Challenges
Datasets
Workspaces
Papers
Discussions
Leaderboard
Log inSign up
Challenges
Datasets
Workspaces
Papers
Discussions
Leaderboard
Blog
Job Board
Q3AS

© 2026 Aqora Quantum S.A.S.

TermsPrivacyLegal Notice

Fast Quantum Algorithm for Predicting Descriptive Statistics of Stochastic Processes

Pedro Colín

Published Jan 1, 1999• 0 citations
OpenAlex

Abstract

Stochastic processes are used as a modeling tool in several sub-fields of physics, biology, and finance. Analytic understanding of the long term behavior of such processes is only tractable for very simple types of stochastic processes such as Markovian processes. However, in real world applications more complex stochastic processes often arise. In physics, the complicating factor might be nonlinearities; in biology it might be memory effects; and in finance is might be the non-random intentional behavior of participants in a market. In the absence of analytic insight, one is forced to understand these more complex stochastic processes via numerical simulation techniques. In this paper we present a quantum algorithm for performing such simulations. In particular, we show how a quantum algorithm can predict arbitrary descriptive statistics (moments) of N-step stochastic processes in just O(square root of N) time. That is, the quantum complexity is the square root of the classical complexity for performing such simulations. This is a significant speedup in comparison to the current state of the art.

Related papers

Quantum Encoding and Analysis on Continuous Time Stochastic Process with Financial Applications

Xi‐Ning Zhuang, Zhao‐Yun Chen, Cheng Xue +2 more

Modeling stochastic phenomena in continuous time is an essential yet challenging problem. Analytic solutions are often unavailable, and numerical methods can be prohibitively time-consuming and computationally expensive. To address this issue, we propose an algorithmic framework tailored for quantum continuous time stochastic processes. This framework consists of two key procedures: data preparation and information extraction. The data preparation procedure is specifically designed to encode and compress information, resulting in a significant reduction in both space and time complexities. This reduction is exponential with respect to a crucial feature parameter of the stochastic process. Additionally, it can serve as a submodule for other quantum algorithms, mitigating the common data input bottleneck. The information extraction procedure is designed to decode and process compressed information with quadratic acceleration, extending the quantum-enhanced Monte Carlo method. The framework demonstrates versatility and flexibility, finding applications in statistics, physics, time series analysis and finance. Illustrative examples include option pricing in the Merton Jump Diffusion Model and ruin probability computing in the Collective Risk Model, showcasing the framework’s ability to capture extreme market events and incorporate history-dependent information. Overall, this quantum algorithmic framework provides a powerful tool for accurate analysis and enhanced understanding of stochastic phenomena.

Quantum•Oct 3, 2023•8 citations

Quantum Encoding and Analysis on Continuous Time Stochastic Process with Financial Applications

Xi‐Ning Zhuang, Zhao‐Yun Chen, Cheng Xue +2 more

The continuous time stochastic process is a mainstream mathematical instrument modeling the random world with a wide range of applications involving finance, statistics, physics, and time series analysis, while the simulation and analysis of the continuous time stochastic process is a challenging problem for classical computers. In this work, a general framework is established to prepare the path of a continuous time stochastic process in a quantum computer efficiently. The storage and computation resource is exponentially reduced on the key parameter of holding time, as the qubit number and the circuit depth are both optimized via our compressed state preparation method. The desired information, including the path-dependent and history-sensitive information that is essential for financial problems, can be extracted efficiently from the compressed sampling path, and admits a further quadratic speed-up. Moreover, this extraction method is more sensitive to those discontinuous jumps capturing extreme market events. Two applications of option pricing in Merton jump diffusion model and ruin probability computing in the collective risk model are given.

arXiv:2208.02364•Aug 3, 2022•2 citations

Non-Markovian quantum processes: Complete framework and efficient characterization

Felix A. Pollock, César A. Rodríguez-Rosario, Thomas Frauenheim +2 more

Currently, there is no systematic way to describe a quantum process with memory solely in terms of experimentally accessible quantities. However, recent technological advances mean we have control over systems at scales where memory effects are non-negligible. The lack of such an operational description has hindered advances in understanding physical, chemical, and biological processes, where often unjustified theoretical assumptions are made to render a dynamical description tractable. This has led to theories plagued with unphysical results and no consensus on what a quantum Markov (memoryless) process is. Here, we develop a universal framework to characterize arbitrary non-Markovian quantum processes. We show how a multitime non-Markovian process can be reconstructed experimentally, and that it has a natural representation as a many-body quantum state, where temporal correlations are mapped to spatial ones. Moreover, this state is expected to have an efficient matrix-product-operator form in many cases. Our framework constitutes a systematic tool for the effective description of memory-bearing open-system evolutions.

