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arXiv:2610.17027

Benchmarking Quantum Kernel SVMs for Credit Card Fraud Detection: Performance Realities Under NISQ Constraints

Hitanshi Arora, Mohit Swarnkar, Aswani Kumar Cherukuri

Published Oct 12, 2026• 0 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

Detecting credit card fraud is notoriously difficult because fraudulent charges make up less than 0.2% of total transactions. Quantum Machine Learning (QML), particularly Quantum Kernel Support Vector Machines (QSVM), promises richer feature representations by embedding classical data into high-dimensional Hilbert spaces. However, whether this theoretical advantage holds up when managing real-world financial data bottlenecks remains unclear. We designed a controlled benchmark comparing three quantum encodings, Angle, ZZFeatureMap, and IQP against classical models while keeping sample sizes, feature counts, and scaling strictly matched. To handle class skew without corrupting quantum state overlaps, we embedded synthetic minority oversampling (SMOTE) directly into the quantum Gram matrix workflow, raising PR-AUC scores by roughly +0.04 across feature maps. When trained on the full European credit card dataset with 30 features, classical baselines reached a top PR-AUC of 0.983. However, restricting classical models to match QSVM hardware constraints (500 samples, 4 PCA features) dropped their PR-AUC to 0.750. This puts our best quantum result 0.730 PR-AUC using IQP encoding on 150 samples into realistic context. Testing on physical quantum hardware reduced performance further to 0.62 due to CNOT gate errors and thermal noise. Overall, our findings pinpoint two main operational bottlenecks for near-term quantum kernels: the scaling of Gram matrix evaluation and heavy information loss from squeezing features onto small qubit registers.

