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arXiv:2610.03161

Landscape-Dependent Performance of Photonic Quantum Solvers in QUBO Feature Selection for Financial Risk Detection

Nirvik Sahoo, Paul Robert Griffin

quant-phcs.LGq-fin.RMSubmitted Oct 2, 2026• Announced Oct 5, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

Feature selection for imbalanced classification tasks such as credit card fraud and consumer default detection requires balancing predictive relevance, inter-feature redundancy, and computational feasibility. We benchmark three computing paradigms, classical branch-and-bound optimization (Gurobi), photonic entropy computing (QCI Dirac-3), and simulated photonic boson sampling (Piquasso), across thirteen feature-selection methods on two datasets: ULB Credit Card Fraud (30 features) and AmEx consumer default (159 features). Each method is routed to the solver matched to its mathematical structure. On ULB, Dirac-3 MI-Spearman matches the all-features model using 13 of 30 features (mean F1 0.873 +/- 0.023 over five runs, best run 0.896), and Piquasso is the best method at k=5. On AmEx, performance rises steadily with the feature budget and every paradigm approaches F1 = 0.80 only near the full feature set. Most differences between Gurobi and Dirac-3 on identical methods fall within run-to-run variation; the large gaps occur where the certified optimum generalizes poorly, most sharply for distance correlation on AmEx at k=25 (Gurobi F1 = 0.422 vs. a Dirac-3 mean of 0.746). At matched budgets, F1 varies about ten times more across methods on ULB than on AmEx, which we trace to how concentrated the predictive signal is in each feature space.

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39 Pages, 41 Tables, 3 Figures

