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Physical Review A

Conditional probabilities of measurements, quantum time, and the Wigner's-friend case

Martino Trassinelli

Published Mar 28, 2022• 4 citations
Publisher

Abstract

Considering a minimal number of assumptions and in the context of the timeless formalism, conditional probabilities are derived for subsequent measurements in the nonrelativistic regime. Only unitary transformations are considered with detection processes described by generalized measurements (positive operator valued measures). One-time conditional probabilities are unambiguously derived via the Gleason-Bush theorem, including for puzzling cases like the Wigner's-friend scenario where their form underlines the relativity aspect of measurements. No paradoxical situations emerge, and the roles of Wigner and Wigner can be seen by his friend as being in a superposition.

DOI
10.1103/physreva.105.032213

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Considering a minimal number of assumptions and in the context of the timeless formalism, conditional probabilities are derived for subsequent measurements in the nonrelativistic regime. Only unitary transformations are considered with detection processes described by generalized measurements (positive operator valued measures). One-time conditional probabilities are unambiguously derived via the Gleason-Bush theorem, including for puzzling cases like the Wigner's-friend scenario where their form underlines the relativity aspect of measurements. No paradoxical situations emerge, and the roles of Wigner and Wigner can be seen by his friend as being in a superposition.
Considering a minimal number of assumptions and in the context of the timeless formalism, conditional probabilities are derived for subsequent measurements in the non-relativistic regime. Only unitary transformations are considered with detection processes described by generalized measurements (POVM). One-time conditional probabilities are unambiguously derived via the Gleason-Bush theorem, including for puzzling cases like the Wigner's friend scenario where their form underlines the relativity aspect of measurements. No paradoxical situations emerge and the roles of Wigner and Wigner can be seen by his friend as being in a superposition.
The quantum measurement problem can be regarded as the tension between the two alternative dynamics prescribed by quantum mechanics: the unitary evolution of the wave function and the state-update rule (or "collapse") at the instant a measurement takes place. The notorious Wigner's friend gedankenexperiment constitutes the paradoxical scenario in which different observers (one of whom is observed by the other) describe one and the same interaction differently, one –the Friend– via state-update and the other –Wigner– unitarily. This can lead to Wigner and his friend assigning different probabilities to the outcome of the same subsequent measurement. In this paper, we apply the Page-Wootters mechanism (PWM) as a timeless description of Wigner's friend-like scenarios. We show that the standard rules to assign two-time conditional probabilities within the PWM need to be modified to deal with the Wigner's friend gedankenexperiment. We identify three main definitions of such modified rules to assign two-time conditional probabilities, all of which reduce to standard quantum theory for non-Wigner's friend scenarios. However, when applied to the Wigner's friend setup each rule assigns different conditional probabilities, potentially resolving the probability-assignment paradox in a different manner. Moreover, one rule imposes strict limits on when a joint probability distribution for the measurement outcomes of Wigner and his Friend is well-defined, which single out those cases where Wigner's measurement does not disturb the Friend's memory and such a probability has an operational meaning in terms of collectible statistics. Interestingly, the same limits guarantee that said measurement outcomes fulfill the consistency condition of the consistent histories framework.
It is well-known that the law of total probability does not generally hold in quantum theory. However, recent arguments on some of the fundamental assumptions in quantum theory based on the extended Wigner's friend scenario show a need to clarify how the law of total probability should be formulated in quantum theory and under what conditions it still holds. In this work, the definition of conditional probability in quantum theory is extended to POVM measurements. A rule to assign two-time conditional probability is proposed for incompatible POVM operators, which leads to a more general and precise formulation of the law of total probability. Sufficient conditions under which the law of total probability holds are identified. Applying the theory developed here to analyze several quantum no-go theorems related to the extended Wigner's friend scenario reveals logical loopholes in these no-go theorems. The loopholes exist as a consequence of taking for granted the validity of the law of total probability without verifying the sufficient conditions. Consequently, the contradictions in these no-go theorems only reconfirm the invalidity of the law of total probability in quantum theory rather than invalidating the physical statements that the no-go theorems attempt to refute.
By assuming (i) a universal, observer-independent quantum state, by considering (ii) measurement processes with wave function collapse as part of quantum mechanical time evolution (also within isolated systems), and by (iii) clearly distinguishing the state of a quantum system from the knowledge of conscious observers about this state, we suggest a modified Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics that resolves Wigner's Friend and extended Wigner's Friend paradoxes. The suggested interpretation leads to differences in some outcome probabilities compared to previous analyses which, in principle, make it possible to falsify the suggested modifications or the previous analyses (or both). The fundamental problem of the incompleteness of quantum mechanics in the Copenhagen interpretation regarding the lack of a precise definition and a mechanistic description of the measurement process (including the collapse of the wave function) is not addressed in this study. However, the argumentation regarding the resolution of Wigner's Friend paradoxes also applies to attempts for such a mechanistic description using collapse models with stochastic extensions to the Schrödinger equation or trying to model wave function collapse with unitary time evolution and irreversibility of the measurement process resulting from quantum statistical mechanics.
Wigner’s friend scenarios involve an Observer, or Observers, measuring a Friend, or Friends, who themselves make quantum measurements. In recent discussions, it has been suggested that quantum mechanics may not always be able to provide a consistent account of a situation involving two Observers and two Friends. We investigate this problem by invoking the basic rules of quantum mechanics as outlined by Feynman in the well-known “Feynman Lectures on Physics”. We show here that these “Feynman rules” constrain the a priori assumptions which can be made in generalised Wigner’s friend scenarios, because the existence of the probabilities of interest ultimately depends on the availability of physical evidence (material records) of the system’s past. With these constraints obeyed, a non-ambiguous and consistent account of all measurement outcomes is obtained for all agents, taking part in various Wigner’s Friend scenarios.