Establishing a New Link between Fuzzy Logic, Neuroscience, and Quantum Mechanics through Bayesian Probability: Perspectives in Artificial Intelligence and Unconventional Computing
Human interaction with the world is dominated by uncertainty. Probability theory is a valuable tool to face such uncertainty. According to the Bayesian definition, probabilities are personal beliefs. Experimental evidence supports the notion that human behavior is highly consistent with Bayesian probabilistic inference in both the sensory and motor and cognitive domain. All the higher-level psychophysical functions of our brain are believed to take the activities of interconnected and distributed networks of neurons in the neocortex as their physiological substrate. Neurons in the neocortex are organized in cortical columns that behave as fuzzy sets. Fuzzy sets theory has embraced uncertainty modeling when membership functions have been reinterpreted as possibility distributions. The terms of Bayes' formula are conceivable as fuzzy sets and Bayes' inference becomes a fuzzy inference. According to the QBism, quantum probabilities are also Bayesian. They are logical constructs rather than physical realities. It derives that the Born rule is nothing but a kind of Quantum Law of Total Probability. Wavefunctions and measurement operators are viewed epistemically. Both of them are similar to fuzzy sets. The new link that is established between fuzzy logic, neuroscience, and quantum mechanics through Bayesian probability could spark new ideas for the development of artificial intelligence and unconventional computing.
Human interaction with the world is dominated by uncertainty. Probability theory is a valuable tool to face such uncertainty. According to the Bayesian definition, probabilities are personal beliefs. Experimental evidence supports the notion that human behavior is highly consistent with Bayesian probabilistic inference in both the sensory and motor and cognitive domain. All the higher-level psychophysical functions of our brain are believed to take the activities of interconnected and distributed networks of neurons in the neocortex as their physiological substrate. Neurons in the neocortex are organized in cortical columns that behave as fuzzy sets. Fuzzy sets theory has embraced uncertainty modeling when membership functions have been reinterpreted as possibility distributions. The terms of Bayes' formula are conceivable as fuzzy sets and Bayes' inference becomes a fuzzy inference. According to the QBism, quantum probabilities are also Bayesian. They are logical constructs rather than physical realities. It derives that the Born rule is nothing but a kind of Quantum Law of Total Probability. Wavefunctions and measurement operators are viewed epistemically. Both of them are similar to fuzzy sets. The new link that is established between fuzzy logic, neuroscience, and quantum mechanics through Bayesian probability could spark new ideas for the development of artificial intelligence and unconventional computing.
Purpose: Decision-making under uncertainty remains a foundational challenge in cognitive science and artificial intelligence. Classical Bayesian Probability Models (CBM) often fail to explain paradoxical cognitive behaviors such as order effects, ambiguity aversion, and context-dependent reasoning. This study seeks to compare Quantum Probability Theory (QPT) and Classical Bayesian Models in their ability to capture the dynamics of human decision-making. It aims to determine which framework more accurately reflects the cognitive mechanisms underlying reasoning under uncertainty. Methodology: A qualitative, exploratory research design was adopted, involving in-depth semi-structured interviews with 16 experts across psychology, philosophy, artificial intelligence, and cognitive neuroscience. Participants were purposively selected for their theoretical and empirical expertise in probabilistic reasoning. Data were analyzed using reflexive thematic analysis, guided by the Dual-Process Theory and Busemeyer’s Quantum Cognition framework. The analysis emphasized participants’ perspectives on theoretical assumptions, cognitive plausibility, and predictive utility between QPT and CBM paradigms. Findings: Thematic findings reveal that Quantum Probability Theory offers superior explanatory power in contexts involving cognitive ambiguity, contextual dependence, and non-commutativity of mental operations. Participants consistently reported that QPT better models real-world reasoning tasks where classical logic collapses, capturing the fluid and context-sensitive nature of human judgment. Conversely, while CBM remains effective in structured, low-uncertainty scenarios, it fails to accommodate superposition and interference effects inherent in human cognition. Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice, and Policy (Recommendations): The study contributes theoretically by demonstrating how quantum probabilistic models expand existing theories of bounded rationality and probabilistic reasoning in cognitive science. Practically, it encourages interdisciplinary collaboration between cognitive scientists, AI researchers, and philosophers to refine decision models that mirror human intuition more closely. Policy-wise, the findings support the integration of quantum-inspired approaches in the design of intelligent decision-support systems and cognitive architectures. The study recommends continued empirical validation of QPT within applied domains—such as behavioral economics, machine learning, and cognitive modeling—to strengthen its predictive and explanatory robustness.
