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arXiv:2512.08390 · Physical Review Research

Practical protein-pocket hydration-site prediction for drug discovery on a quantum computer

Daniele Loco, Kisa Barkemeyer, Andre R. R. Carvalho, Jean-Philip Piquemal

quant-phphysics.bio-phphysics.chem-phSubmitted Dec 9, 2025• Announced Dec 10, 2025• 0 citations• Revised Dec 11, 2025 (v2)
v1 · Dec 9, 2025v2 · Dec 11, 2025
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Abstract

Demonstrating the practical utility of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) hardware for recurrent tasks in Computer-Aided Drug Discovery is of paramount importance. We tackle this challenge by performing three-dimensional protein pockets hydration-site prediction on a quantum computer. Formulating the water placement problem as a Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO), we use a hybrid approach coupling a classical three-dimensional reference-interaction site model (3D-RISM) to an efficient quantum optimization solver, to run various hardware experiments up to 123 qubits. Matching the precision of classical approaches, our results reproduced experimental predictions on real-life protein-ligand complexes. Furthermore, through a detailed resource estimation analysis, we show that accuracy can be systematically improved with increasing number of qubits, indicating that full quantum utility is in reach. Finally, we provide evidence that advantageous situations could be found for systems where classical optimization struggles to provide optimal solutions. The method has potential for assisting simulations of protein-ligand complexes for drug lead optimization and setup of docking calculations.

Journal reference
Physical Review Research, 2026, 8, 033344
DOI
10.1103/gyqr-mv1h

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Demonstrating the practical utility of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) hardware for recurrent tasks in Computer-Aided Drug Discovery is of paramount importance. We tackle this challenge by performing three-dimensional protein pockets hydration-site prediction on a quantum computer. Formulating the water placement problem as a Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO), we use a hybrid approach coupling a classical three-dimensional reference-interaction site model (3D-RISM) to an efficient quantum optimization solver, to run various hardware experiments up to 123 qubits. Matching the precision of classical approaches, our results reproduced experimental predictions on real-life protein-ligand complexes. Furthermore, through a detailed resource estimation analysis, we show that accuracy can be systematically improved with increasing number of qubits, indicating that full quantum utility is in reach. Finally, we provide evidence that advantageous situations could be found for systems where classical optimization struggles to provide optimal solutions. The method has potential for assisting simulations of protein-ligand complexes for drug lead optimization and setup of docking calculations.
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A study published on the preprint repository arXiv comprehensively outlines empirical applications of quantum algorithms (such as VQE, QAOA) that can be executed on near-term noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) hardware to solve key challenges in molecular biology and drug discovery, such as protein folding and molecular docking. Through quantum simulations that overcome the limits of classical computing, it was demonstrated that by directly simulating the Hamiltonian of a chemical system, the 3D energy-minimized state of peptides or small molecule compounds can be accurately predicted with significantly fewer computing resources than before. It provides a practical roadmap for combining quantum machine learning (QML) and molecular biology to dramatically reduce massive computational costs and achieve overwhelming efficiency in the next-generation in silico drug discovery process. [Quantum Biology Society] Problems such as protein folding and molecular docking, which cause the biggest bottlenecks in the drug discovery process, become exponentially more complex as the amino acid sequence gets longer. The number of cases to explore explodes, making it difficult for classical computers to handle their NP-hard complexity. Recently, a groundbreaking demonstration framework aiming to introduce the latest quantum computing algorithms into the pharmaceutical and biotechnology fields to overcome these limitations has been presented, drawing attention from the related industry. The paper titled "Quantum computing for molecular biology," published on the preprint repository arXiv, comprehensively covers the application of practical quantum algorithms (e.g., VQE, QAOA) capable of solving drug discovery challenges that have hit the limits of classical computing, using noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) hardware. A research team including Alberto Baiardi and Markus Reiher from ETH Zurich in Switzerland, along with Matthias Christandl from the University of Copenhagen in Denmark, led this innovative convergent research. ■ Quantum Simulation: Overcoming the Limits of Classical Computing The research team demonstrated that by utilizing the characteristic of quantum computers to efficiently map and directly simulate the Hamiltonian of chemical systems, the complex 3D energy-minimized states of peptides or small molecule compounds can be accurately found with significantly fewer computing resources than before. This is because quantum computers can fundamentally bypass the "curse of dimensionality," where the computational amount expands exponentially, by naturally simulating the quantum mechanical properties of molecules. ■ A Roadmap for Next-Generation Drug Discovery This research goes beyond simply presenting algorithms; it provides a specific roadmap for next-generation in silico drug discovery processes by combining quantum machine learning (QML) and molecular biology. Through this, it has opened a path to achieve overwhelming efficiency by drastically reducing the massive computational costs and time required to screen drug candidates and optimize their most stable binding structures. This practical guide strongly suggests that quantum computing will become a core foundational technology bringing substantial innovation to the life sciences and pharmaceutical industries in the future. https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.12220
Accurate prediction of binding affinities and efficient lead optimization remain central challenges in computational drug discovery, particularly for complex biological targets characterized by rugged energy landscapes, conformational heterogeneity, and high-dimensional interaction spaces. Classical computational methods—such as molecular docking, force-field–based simulations, and deep learning models—have made substantial progress, yet they often struggle to capture quantum-mechanical effects and long-range correlations critical to molecular recognition. This study explores a quantum-enhanced framework that integrates Variational Quantum Algorithms (VQAs), quantum-inspired Hamiltonian modeling, and hybrid quantum–classical optimization workflows to improve the fidelity and scalability of drug discovery pipelines. By encoding molecular interactions into parameterized quantum circuits, the framework leverages quantum superposition and entanglement to explore complex chemical space more efficiently, enabling refined estimation of binding energies and accelerated identification of high-quality leads. Preliminary simulations indicate that VQA-based estimators outperform classical baselines for challenging protein–ligand systems, reducing prediction error while maintaining computational tractability. These findings highlight the emerging potential of quantum technologies to enable more accurate, data-efficient, and mechanistically grounded drug discovery for next-generation therapeutics.
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