DOI
10.48550/arxiv.2610.17027

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Detecting credit card fraud is notoriously difficult because fraudulent charges make up less than 0.2% of total transactions. Quantum Machine Learning (QML), particularly Quantum Kernel Support Vector Machines (QSVM), promises richer feature representations by embedding classical data into high-dimensional Hilbert spaces. However, whether this theoretical advantage holds up when managing real-world financial data bottlenecks remains unclear. We designed a controlled benchmark comparing three quantum encodings, Angle, ZZFeatureMap, and IQP against classical models while keeping sample sizes, feature counts, and scaling strictly matched. To handle class skew without corrupting quantum state overlaps, we embedded synthetic minority oversampling (SMOTE) directly into the quantum Gram matrix workflow, raising PR-AUC scores by roughly +0.04 across feature maps. When trained on the full European credit card dataset with 30 features, classical baselines reached a top PR-AUC of 0.983. However, restricting classical models to match QSVM hardware constraints (500 samples, 4 PCA features) dropped their PR-AUC to 0.750. This puts our best quantum result 0.730 PR-AUC using IQP encoding on 150 samples into realistic context. Testing on physical quantum hardware reduced performance further to 0.62 due to CNOT gate errors and thermal noise. Overall, our findings pinpoint two main operational bottlenecks for near-term quantum kernels: the scaling of Gram matrix evaluation and heavy information loss from squeezing features onto small qubit registers.
Quantum algorithms have demonstrated extraordinary potential in numerous fields. The demand for fraud detection in credit cards is growing increasingly, which calls for more efficient algorithms. This work adopts the detection method of Quantum Support Vector Machine (QSVM) to improve the accuracy of credit card fraud detection. Meanwhile, Quantum-Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (Quantum-SMOTE) is utilized to address the issue of imbalanced credit card datasets. The QSVM model maps classical data to a high-dimensional Hilbert space through quantum feature mapping, thereby enhancing the separability of features. Then, quantum kernel computation is performed to calculate the inner products between features for model training. The research results show that the QSVM achieves the best overall performance, which indicates that QSVM has significant potential in handling credit card fraud detection.
The increasing dependence on digital and card-based payment systems has heightened the risk of financial fraud. This situation creates an urgent need for models that can identify rare fraudulent events in uneven transaction data. Traditional machine learning models often sacrifice recall for precision when the minority class is very small. Quantum classifiers are theoretically appealing for capturing complex feature relationships, but current hardware limitations on qubit count and circuit depth restrict their effectiveness. This work introduces a hybrid quantum-classical framework for credit card fraud detection. It combines an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) classifier with a Quantum Support Vector Machine (QSVM) that uses a ZZ feature map and a fidelity-based quantum kernel. To handle class imbalance, we apply the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and adjust decision thresholds. The quantum element is trained on a reduced, class-balanced data subset, ensuring it stays within the feasible limits of the simulator. We merge predictions from the classical and quantum models using a weighted probability fusion approach, optimizing the final threshold to maximize the F1-score. Using the Kaggle Credit Card Fraud Detection dataset, the hybrid model achieves a precision of 0.9783, recall of 0.9000, F1-score of 0.9375, and ROC-AUC of 0.9805. It surpasses the standalone XGBoost baseline, XGBoost with SMOTE, and the standalone QSVM regarding F1 and ROC-AUC metrics. These results show that blending classical gradient boosting with quantum kernel-based classification, along with imbalance-aware techniques, can significantly enhance fraud detection quality despite current quantum hardware limitations. This offers a practical path for future work in quantum-assisted financial security.
Quantum machine learning on near-term noisy quantum devices has generated substantial theoretical interest, but rigorous empirical comparisons under realistic noise on practically relevant data remain scarce. This paper compares two paradigmatic quantum learning models, a Quantum Support Vector Machine (QSVM) built on the ZZFeatureMap quantum kernel and a Variational Quantum Classifier (VQC) with an EfficientSU2/RealAmplitudes ansatz, against tuned classical baselines (SVM with four kernels, Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM and CatBoost) on the ULB Credit Card Fraud dataset (284,807 transactions, 0.17% fraud). All models share an identical 4-qubit PCA-reduced feature space, evaluated on the full unbalanced test fold over 15 fits (3 folds × 5 seeds) and reported as mean ± standard deviation with bootstrap confidence intervals, AUPRC as the primary metric. Noise robustness is assessed under depolarizing noise p∈{0,0.001,0.01,0.05}, with ranking preservation measured directly through Spearman ρ and Kendall τ between the noisy and noiseless decision scores rather than read off AUPRC, alongside the per-paradigm computational cost. At four qubits the classical baselines lead (AUPRC 0.60 to 0.74, CatBoost best), above the VQC (0.494) and the QSVM (0.240); the controlled QSVM-versus-RBF–SVM comparison puts the cost of the quantum kernel at about 0.45 AUPRC. Under noise the QSVM keeps its score ranking (ρ=0.998 at p=0.001, 0.906 at p=0.01) and an operational decision threshold (recall 0.87 to 0.89, stable calibration), while the VQC AUPRC peaks non-monotonically at p=0.01 (0.494 rising to 0.654, then easing to 0.569 at p=0.05) even as its ranking decays monotonically (ρ from 0.72 to near zero), so average precision on its own misrepresents how noise affects it. The quantum models do not surpass the tuned classical reference at four qubits; the contribution is methodological: under noise, AUPRC has to be read together with a genuine rank statistic, because the two can move in opposite directions.
Financial fraud detection remains difficult due to extreme class imbalance and subtle, nonlinear patterns in transactional data. We investigate a hybrid quantum–classical approach that couples a fidelity-based quantum kernel with a logistic regression classifier (QEKLR). A custom ZZ-inspired feature map comprising Hadamards, mixed-axis Ry/Rzencodings, tunable Ising-ZZ cross terms, and data re-uploading, embeds PCA-reduced, Min–Max scaled features into quantum states. The resulting fidelity kernel is evaluated and used within kernel logistic regression. Experiments on two benchmarks: BankSim (synthetic) and the European Credit Card Fraud dataset, use balanced subsets created via Random Under-Sampling. The proposed model attains the best performance on BankSim (AUC = 0.96; strongest F1), and is competitive on the credit-card dataset (AUC = 0.94), closely tracking XGBoost (AUC = 0.96) while outperforming logistic regression and a variational quantum classifier baseline. These results indicate that quantum kernel methods can provide practical gains on tabular fraud tasks while remaining aligned with current NISQ constraints. We also discuss the quadratic cost of exact kernel evaluation and outline scalable approximations for future deployment on larger, highly imbalanced datasets.
With the rapid growth of digital financial transactions, credit card fraud detection has become a critical challenge in the banking and finance sector. Traditional rule-based systems and classical machine learning (ML) models often struggle to detect complex and evolving fraud patterns, especially in highly imbalanced datasets. This paper proposes a novel hybrid approach to credit card fraud detection using Quantum Machine Learning (QML) techniques combined with classical methods. The system applies Principal Component Analysis (PCA) for dimensionality reduction and Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to handle class imbalance. A classical Random Forest model is implemented as a baseline, while a QML model based on Variational Quantum Circuits (VQC) is developed using PennyLane. A hybrid decision engine combining predictions of both models is designed for improved performance. Experimental results demonstrate that the hybrid model achieves 96.9% accuracy, outperforming individual models by achieving better detection rates and reducing false predictions. The system is deployed via an interactive Streamlit-based dashboard. This work highlights the potential of Quantum Machine Learning in enhancing fraud detection systems in financial security applications.
We develop quantum protocols for anomaly detection and apply them to the task of credit card fraud detection (FD). First, we establish classical benchmarks based on supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods, where average precision is chosen as a robust metric for detecting anomalous data. We focus on kernel-based approaches for ease of direct comparison, basing our unsupervised modelling on one-class support vector machines (OC-SVM). Next, we employ quantum kernels of different type for performing anomaly detection, and observe that quantum FD can challenge equivalent classical protocols at increasing number of features (equal to the number of qubits for data embedding). Performing simulations with registers up to 20 qubits, we find that quantum kernels with re-uploading demonstrate better average precision, with the advantage increasing with system size. Specifically, at 20 qubits we reach the quantum-classical separation of average precision being equal to 15%. We discuss the prospects of fraud detection with near- and mid-term quantum hardware, and describe possible future improvements.