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arXiv:2603.14687

Adaptive Control of Stochastic Error Accumulation in Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation

Tirtha Haque

quant-phSubmitted Mar 16, 2026• Announced Mar 17, 2026• 0 citations
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Abstract

In realistic hardware for quantum computation that possesses fault-tolerance, non-stationary noise and stochastic drift lead to logical failure from the temporal accumulation of errors, not from independent events. Static decoding and fixed calibration techniques are structurally incompatible with this situation because they do not take into account temporal correlations between errors or control-induced back-action of errors. These effects motivate control policies that must track noise evolution across correction cycles, rather than respond to individual syndromes in isolation. We treat fault-tolerant quantum computation as a stochastic control problem, modelled using reduced quantum dynamics in which Pauli error processes are governed by latent noise parameters that vary temporally. From this perspective, logical failure arises through the accumulation of a hazard variable, and the corresponding control objective depends on the full history of observations. Operating under these conditions, a Chronological Deep Q-Network (Ch-DQN) maintains an internal belief state that tracks both noise evolution and accumulated hazard. During training, backward refinement of trajectories is used to sample slowly drifting modes of operation, while runtime inference remains strictly causal. A fractional meta-update stabilizes learning in the presence of non-stationary, control-coupled dynamics. Through multi-distance simulations that incorporate stochastic drift and feedback from decision-making, Ch-DQN suppresses hazard accumulation and extends logical survival time relative to static and recurrent baselines. Error correction in this regime is therefore no longer a static decoding task, but a control process whose success is determined over time by the underlying noise dynamics.

Comments
16 pages, 10 figures, submitted to Quantum Science and Technology

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In realistic hardware for quantum computation that possesses fault-tolerance, non-stationary noise and stochastic drift lead to logical failure from the temporal accumulation of errors, not from independent events. Static decoding and fixed calibration techniques are structurally incompatible with this situation because they do not take into account temporal correlations between errors or control-induced back-action of errors. These effects motivate control policies that must track noise evolution across correction cycles, rather than respond to individual syndromes in isolation.
We treat fault-tolerant quantum computation as a stochastic control problem, modelled using reduced quantum dynamics in which Pauli error processes are governed by latent noise parameters that vary temporally. From this perspective, logical failure arises through the accumulation of a hazard variable, and the corresponding control objective depends on the full history of observations.
Operating under these conditions, a Chronological Deep Q-Network (Ch-DQN) maintains an internal belief state that tracks both noise evolution and accumulated hazard. During training, backward refinement of trajectories is used to sample slowly drifting modes of operation, while runtime inference remains strictly causal. A fractional meta-update stabilizes learning in the presence of non-stationary, control-coupled dynamics.
Through multi-distance simulations that incorporate stochastic drift and feedback from decision-making, Ch-DQN suppresses hazard accumulation and extends logical survival time relative to static and recurrent baselines. Error correction in this regime is therefore no longer a static decoding task, but a control process whose success is determined over time by the underlying noise dynamics.
Quantum error correction (QEC) decoders are usually trained and evaluated assuming stationary physical noise.Real superconducting and trapped-ion processors, however, exhibit noise that drifts over calibration cycles, shifts abruptly because of twolevel-system defects and cosmic-ray events, and varies across qubits.Static decoders, whether algorithmic (minimum-weight perfect matching, union-find) or learned (such as AlphaQubit), degrade when deployed noise diverges from the training distribution, and full retraining is costly and can cause catastrophic forgetting.This paper proposes Adaptive-RL-QEC, a research framework that formulates decoding and noise adaptation as a reinforcement learning problem over a non-stationary Markov decision process with an unobserved noise-regime variable.It couples a lightweight online noise-regime estimator with a continual/meta-reinforcement-learning decoding policy that adapts within a bounded number of syndrome rounds without catastrophic P.
Quantum error correction protects logical information only when every physical operation remains below the fault-tolerance threshold, a condition that must be maintained continuously rather than only at the initial calibration. In practice, however, analog control parameters inevitably drift because of environmental fluctuations. As future fault-tolerant quantum computations are expected to run for days or even months, interrupting computation for repeated recalibration becomes fundamentally impractical. A promising alternative is to integrate calibration directly into computation by repurposing syndrome measurements as a calibration signal (Sivak et al, Nature 2026), but whether such self-calibration can be achieved with provable efficiency remains an open question. Here we establish a theoretical framework for such self-calibrating quantum fault tolerance. We prove that, for a broad class of control-induced errors, the detection rate defines a locally strongly convex surrogate objective for analog calibration with high probability. This geometric property enables a simple and efficient online optimization algorithm using only syndrome measurements collected during normal error correction. We prove convergence to an ε\varepsilonε detection rate within O(1/ε2)O(1/\varepsilon^2)O(1/ε2) epochs for time-independent drifts and also establish guarantees for time-dependent drifts. We further show that the convergence rate is independent of the code distance for quantum low-density parity-check (LDPC) codes. Pulse-level simulations of neutral-atom arrays and large-scale circuit-level Clifford simulations confirm these theoretical predictions. Our results establish self-calibrating fault tolerance as a provably efficient paradigm in which the same syndrome measurements simultaneously protect logical information and stabilize the underlying hardware.
This preliminary research preprint presents a reproducible numerical study of history-conditioned quantum error correction under temporally correlated noise. We consider a three-qubit phase-error code subject to a synthetic Pauli noise model with a persistent hidden noise regime. A noisy classical monitor and the accumulated syndrome/measurement history are used to estimate that regime through standard Bayesian hidden-Markov filtering, and recovery operations are selected by a causal maximum-a-posteriori rule. The central question is whether accessible temporal information can extend the finite interval over which encoded quantum information remains reliable. In 100,000 matched synthetic trajectories, survival through 20 correction rounds increases from 0.74406 for a snapshot MAP decoder to 0.91455 for the history-conditioned decoder. Under a 90% no-logical-fault survival criterion, the empirical computational-memory window increases from 6 to 25 rounds, with a simultaneous 95% lower confidence band supporting 23 rounds for the history-conditioned policy. Control experiments show that the advantage disappears when temporal predictability is removed: when the hidden regime becomes independent from round to round, the history-conditioned and snapshot policies coincide. Additional monitor and model ablations demonstrate that the benefit depends on correction-relevant temporal correlations, informative side information, and adequate calibration. The work also formulates finite-horizon survival criteria and sufficient error-budget bounds without assuming independent logical faults, while explicitly separating classical filter stability from preservation of quantum information. This study does not claim a new Bayesian filtering method, superiority over existing temporal quantum-error-correction decoders, a scalable fault-tolerance threshold, or demonstrated room-temperature quantum-computing hardware. Rather, it provides a concrete operational specialization of the broader TrinityLabo history-first framework and a small, reproducible benchmark showing how temporal inference can condition quantum recovery under specified noise assumptions. Ambient-temperature operation remains a future experimental application requiring calibrated device-level noise models, fault-prone syndrome extraction, hardware latency analysis, and comparison against established temporal decoders.