arXiv:1512.00589•Physical Review A•Jan 25, 2018•331 citations

Implementing quantum dimensionality reduction for non-Markovian stochastic simulation

Kang‐Da Wu, Chengran Yang, Ren-Dong He +5 more

Complex systems are embedded in our everyday experience. Stochastic modelling enables us to understand and predict the behaviour of such systems, cementing its utility across the quantitative sciences. Accurate models of highly non-Markovian processes - where the future behaviour depends on events that happened far in the past - must track copious amounts of information about past observations, requiring high-dimensional memories. Quantum technologies can ameliorate this cost, allowing models of the same processes with lower memory dimension than corresponding classical models. Here we implement such memory-efficient quantum models for a family of non-Markovian processes using a photonic setup. We show that with a single qubit of memory our implemented quantum models can attain higher precision than possible with any classical model of the same memory dimension. This heralds a key step towards applying quantum technologies in complex systems modelling.

arXiv:2208.12744•Nature Communications•May 6, 2023•15 citations

Quantum-inspired memory-enhanced stochastic algorithms

John Realpe-Gómez, Nathan Killoran

Stochastic models are highly relevant tools in science, engineering, and society. Recent work suggests emerging quantum computing technologies can substantially decrease the memory requirements for simulating stochastic models. Here we show that some of these recent quantum memory-enhanced algorithms can be either implemented or approximated classically. In other words, we show that it is possible to develop quantum-inspired classical algorithms that require much less memory than the best classical algorithms known to date. Being classical, such algorithms could be implemented in state-of-the-art high-performance computers, which could potentially enhance the study of large-scale complex systems. Furthermore, since memory is the main bottleneck limiting the performance of classical supercomputers in one of the most promising avenues to demonstrate quantum 'supremacy', we expect adaptations of these ideas may potentially further raise the bar for near-term quantum computers to reach such a milestone.

arXiv:1906.00263•Jun 1, 2019•0 citations

Title: Universal Quantum Simulation of Complex Statistical Processes

Jincheng Zhang

Universal Quantum Simulation of Complex Statistical Processes Abstract This paper explores the development of a novel quantum simulation framework designed to accurately model and predict complex statistical processes across a wide range of disciplines, including cosmology, materials science, and biological systems. The core mechanism centers around a 'Quantum State Vector' approach, providing a fundamentally new method for simulating the intricate behavior of entangled particles and their interactions. This research aims to overcome limitations in current simulation capabilities by offering a pathway to a deeper understanding of complex systems through precise quantum modeling. The proposed framework represents a significant step toward enabling more sophisticated and predictive scientific investigations.

•Aug 31, 2026•0 citations
Stochastic processes are used as a modeling tool in several sub-fields of physics, biology, and finance. Analytic understanding of the long term behavior of such processes is only tractable for very simple types of stochastic processes such as Markovian processes. However, in real world applications more complex stochastic processes often arise. In physics, the complicating factor might be nonlinearities; in biology it might be memory effects; and in finance is might be the non-random intentional behavior of participants in a market. In the absence of analytic insight, one is forced to understand these more complex stochastic processes via numerical simulation techniques. In this paper we present a quantum algorithm for performing such simulations. In particular, we show how a quantum algorithm can predict arbitrary descriptive statistics (moments) of N-step stochastic processes in just O(square root of N) time. That is, the quantum complexity is the square root of the classical complexity for performing such simulations. This is a significant speedup in comparison to the current state of the art.
Modeling stochastic phenomena in continuous time is an essential yet challenging problem. Analytic solutions are often unavailable, and numerical methods can be prohibitively time-consuming and computationally expensive. To address this issue, we propose an algorithmic framework tailored for quantum continuous time stochastic processes. This framework consists of two key procedures: data preparation and information extraction. The data preparation procedure is specifically designed to encode and compress information, resulting in a significant reduction in both space and time complexities. This reduction is exponential with respect to a crucial feature parameter of the stochastic process. Additionally, it can serve as a submodule for other quantum algorithms, mitigating the common data input bottleneck. The information extraction procedure is designed to decode and process compressed information with quadratic acceleration, extending the quantum-enhanced Monte Carlo method. The framework demonstrates versatility and flexibility, finding applications in statistics, physics, time series analysis and finance. Illustrative examples include option pricing in the Merton Jump Diffusion Model and ruin probability computing in the Collective Risk Model, showcasing the framework’s ability to capture extreme market events and incorporate history-dependent information. Overall, this quantum algorithmic framework provides a powerful tool for accurate analysis and enhanced understanding of stochastic phenomena.
The continuous time stochastic process is a mainstream mathematical instrument modeling the random world with a wide range of applications involving finance, statistics, physics, and time series analysis, while the simulation and analysis of the continuous time stochastic process is a challenging problem for classical computers. In this work, a general framework is established to prepare the path of a continuous time stochastic process in a quantum computer efficiently. The storage and computation resource is exponentially reduced on the key parameter of holding time, as the qubit number and the circuit depth are both optimized via our compressed state preparation method. The desired information, including the path-dependent and history-sensitive information that is essential for financial problems, can be extracted efficiently from the compressed sampling path, and admits a further quadratic speed-up. Moreover, this extraction method is more sensitive to those discontinuous jumps capturing extreme market events. Two applications of option pricing in Merton jump diffusion model and ruin probability computing in the collective risk model are given.
Currently, there is no systematic way to describe a quantum process with memory solely in terms of experimentally accessible quantities. However, recent technological advances mean we have control over systems at scales where memory effects are non-negligible. The lack of such an operational description has hindered advances in understanding physical, chemical, and biological processes, where often unjustified theoretical assumptions are made to render a dynamical description tractable. This has led to theories plagued with unphysical results and no consensus on what a quantum Markov (memoryless) process is. Here, we develop a universal framework to characterize arbitrary non-Markovian quantum processes. We show how a multitime non-Markovian process can be reconstructed experimentally, and that it has a natural representation as a many-body quantum state, where temporal correlations are mapped to spatial ones. Moreover, this state is expected to have an efficient matrix-product-operator form in many cases. Our framework constitutes a systematic tool for the effective description of memory-bearing open-system evolutions.
Complex systems are embedded in our everyday experience. Stochastic modelling enables us to understand and predict the behaviour of such systems, cementing its utility across the quantitative sciences. Accurate models of highly non-Markovian processes - where the future behaviour depends on events that happened far in the past - must track copious amounts of information about past observations, requiring high-dimensional memories. Quantum technologies can ameliorate this cost, allowing models of the same processes with lower memory dimension than corresponding classical models. Here we implement such memory-efficient quantum models for a family of non-Markovian processes using a photonic setup. We show that with a single qubit of memory our implemented quantum models can attain higher precision than possible with any classical model of the same memory dimension. This heralds a key step towards applying quantum technologies in complex systems modelling.
Stochastic models are highly relevant tools in science, engineering, and society. Recent work suggests emerging quantum computing technologies can substantially decrease the memory requirements for simulating stochastic models. Here we show that some of these recent quantum memory-enhanced algorithms can be either implemented or approximated classically. In other words, we show that it is possible to develop quantum-inspired classical algorithms that require much less memory than the best classical algorithms known to date. Being classical, such algorithms could be implemented in state-of-the-art high-performance computers, which could potentially enhance the study of large-scale complex systems. Furthermore, since memory is the main bottleneck limiting the performance of classical supercomputers in one of the most promising avenues to demonstrate quantum 'supremacy', we expect adaptations of these ideas may potentially further raise the bar for near-term quantum computers to reach such a milestone.
Universal Quantum Simulation of Complex Statistical Processes Abstract This paper explores the development of a novel quantum simulation framework designed to accurately model and predict complex statistical processes across a wide range of disciplines, including cosmology, materials science, and biological systems. The core mechanism centers around a 'Quantum State Vector' approach, providing a fundamentally new method for simulating the intricate behavior of entangled particles and their interactions. This research aims to overcome limitations in current simulation capabilities by offering a pathway to a deeper understanding of complex systems through precise quantum modeling. The proposed framework represents a significant step toward enabling more sophisticated and predictive scientific investigations.