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arXiv:2604.12635

The Impact of Qubit Connectivity on Quantum Advantage in Noisy IQP Circuits

Leonardo Placidi, Enrico Rinaldi, Keisuke Fujii, Chen-Yu Liu

quant-phSubmitted Apr 14, 2026• Announced Apr 15, 2026• 0 citations• Revised Jul 24, 2026 (v2)
v1 · Apr 14, 2026v2 · Jul 24, 2026
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Abstract

Instantaneous Quantum Polynomial-time (IQP) circuits are a candidate for demonstrating near-term quantum advantage, as their sampling task is believed to be classically hard in the ideal theoretical setting under standard complexity-theoretic assumptions. In noisy implementations, however, this hardness can disappear once circuit depth exceeds a noise-dependent critical threshold. We show that qubit connectivity is a key parameter in this transition, since sparse architectures require additional routing to implement long-range interactions, thereby increasing compiled circuit depth. To make this explicit, we present a connectivity-aware analysis of compiled IQP circuits. For a fixed abstract IQP instance, different hardware connectivity graphs yield different compiled depths and thus different effective positions relative to the noisy-IQP simulatability boundary. We quantify this architecture-dependent shift using the compiled depth overhead and the corresponding simulatability margin. We combine analytic depth estimates for sparse geometries, including the two-dimensional grid, with native-gateset-aware compilation experiments across seven hardware-grounded experimental device models derived from publicly available topologies. To compare these device models under a unified empirical framework, we approximate the effective noise level primarily through reported two-qubit gate error rates. This lets us compare how much effective noise sparse and fully connected architectures can tolerate for the same position relative to the noisy-IQP simulatability boundary. Our results show that sparse connectivity requires a lower effective noise level to sustain the same margin relative to the noisy-IQP simulatability boundary, and they provide a quantitative framework for determining when compiled IQP experiments are likely to remain outside, or instead enter, the classically simulatable regime.

