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arXiv:2601.16126 · Physical Review A

Quantum Dimension Reduction of Hidden Markov Models

Rishi Sundar, Thomas J. Elliott

quant-phcond-mat.stat-mechSubmitted Jan 22, 2026• Announced Jan 23, 2026• 0 citations• Revised Jul 1, 2026 (v2)
v1 · Jan 22, 2026v2 · Jul 1, 2026
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Abstract

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are ubiquitous in time-series modelling, with applications ranging from chemical reaction modelling to speech recognition. These HMMs are often large, with high-dimensional memories. A recently-proposed application of quantum technologies is to execute quantum analogues of HMMs. Such quantum HMMs (QHMMs) are strictly more expressive than their classical counterparts, enabling the construction of more parsimonious models of stochastic processes. However, state-of-the-art techniques for QHMM compression, based on tensor networks, are only applicable for a restricted subset of HMMs, where the transitions are deterministic. In this work we introduce a pipeline by which \emph{any} finite, ergodic HMM can be compressed in this manner, providing a route for effective quantum dimension reduction of general HMMs. We demonstrate the method on both a simple toy model, and on a speech-derived HMM trained from data, obtaining favourable memory--accuracy trade-offs in the examples studied, relative to a simple classical state-merging baseline.

Journal reference
Phys. Rev. A 113, 062461, 25 June, 2026
DOI
10.1103/plt9-cm1x
Comments
14 pages, 6 figures

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Stochastic modeling is an essential component of the quantitative sciences, with hidden Markov models (HMMs) often playing a central role. Concurrently, the rise of quantum technologies promises a host of advantages in computational problems, typically in terms of the scaling of requisite resources such as time and memory. HMMs are no exception to this, with recent results highlighting quantum implementations of deterministic HMMs exhibiting superior memory and thermal efficiency relative to their classical counterparts. In many contexts, however, nondeterministic HMMs are viable alternatives; compared to them, the advantages of current quantum implementations do not always hold. Here, we provide a systematic prescription for constructing quantum implementations of nondeterministic HMMs that reestablish the quantum advantages against this broader class. Crucially, we show that whenever the classical implementation suffers from thermal dissipation due to its need to process information in a time-local manner, our quantum implementations will both mitigate some of this dissipation and achieve an advantage in memory compression.
Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) can be thought of as quantum probabilistic graphical models that can model sequential data. We extend previous work on HQMMs with three contributions: (1) we show how classical hidden Markov models (HMMs) can be simulated on a quantum circuit, (2) we reformulate HQMMs by relaxing the constraints for modeling HMMs on quantum circuits, and (3) we present a learning algorithm to estimate the parameters of an HQMM from data. While our algorithm requires further optimization to handle larger datasets, we are able to evaluate our algorithm using several synthetic datasets. We show that on HQMM generated data, our algorithm learns HQMMs with the same number of hidden states and predictive accuracy as the true HQMMs, while HMMs learned with the Baum-Welch algorithm require more states to match the predictive accuracy.
Abstract Quantum technologies offer a promising route to the efficient sampling and analysis of stochastic processes, with potential applications across the sciences. Such quantum advantages rely on the preparation of a quantum sample state of the stochastic process, which requires a memory system to propagate correlations between the past and future of the process. Here, we introduce a method of lossy quantum dimension reduction that allows this memory to be compressed, not just beyond classical limits, but also beyond current state-of-the-art quantum stochastic sampling approaches. We investigate the trade-off between the saving in memory resources from this compression, and the distortion it introduces. We show that our approach can be highly effective in low distortion compression of both Markovian and strongly non-Markovian processes alike. We further discuss the application of our results to quantum stochastic modelling more broadly.
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Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have become very popular as a computational tool for the analysis of sequential data. They are memoryless machines which transition from one internal state to another, while producing symbols. These symbols constitute the output of the machine and form an infinite time series. Analogously, Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMM) produce an infinite time series, while progressing from one quantum state to another through stochastic quantum operations. Here we compare 1-bit HMMs and 1-qubit HQMMs and show that the latter can produce stronger correlations, although both machines are, in principle, comparable in resources.
In this work, we extend the idea of quantum Markov chains (Gudder in J Math Phys 49(7):072105 [ 3 ]) in order to propose quantum hidden Markov models (QHMMs). For that, we use the notions of transition operation matrices and vector states, which are an extension of classical stochastic matrices and probability distributions. Our main result is the Mealy QHMM formulation and proofs of algorithms needed for application of this model: Forward for general case and Vitterbi for a restricted class of QHMMs. We show the relations of the proposed model to other quantum HMM propositions and present an example of application.