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arXiv:2602.18377 · Physical Review A

Theory and interpretability of Quantum Extreme Learning Machines: a Pauli transfer matrix approach

Markus Gross, Hans-Martin Rieser

quant-phcs.LGSubmitted Feb 20, 2026• Announced Feb 23, 2026• 0 citations• Revised Oct 26, 2026 (v4)
v1 · Feb 20, 2026v2 · Mar 18, 2026v3 · Apr 7, 2026v4 · Oct 26, 2026
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Abstract

Quantum reservoir computers (QRCs) have emerged as a promising approach to quantum machine learning, since they utilize the natural dynamics of quantum systems for data processing and are simple to train. Here, we consider $n$-qubit quantum extreme learning machines (QELMs) with initial-state encoding and continuous-time reservoir dynamics. Applying the Pauli transfer matrix (PTM) formalism reveals the encoding-generated features and their linear transformation by quantum channels, and thereby provides a nonlinear vector autoregression model as an interpretable classical representation of a QELM. We show that the nonlinear information processing capacity of a QELM factorizes into the ability of the encoding to represent a given target function and the decodability of the relevant Pauli features after the effective PTM. Comparing geometric and statistical decodability reveals features that are algebraically hidden yet recoverable through data correlations. We relate the decodability of Pauli features to the spreading of measurement operators under Heisenberg evolution (Krylov growth). Focusing on the unitary channel, we discuss how structured Hamiltonians, when paired with certain observables, can impair model performance, as reflected in a low rank of the readout and the effective PTMs. We trace this effect to Hamiltonian symmetries and derive asymptotic rank estimates for symmetry-resolved observable families. Our decodability analysis disentangles the contributions of encoding, reservoir dynamics, and measurement observables, and thus provides interpretable diagnostics that can inform the design of QELMs and reduce reliance on exhaustive hyperparameter search. As a specific application, we consider forecasting nonlinear dynamical systems and show that the readout of a trained QELM closely matches the expression of the underlying flow map at leading orders.

Journal reference
Phys. Rev. A 114, 042459 (2026)
DOI
10.1103/6tm7-3tn4
Comments
60 pages, 18 figures

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Quantum extreme learning machines (QELMs) leverage untrained quantum dynamics to efficiently process information encoded in input quantum states, avoiding the high computational cost of training more complicated nonlinear models. On the other hand, quantum information scrambling (QIS) quantifies how the spread of quantum information into correlations makes it irretrievable from local measurements. Here, we explore the tight relation between QIS and the predictive power of QELMs. In particular, we show efficient state estimation is possible even beyond the scrambling time, for many different types of dynamics — in fact, we show that in all the cases we studied, the reconstruction efficiency at long interaction times matches the optimal one offered by random global unitary dynamics. These results offer promising venues for robust experimental QELM-based state estimation protocols, as well as providing novel insights into the nature of QIS from a state estimation perspective.