Comments
Accepted at IEEE QCE 2026 as a Technical Paper

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Instantaneous Quantum Polynomial-time (IQP) circuits are a candidate for demonstrating near-term quantum advantage, as their sampling task is believed to be classically hard in the ideal theoretical setting under standard complexity-theoretic assumptions. In noisy implementations, however, this hardness can disappear once circuit depth exceeds a noise-dependent critical threshold. We show that qubit connectivity is a key parameter in this transition, since sparse architectures require additional routing to implement long-range interactions, thereby increasing compiled circuit depth. To make this explicit, we present a connectivity-aware analysis of compiled IQP circuits. For a fixed abstract IQP instance, different hardware connectivity graphs yield different compiled depths and thus different effective positions relative to the noisy-IQP simulatability boundary. We quantify this architecture-dependent shift using the compiled depth overhead and the corresponding simulatability margin. We combine analytic depth estimates for sparse geometries, including the two-dimensional grid, with native-gateset-aware compilation experiments across seven hardware-grounded experimental device models derived from publicly available topologies. To compare these device models under a unified empirical framework, we approximate the effective noise level primarily through reported two-qubit gate error rates. This lets us compare how much effective noise sparse and fully connected architectures can tolerate for the same position relative to the noisy-IQP simulatability boundary. Our results show that sparse connectivity requires a lower effective noise level to sustain the same margin relative to the noisy-IQP simulatability boundary, and they provide a quantitative framework for determining when compiled IQP experiments are likely to remain outside, or instead enter, the classically simulatable regime.
Sampling from the output distributions of quantum computations comprising only commuting gates, known as instantaneous quantum polynomial (IQP) computations, is believed to be intractable for classical computers, and hence this task has become a leading candidate for testing the capabilities of quantum devices. Here we demonstrate that for an arbitrary IQP circuit undergoing dephasing or depolarizing noise, whose depth is greater than a critical O (1) threshold, the output distribution can be efficiently sampled by a classical computer. Unlike other simulation algorithms for quantum supremacy tasks, we do not require assumptions on the circuit’s architecture, on anti-concentration properties, nor do we require Ω(log (n )) circuit depth. We take advantage of the fact that IQP circuits have deep sections of diagonal gates, which allows the noise to build up predictably and induce a large-scale breakdown of entanglement within the circuit. Our results suggest that quantum supremacy experiments based on IQP circuits may be more susceptible to classical simulation than previously thought. Furthermore, we show that the critical depth threshold of our algorithm is tight, and below this threshold there are noisy IQP circuits which are hard to sample from. Thus we demonstrate that noisy IQP circuits exhibit a phase transition in the computational complexity of sampling, as circuit depth is increased.
The class of commuting quantum circuits known as IQP (instantaneous quantum polynomial-time) has been shown to be hard to simulate classically, assuming certain complexity-theoretic conjectures. Here we study the power of IQP circuits in the presence of physically motivated constraints. First, we show that there is a family of sparse IQP circuits that can be implemented on a square lattice of n qubits in depth O(sqrt(n) log n), and which is likely hard to simulate classically. Next, we show that, if an arbitrarily small constant amount of noise is applied to each qubit at the end of any IQP circuit whose output probability distribution is sufficiently anticoncentrated, there is a polynomial-time classical algorithm that simulates sampling from the resulting distribution, up to constant accuracy in total variation distance. However, we show that purely classical error-correction techniques can be used to design IQP circuits which remain hard to simulate classically, even in the presence of arbitrary amounts of noise of this form. These results demonstrate the challenges faced by experiments designed to demonstrate quantum supremacy over classical computation, and how these challenges can be overcome.
Quantum circuit Born machines (QCBMs) built with instantaneous quantum polynomial (IQP) circuits have loss functions that can be efficiently estimated classically, but require quantum computers during inference. Thus, classical computers can train large IQP QCBMs that exceed the qubit numbers of available quantum hardware. This motivates research into how qubit-limited quantum computers can be used to sample from larger IQP QCBMs. Leveraging insights from classical simulation of noisy IQP circuits, we propose a deployment protocol for IQP QCBMs that injects noise at the logical level to probabilistically decompose the original circuit into smaller clusters that can be sampled on qubit-limited quantum processors. We also apply lightweight resampling of known noisy qubits to mitigate the impact of the introduced error. Numerical simulations of our protocol applied to shallow IQP QCBMs and IBM Heron experiments deploying a 316-qubit IQP circuit onto 156-qubit hardware show that mitigation improves the similarity of the empirical distribution to the target distribution. The proposed deployment protocol also crucially preserves correlation structures more accurately than a classical baseline that has accurate single-qubit marginals.
Quantum advantage is a demonstration of a computation by a quantum computer that cannot be performed by the best classical computer in a reasonable time. A well-studied approach to demonstrating this on near-term quantum computers is to use random circuit sampling. It has been suggested that a good candidate for demonstrating quantum advantage with random circuit sampling is to use instantaneous quantum polynomial (IQP) circuits. These are quantum circuits where the unitary it implements is diagonal. In this paper, we introduce improved techniques for exactly classically simulating random IQP circuits. We find a simple algorithm to calculate an amplitude of an nnn-qubit IQP circuit with dense random two-qubit interactions in time O(log2nn2n)O(\frac{{log}^{2}n}{n}{2}^{n})O(nlog2n​2n), which for sparse circuits (where each qubit interacts with O(logn)O(logn)O(logn) other qubits) runs in o(2n/poly(n))o({2}^{n}/\mathrm{poly}(n))o(2n/poly(n)) for any given polynomial. Using a more complicated stabilizer decomposition approach we improve the algorithm for dense circuits to $O(\frac{{(logn)}^{4\ensuremath{-}\ensuremath{\beta}}}{{n}^{2\ensuremath{-}\ensuremath{\beta}}}{2}^{n})$ where $\ensuremath{\beta}\ensuremath{\approx}0.396$. We further discuss how our techniques also lead to improved simulation times for IQP circuits on restricted architectures. We benchmarked our main algorithm and found that we can simulate up to 50-qubit circuits in a couple of minutes on a laptop, with 68-qubit sparse circuits taking a couple of hours. We estimate dense 70-qubit circuits are in range for large computing clusters.
Instantaneous Quantum Polynomial-time (IQP) circuits are promising candidates for near-term quantum computing due to the conjectured classical hardness of their sampling task and their shallow, highly parallelizable structure. Despite extensive studies of their complexity-theoretic properties, the role of circuit connectivity in their trainability as variational ansatze remains poorly understood. In this work, we present an investigation of IQP circuits for Hamiltonian optimization that traces a mechanistic chain linking circuit connectivity, entanglement generation, and gradient scaling: increasing connectivity drives the circuit output toward Haar-like statistics and volume-law entanglement, and this increase in entanglement is consistently associated with an exponential decay of the gradient variance and degraded optimization performance, while sparser architectures retain stable gradients at the cost of global expressibility and entanglement capacity. This connectivity-entanglement-gradient mechanism produces a nontrivial connectivity-trainability trade-off, demonstrating that effective IQP-based Hamiltonian optimization requires a balance between global expressibility and trainability rather than maximal expressivity alone. In particular, on our benchmarks, a circuit generating no entanglement already matches the optimization performance of more highly connected circuits, and a circular topology retains entanglement capacity while preserving trainability, making it a broadly effective choice among the architectures considered.
Generative modeling is one of the most promising applications of quantum machine learning, yet training and deploying Quantum Generative Models (QGMs) on near-term hardware remains effectively intractable due to prohibitive gradient estimation and implementation costs. We propose a resource-efficient approach based on shallow Instantaneous Quantum Polynomial-time (IQP) circuits that circumvents these bottlenecks by leveraging efficient classical training while retaining the guarantee of sampling hardness. To validate this approach, we formalize graph generation as a hierarchy of physical correlations, allowing us to map abstract data features, such as edge density and bipartiteness, directly to the quantum observables required to learn them. We validate our protocol through demonstrations both on real hardware (from 282828 to 153153153 qubits) and simulations (282828 qubits). Results show that while global structural features exhibit significant degradation beyond 919191 qubits, our models achieve high-precision reproduction of local correlations, even up to 153153153 qubits. These findings establish shallow IQP circuits as a robust, scalable candidate for generative tasks on current Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices.