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arXiv:2609.17896

QEMScore: How Much Does the Measurement Add to Learned Quantum Error Mitigation?

Yue Zhao, Huayue Gu, Yushun Dong, Xiyang Hu

quant-phcs.LGSubmitted Sep 15, 2026• Announced Sep 17, 2026• 0 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

How much does the noisy measurement add to learned quantum error mitigation? An accuracy table cannot say, because a model handed circuit structure can score well without reading the measurement at all. QEMScore adds the comparison that can. Each simulated circuit carries an exact ideal answer. The learned mitigator is scored beside a capacity-matched control, a model just as flexible that reads the same circuit description but never the measurement. Each method's measurement spend is accounted and not equalized. We run a controlled campaign on simulated circuits and reanalyze two published learned mitigators, Q-LEAR and QRAFT, from their released hardware data. Three findings stand out. First, under familiar within-family conditions (S0) evaluated across two spin-chain families and three seeds, continuous couplings identify the target, and the control that never reads the measurement matches 87.7 to 100.5 percent of the mitigator's gain over an affine fit to the circuit description. A plain polynomial in the coupling parameters, fitted after the campaign, beats the mitigator on all six evaluations, reflecting the selected learners' capacity. Second, for these selected learners, matching most of the gain is not matching the accuracy: on five of six evaluations the mitigator removes 19.5 to 74.5 percent of the error the capacity-matched control leaves, a learner-specific gap rather than a measurement requirement. Third, on released hardware data where descriptors only partially identify queries, the findings differ: flexible models of the descriptors show negligible mean gain over affine fits in Q-LEAR, and measurement inputs carry predictive gains in both Q-LEAR and QRAFT. These comparisons reflect representation- and protocol-specific behavior rather than an isolated cross-regime difference. A learned mitigator's accuracy should therefore be reported beside such controls.

Comments
55 pages, including references and appendices

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How much does the noisy measurement add to learned quantum error mitigation? An accuracy table cannot say, because a model handed circuit structure can score well without reading the measurement at all. QEMScore adds the comparison that can. Each simulated circuit carries an exact ideal answer. The learned mitigator is scored beside a capacity-matched control, a model just as flexible that reads the same circuit description but never the measurement. Each method's measurement spend is accounted and not equalized. We run a controlled campaign on simulated circuits and reanalyze two published learned mitigators, Q-LEAR and QRAFT, from their released hardware data. Three findings stand out. First, under familiar within-family conditions (S0) evaluated across two spin-chain families and three seeds, continuous couplings identify the target, and the control that never reads the measurement matches 87.7 to 100.5 percent of the mitigator's gain over an affine fit to the circuit description. A plain polynomial in the coupling parameters, fitted after the campaign, beats the mitigator on all six evaluations, reflecting the selected learners' capacity. Second, for these selected learners, matching most of the gain is not matching the accuracy: on five of six evaluations the mitigator removes 19.5 to 74.5 percent of the error the capacity-matched control leaves, a learner-specific gap rather than a measurement requirement. Third, on released hardware data where descriptors only partially identify queries, the findings differ: flexible models of the descriptors show negligible mean gain over affine fits in Q-LEAR, and measurement inputs carry predictive gains in both Q-LEAR and QRAFT. These comparisons reflect representation- and protocol-specific behavior rather than an isolated cross-regime difference. A learned mitigator's accuracy should therefore be reported beside such controls.
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Noise in quantum hardware is the primary obstacle to realizing the transformative potential of quantum computing. Quantum error mitigation (QEM) offers a promising pathway to enhance computational accuracy on near-term devices, yet existing methods face a difficult trade-off between performance, resource overhead, and theoretical guarantees. In this work, we introduce neighbor-informed learning (NIL), a versatile and scalable QEM framework that unifies and strengthens existing methods such as zero-noise extrapolation (ZNE) and probabilistic error cancellation (PEC), while offering improved flexibility, accuracy, efficiency, and robustness. NIL learns to predict the ideal output of a target quantum circuit from the noisy outputs of its structurally related ``neighbor'' circuits. A key innovation is our 2-design training method, which generates training data for our machine learning model. In contrast to conventional learning-based QEM protocols that create training circuits by replacing non-Clifford gates with uniformly random Clifford gates, our approach achieves higher accuracy and efficiency, as demonstrated by both theoretical analysis and numerical simulation. Furthermore, we prove that the required size of the training set scales only \emph{logarithmically} with the total number of neighbor circuits, enabling NIL to be applied to problems involving large-scale quantum circuits. Our work establishes a theoretically grounded and practically efficient framework for QEM, paving a viable path toward achieving quantum advantage on noisy hardware.
Abstract Variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) are limited by device noise, and error mitigation is the standard remedy on near-term hardware. Choosing a mitigation method for deployment requires comparing its true cost, yet the usual comparison hides it: it fixes the number of shots per circuit execution, while the methods differ sharply in how many executions they need per estimate. Zero-noise extrapolation (ZNE) needs three to five, Clifford data regression (CDR) more than thirty per target circuit, and a trained neural model exactly one; ZNE's accuracy further rests on a noise-scaling assumption that real devices violate. Inside a variational loop that evaluates thousands of parameter settings, it is this execution multiplicity, not the accuracy at unlimited shots, that decides which method is affordable. Our premise is that the comparison that matters is at equal total shot budget per evaluation point. We present budget-conditioned neural error mitigation (NEM): one network corrects a single shot-limited measurement from circuit and device features, conditioned on the shot-noise scale so that one model serves every budget. We evaluate every method—including each ZNE fold point and each CDR training circuit—under a protocol that spends the same total shots per evaluation point. Under it, NEM is the most accurate method at every budget under coherent miscalibration (reducing error by 72–81%), and the only method that beats unmitigated execution at budgets up to 2^14 shots under stochastic device noise (11–20%); under miscalibration CDR is also positive but overtakes NEM only at 2^16 shots, at 32x the per-evaluation cost. We further characterize when extrapolation fails: under control-offset miscalibration, folding ZNE returns a worse answer than no mitigation on 38–63% of instances in simulation, and on up to 88% on a real IBM Heron processor. On that processor, fine-tuning the model on a small on-device set—120 circuits with classically computed labels—narrows the simulation-to-hardware gap, recovering a 39% error reduction on held-out device instances from the same calibration epoch. Improvements hold from 4 to 20 qubits. Budget-aware accounting, we argue, is the comparison that matters for deployment.
We present a systematic investigation of deep learning methods applied to quantum error mitigation of noisy output probability distributions from measured quantum circuits. We compare different architectures, from fully connected neural networks to transformers, and we test different design/training modalities, identifying sequence-to-sequence, attention-based models as the most effective on our datasets. These models consistently produce mitigated distributions that are closer to the ideal outputs when tested on both simulated and real device data obtained from IBM superconducting quantum processing units (QPU) up to five qubits. Across several different circuit depths, our approach outperforms other baseline error mitigation techniques. We perform a series of ablation studies to examine: how different input features (circuit, device properties, noisy output statistics) affect performance; cross-dataset generalization across circuit families; and transfer learning to a different IBM QPU. We observe that generalization performance across similar devices with the same architecture works effectively, without needing to fully retrain models.