In this work, we propose a novel quantum-informed epistemic framework that extends the classical notion of probability by integrating plausibility, credibility, and possibility as distinct yet complementary measures of uncertainty. This enriched quadruple (P, Pl, Cr, Ps) enables a deeper characterization of quantum systems and decision-making processes under partial, noisy, or ambiguous information. Our formalism generalizes the Born rule within a multi-valued logic structure, linking Positive Operator-Valued Measures (POVMs) with data-driven plausibility estimators, agent-based credibility priors, and fuzzy-theoretic possibility functions. We develop a hybrid classical-quantum inference engine that computes a vectorial aggregation of the quadruples, enhancing robustness and semantic expressivity in contexts where classical probability fails to capture non-Kolmogorovian phenomena such as entanglement, contextuality, or decoherence. The approach is validated through three real-world application domains-quantum cybersecurity, quantum AI, and financial computing-where the proposed model outperforms standard probabilistic reasoning in terms of accuracy, resilience to noise, interpretability, and decision stability. Comparative analysis against QBism, Dempster-Shafer, and fuzzy quantum logic further demonstrates the uniqueness of architecture in both operational semantics and practical outcomes. This contribution lays the groundwork for a new theory of epistemic quantum computing capable of modelling and acting under uncertainty beyond traditional paradigms.
Understanding human decision-making in uncertain and dynamic scenarios is essential for advancing technologies in AI, predictive analytics, and behavioral simulations. Fuzzy logic provides an approach for representing gradual transitions and capturing the nuances of human behaviors, making it a foundation for tackling such challenges. This study explores a hybrid approach integrating fuzzy logic, quantum computing, and machine learning to model complex decision-making scenarios. Using a case study of the Prisoner’s Dilemma, the methodology captures nuanced human behaviors and uncertainties through fuzzy membership degrees while leveraging quantum properties like superposition and entanglement to simulate dynamic agent interactions. The resulting simulations generated a comprehensive dataset, which was subsequently applied in a quantum-based artificial intelligence model, demonstrating the capability of this integrated approach to uncover complex patterns in uncertain systems. This work offers a foundation for advancing computational models in decision support systems and predictive analytics, highlighting the promise of emerging technologies in addressing challenges in multidimensional and interdependent environments.
Abstract In the 1950s and 1960s it was causing interest among physicists that in the formalism of quantum mechanics (complex-valued) ‘probability amplitudes’ obeyed laws similar to the laws obeyed by probabilities in the ordinary probability calculus. But this did not then lead decisively to the claim that probabilities should be represented by complex numbers. It became fashionable instead to regard probability amplitudes as an abstract concept from which actual probabilities could be derived by taking the squared moduli of the amplitudes. In this monograph, however, we make another attempt to show how probability amplitudes might after all be identified with actual probabilities. To do this, probability itself is interpreted in a rational Bayesian manner (i.e. as an extension of logic) and a new (complex-valued) probability theory is formulated that incorporates the uncertainty principle (i.e. that takes account of the fact that acquisition of knowledge of a quantum mechanical process generally interferes with it). Taking this probability theory as the new logic of science, and assuming certain physical laws and properties of matter, an interpretation of non-relativistic quantum mechanics is built up. It is consistent with the usual quantum mechanical formalism but allows a clear distinction to be made between the physical world and our knowledge of it.
This chapter models quantum and neural uncertainty using a concept of the Agent–based Uncertainty Theory (AUT). The AUT is based on complex fusion of crisp (non-fuzzy) conflicting judgments of agents. It provides a uniform representation and an operational empirical interpretation for several uncertainty theories such as rough set theory, fuzzy sets theory, evidence theory, and probability theory. The AUT models conflicting evaluations that are fused in the same evaluation context. This agent approach gives also a novel definition of the quantum uncertainty and quantum computations for quantum gates that are realized by unitary transformations of the state. In the AUT approach, unitary matrices are interpreted as logic operations in logic computations. We show that by using permutation operators any type of complex classical logic expression can be generated. With the quantum gate, we introduce classical logic into the quantum domain. This chapter connects the intrinsic irrationality of the quantum system and the non-classical quantum logic with the agents. We argue that AUT can help to find meaning for quantum superposition of non-consistent states. Next, this chapter shows that the neural fusion at the synapse can be modeled by the AUT in the same fashion. The neuron is modeled as an operator that transforms classical logic expressions into many-valued logic expressions. The motivation for such neural network is to provide high flexibility and logic adaptation of the brain model.Request access from your librarian to read this chapter's full text.
Classical models of decision-making under uncertainty, grounded in expected utility theory and Bayesian probability, often fail to account for systematic cognitive anomalies such as preference reversals, order effects, ambiguity aversion, and context-dependent choices. Quantum cognition models offer a novel theoretical framework that applies the mathematical principles of quantum probability—such as superposition, interference, and non-commutativity—to cognitive processes without assuming physical quantum mechanisms in the brain. By representing cognitive states as probabilistic superpositions that collapse through decision “measurements,” these models provide parsimonious explanations for violations of classical rationality. This paper examines how quantum cognition frameworks capture contextual influence, belief updating, and interference effects in uncertain decision environments. Drawing on findings from cognitive psychology and behavioral economics, the study highlights the relevance of quantum cognition for applications in economic choice modeling, legal decision analysis, and artificial intelligence. The analysis suggests that quantum probability offers a robust alternative to classical approaches when modeling human decision-making in complex, ambiguous, and context-sensitive situations.