusing on nodes representing discrete probability distributions.This research aims to enhance this approach by incorporating continuous marginal and conditional probabilities into the analysis, which is particularly relevant for systems that rely on these distributions to model events.We explore the encoding of continuous probability distributions within the amplitude amplification framework, aiming to improve the efficiency and precision of probabilistic inference.Additionally, we apply this methodology to Bayesian networks, benchmarking the performance of quantum methods against classical simulation techniques like Monte Carlo to identify scenarios where quantum techniques demonstrate clear advantages.
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