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Feature selection for imbalanced classification tasks such as credit card fraud and consumer default detection requires balancing predictive relevance, inter-feature redundancy, and computational feasibility. We benchmark three computing paradigms, classical branch-and-bound optimization (Gurobi), photonic entropy computing (QCI Dirac-3), and simulated photonic boson sampling (Piquasso), across thirteen feature-selection methods on two datasets: ULB Credit Card Fraud (30 features) and AmEx consumer default (159 features). Each method is routed to the solver matched to its mathematical structure. On ULB, Dirac-3 MI-Spearman matches the all-features model using 13 of 30 features (mean F1 0.873 +/- 0.023 over five runs, best run 0.896), and Piquasso is the best method at k=5. On AmEx, performance rises steadily with the feature budget and every paradigm approaches F1 = 0.80 only near the full feature set. Most differences between Gurobi and Dirac-3 on identical methods fall within run-to-run variation; the large gaps occur where the certified optimum generalizes poorly, most sharply for distance correlation on AmEx at k=25 (Gurobi F1 = 0.422 vs. a Dirac-3 mean of 0.746). At matched budgets, F1 varies about ten times more across methods on ULB than on AmEx, which we trace to how concentrated the predictive signal is in each feature space.
Feature selection plays an important role in improving the efficiency of machine learning models for credit card fraud and default detection. We formulate the feature selection problem as a Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) problem, which we solve using quantum annealers. We propose three new formulations based on this framework that improve the efficiency and flexibility of machine learning models. We benchmark the proposed methods, existing approaches from the literature, and also compare with classical feature-selection methods such as Random Forest feature importance and a combination of mutual information and Spearman correlation. Extensive experiments show that feature selection using quantum computers consistently performs better than the classical methods. Our experiments show the promise of using quantum computers in machine learning tasks in financial risk assessment applications.
Credit default prediction is a tabular classification problem in which modest gains in F1 translate directly into reduced financial exposure. We ask whether Instantaneous Quantum Polynomial-time (IQP) circuits can produce features that improve a classifier over both its raw classical baseline and Kernel PCA - the strongest unsupervised classical non-linear alternative - at an equal feature budget. The dataset provides 23 financial attributes per client; for an n-qubit circuit we select n of them, encode each as a rotation angle, and read 2n expectation values back out as new features. The motivation for using a quantum circuit is computational: an n-qubit IQP circuit runs in constant depth and encodes feature correlations in a 2^n-dimensional Hilbert space, whereas classical simulation of its exact output statistics scales exponentially in n. Using the UCI Default of Credit Card Clients dataset and five-fold cross-validation, we find that appending 16 IQP features (n = 8 qubits) to a Logistic Regression model raises F1 from 0.462 to 0.517 (+0.055, p < 0.0001). Kernel PCA, the next-best method, reaches only 0.493 at the same feature count; the gap survives Benjamini-Hochberg correction across 12 tests (p = 0.00007). No other classifier - Random Forest, SVM, XGBoost, or k-NN - benefits, which points to a linear-expressivity mechanism rather than a generic improvement. We also show that how the 8 input features are chosen matters: Random Forest importance-guided selection reaches F1 = 0.523, while encoding maximally uncorrelated features drops it to 0.496, demonstrating that the circuit amplifies informative structure rather than creating it from scratch.
Abstract A transformative hybrid approach is proposed, combining Quantum Machine Learning (QML) with both traditional and meta-heuristic feature selection algorithms to overcome the complexities and limitations of conventional credit card fraud detection methods. In this study, advanced data balancing techniques such as SMOTE-ENN (Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique–Edited Nearest Neighbors) and Random Under Sampler (RUS) are employed on the imbalanced European Cardholder Dataset to address class imbalance and enhance model resilience. Core feature selection algorithms—both traditional methods like K-Best and meta-heuristic techniques including Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), and Atom Search Optimization (ASO)—are systematically evaluated, each paired with the Variational Quantum Classifier (VQC) for classification. Remarkably, the PSO+VQC combination achieves an accuracy rate of 94.54%, underscoring the efficacy of integrating meta-heuristic algorithms with VQC to manage complex, high-dimensional data in fraud detection. These findings highlight QML and meta-heuristic algorithms’ potential to surpass conventional methods, delivering superior accuracy and efficiency in critical, data-intensive applications such as financial fraud detection.
This paper introduces a novel hybrid quantum-classical approach to credit card fraud detection using CVQBoost, a hybrid quantum-classical boosting algorithm executed on the photonic Dirac-3 processor from Quantum Computing Inc. (QCi). By integrating a diverse set of weak classifiers, which includes K-nearest neighbours (KNN), linear discriminant analysis, logistic regression, and XGBoost, within a hybrid quantum-classical ensemble, the proposed method demonstrates significant improvements over the latest published classical benchmarks. Experiments on a Kaggle credit card fraud dataset show that the quantum-enhanced model achieves a mean AUC-PR score of over 0.8, corresponding to an approximately 9% relative improvement over the best published classical baseline. This indicates an improved precision–recall trade-off which can reduce false positives at a fixed recall in operational settings. The study also highlights the trade-off between training runtime and detection performance, with KNN-based ensembles offering superior accuracy at higher computational cost. Results indicate that quantum machine learning pipelines leveraging photonic processors can deliver tangible advantages in rare-event detection tasks, suggesting a promising direction for operational fraud analytics in finance.
Quantum machine learning on near-term noisy quantum devices has generated substantial theoretical interest, but rigorous empirical comparisons under realistic noise on practically relevant data remain scarce. This paper compares two paradigmatic quantum learning models, a Quantum Support Vector Machine (QSVM) built on the ZZFeatureMap quantum kernel and a Variational Quantum Classifier (VQC) with an EfficientSU2/RealAmplitudes ansatz, against tuned classical baselines (SVM with four kernels, Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM and CatBoost) on the ULB Credit Card Fraud dataset (284,807 transactions, 0.17% fraud). All models share an identical 4-qubit PCA-reduced feature space, evaluated on the full unbalanced test fold over 15 fits (3 folds × 5 seeds) and reported as mean ± standard deviation with bootstrap confidence intervals, AUPRC as the primary metric. Noise robustness is assessed under depolarizing noise p∈{0,0.001,0.01,0.05}, with ranking preservation measured directly through Spearman ρ and Kendall τ between the noisy and noiseless decision scores rather than read off AUPRC, alongside the per-paradigm computational cost. At four qubits the classical baselines lead (AUPRC 0.60 to 0.74, CatBoost best), above the VQC (0.494) and the QSVM (0.240); the controlled QSVM-versus-RBF–SVM comparison puts the cost of the quantum kernel at about 0.45 AUPRC. Under noise the QSVM keeps its score ranking (ρ=0.998 at p=0.001, 0.906 at p=0.01) and an operational decision threshold (recall 0.87 to 0.89, stable calibration), while the VQC AUPRC peaks non-monotonically at p=0.01 (0.494 rising to 0.654, then easing to 0.569 at p=0.05) even as its ranking decays monotonically (ρ from 0.72 to near zero), so average precision on its own misrepresents how noise affects it. The quantum models do not surpass the tuned classical reference at four qubits; the contribution is methodological: under noise, AUPRC has to be read together with a genuine rank statistic, because the two can move in opposite directions.
Detecting credit card fraud is notoriously difficult because fraudulent charges make up less than 0.2% of total transactions. Quantum Machine Learning (QML), particularly Quantum Kernel Support Vector Machines (QSVM), promises richer feature representations by embedding classical data into high-dimensional Hilbert spaces. However, whether this theoretical advantage holds up when managing real-world financial data bottlenecks remains unclear. We designed a controlled benchmark comparing three quantum encodings, Angle, ZZFeatureMap, and IQP against classical models while keeping sample sizes, feature counts, and scaling strictly matched. To handle class skew without corrupting quantum state overlaps, we embedded synthetic minority oversampling (SMOTE) directly into the quantum Gram matrix workflow, raising PR-AUC scores by roughly +0.04 across feature maps. When trained on the full European credit card dataset with 30 features, classical baselines reached a top PR-AUC of 0.983. However, restricting classical models to match QSVM hardware constraints (500 samples, 4 PCA features) dropped their PR-AUC to 0.750. This puts our best quantum result 0.730 PR-AUC using IQP encoding on 150 samples into realistic context. Testing on physical quantum hardware reduced performance further to 0.62 due to CNOT gate errors and thermal noise. Overall, our findings pinpoint two main operational bottlenecks for near-term quantum kernels: the scaling of Gram matrix evaluation and heavy information loss from squeezing features onto small qubit registers.