Advancing quantum information processors and building fault-tolerant architectures rely on the ability to accurately characterize the noise sources and suppress their impact on quantum devices. In practice, noise often drifts over time, whereas conventional noise characterization and decoding methods typically assume stationarity or provide only a time-average behavior of the noise. This treatment can result in suboptimal decoding performance. In this work, we present a rigorous analytical framework to capture time-dependent Pauli noise, by exploiting the syndrome statistics of quantum error correction experiments. We propose a sliding-window estimation method which allows us to recover the frequency components of the noise, by using optimal window sizes that we derive analytically. We prove the noise-filtering behavior of sliding windows, linking window size to spectral cutoff frequencies, and provide an iterative algorithm that captures multiple drift frequencies. We further introduce an overlapping window algorithm that enables us to capture rapid multi-frequency noise drifts in a single-pass fashion. Simulations for both phenomenological and circuit-level noise models validate our framework, demonstrating robust tracking of multi-frequency drift. The logical error rate obtained from our estimated models consistently align with the ground-truth logical error rate, and we find suppression of logical errors compared to static error models. Our window-based estimation methods and adaptive decoding offer new insights into noise spectroscopy and decoder optimization under drift using only syndrome data.
Adaptive quantum computing control is important for the stability and efficiency of quantum systems, especially in the presence of dynamic environmental noise and hardware fluctuations. We present a unified strategy for machine learning (ML) techniques to improve adaptive quantum control in two main directions: optimization speed and out-of-sample error. Here, we propose a hybrid learning method combining reinforcement learning (RL), deep neural networks (DNNs), and quantum-inspired models to actively and adaptively update quantum gate parameters and error mitigation strategies on the fly. Embedding of quantum noise models directly into the learning allows the system to predict and correct for decoherence, gate errors and measurement inaccuracy before they affect computational fidelity. Using extensive simulations as well as experimental validation on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) processors, our improved ML model achieves a substantially higher fidelity and robustness compared to standard model-free and static control approaches. We introduce a novel feedback-loop mechanism based on online learning algorithms enabling the system to adjust for changing noise profiles and hardware drift without retraining. The optimization part uses metaheuristic methods to quickly converge to control parameters that perform well, and the error prevention mechanism features anomaly detection and prediction correction layers to minimize the effects of cumulative decoherence. The results demonstrate that our adaptive control framework can be used to not only speed up the convergence in training quantum algorithms, but also sustain the performance of gates against error at a variety of error rates with the reduction of the real-time impact of the error up to 35 %. This work highlights the promise of machine learningaugmented quantum control for improving reliability and scalability in quantum computing and serves as a stepping stone for future incorporation with fault-tolerant designs.
Quantum computation has the promise to solve problems that are not efficiently solvable by classical means. Yet, due to the fragile nature of quantum states, it is unavoidable that quantum systems are subject to decoherence, gate imperfections, and measurement errors. These problems stand as a major roadblock to the construction of large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computers. Conventional quantum error correction (QEC) codes, such as the surface code or Shor code, need to use an extensive amount of redundancy and classical control, which can be both computationally expensive and challenging to scale. In this context, we propose to investigate the use of machine learning (ML) techniques by realizing on-line identification, localization and correction of these quantum errors for fault-tolerant quantum computation by means of fault-tolerant quantum computing processes. Our model introduces a hybrids ML-QEC architecture that combines classical neural networks and decision-tree classifiers with quantum syndrome decoding. These models are trained on error syndromes produced using the approximation of common noise models (for example, depolarizing noise, dephasing and amplitude damping), simulated under different QEC schemes. The machine learning methods are trained with quantum error patterns and have a capability to rapidly infer where errors are likely to occur, as well as recommend correction operations with high confidence. As a result, the system reduces dramatically the delay and computational costs when compared to conventional decoding methods. There is also a self-adaptive learning module in the work, which recommences training on fresh quantum error distributions, meaning the system can adapt to changes in the environment (and also the decay of the hardware) as time progresses. The study further carries out ML predictions inside a real-time loop and cross-checks them with quantum state tomography and entanglement fidelity such as indicators. Experimental characterization on dedicated devices as well as noise models show that our ML-enhanced decoders reach higher fidelity and lower logical error rates compared to baseline decoders, especially in non-uniform or time-dependent noise. This work is a significant stride towards realizing practical fault-tolerant quantum computation by combining quantum error correction with the versatility and scalability of machine learning. With intelligent models to dictate learning, our proposed framework is able to eliminate a lot of trial-and-error manual processes in the conventional heuristic-based approach, and points to a potential path to achieve scalable quantum information processing platforms.