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Cambridge University Press eBooks

Quantum Technologies

Chris Jay Hoofnagle, Simson Garfinkel

Published Nov 18, 2021• 0 citations
Publisher
DOI
10.1017/9781108883719.004

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The article examines the prospects and risks associated with the development of quantum technologies in the perspective of the US-China technological rivalry. In the coming decades, quantum technologies will act as a driving force for technological development, and the priority in the development and use of this innovative technology will pave the way for global technological leadership in national security, digital economy, military and defense industries. A number of future risks are predicted, among them those related to the socially fair use of quantum technologies, geopolitical and national security aspects of their use, and the need to create regulatory mechanisms (including international ones) and standards for quantum technologies. The question is raised about the current ethical initiatives of the IT and business communities to prevent the risks associated with quantum technologies in the future.
History has shown that new technologies can change the face of war significantly. Today, experiencing the speed of innovation and the emergence of technologies made possible by the Fourth Industrial Revolution, even the classical Clausewitzian theory of the nature of war can be questioned. The United States is expected to have an early advantage in the area of quantum computing. However, China is also exploring the applications of quantum technology and has already surpassed the United States in the area of quantum communication. Therefore, recognizing the importance of quantum technology and its application, developing its integration, and understanding the strategic context laid in the US National Defense Strategy 2018 (NDS 2018), it is imperative to consider quantum technology in the paradigm of operational art. Quantum technology is an emerging technology that has the potential to reshape the world and provoke a new arms race. Given that we are in the early stages of quantum technology and there exists the potential of this technology providing the United States and her allies an advantage over adversaries, this monograph analyzes quantum technology and examines its potential importance in future warfare.
While the fundamental nature of war remains constant, military strategies continue to evolve in response to capabilities enabled by new technologies. Therefore, military leaders must be aware of emerging and disruptive technologies to maintain forces that are relevant. One such technology is quantum technology, which has received a great deal of attention in the past few years due to its potential application in a wide range of areas. Particularly, quantum technology promises breakthroughs in various domains of warfare by significantly enhancing current military technology. This article explores three major defense applications of quantum technology—quantum computing, quantum sensing, and quantum communication—and their impact on future warfare based on realistic assessment.