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arXiv:2510.03645

The power of quantum circuits in sampling

Guy Blanc, Koch, Caleb, Jane Lange, Carmen Strassle, Li-Yang Tan

Published Oct 4, 2025• 0 citations
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Abstract

We give new evidence that quantum circuits are substantially more powerful than classical circuits. We show, relative to a random oracle, that polynomial-size quantum circuits can sample distributions that subexponential-size classical circuits cannot approximate even to TV distance $1-o(1)$. Prior work of Aaronson and Arkhipov (2011) showed such a separation for the case of exact sampling (i.e. TV distance $0$), but separations for approximate sampling were only known for uniform algorithms. A key ingredient in our proof is a new hardness amplification lemma for the classical query complexity of the Yamakawa-Zhandry (2022) search problem. We show that the probability that any family of query algorithms collectively finds $k$ distinct solutions decays exponentially in $k$.

DOI
10.48550/arxiv.2510.03645

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We give new evidence that quantum circuits are substantially more powerful than classical circuits. We show, relative to a random oracle, that polynomial-size quantum circuits can sample distributions that subexponential-size classical circuits cannot approximate even to TV distance 1−o(1)1-o(1)1−o(1). Prior work of Aaronson and Arkhipov (2011) showed such a separation for the case of exact sampling (i.e. TV distance 000), but separations for approximate sampling were only known for uniform algorithms. A key ingredient in our proof is a new hardness amplification lemma for the classical query complexity of the Yamakawa-Zhandry (2022) search problem. We show that the probability that any family of query algorithms collectively finds kkk distinct solutions decays exponentially in kkk.
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Results on the hardness of approximate sampling are seen as important stepping stones toward a convincing demonstration of the superior computational power of quantum devices. The most prominent suggestions for such experiments include boson sampling, instantaneous quantum polynomial time (IQP) circuit sampling, and universal random circuit sampling. A key challenge for any such demonstration is to certify the correct implementation. For all these examples, and in fact for all sufficiently flat distributions, we show that any noninteractive certification from classical samples and a description of the target distribution requires exponentially many uses of the device. Our proofs rely on the same property that is a central ingredient for the approximate hardness results, namely, that the sampling distributions, as random variables depending on the random unitaries defining the problem instances, have small second moments.
Aaronson and Ambainis (Theory of Computing, 2014) conjectured that quantum query algorithms admit efficient almost-everywhere classical simulation: for any TTT-query quantum algorithm, its acceptance probability can be approximated on a (1−δ)(1-δ)(1−δ) fraction of inputs, up to εεε additive error, using poly(T,1/ε,1/δ)\mathrm{poly}(T, 1/ε, 1/δ)poly(T,1/ε,1/δ) classical queries. At a high level, the conjecture suggests that exponential quantum speedups are possible only on sufficiently structured inputs. In this work, we make progress on this conjecture by proving it for quantum algorithms that make massively parallel quantum queries. In contrast, Yamakawa and Zhandry (Journal of the ACM, 2024) showed that quantum algorithms restricted to parallel queries can still achieve exponential speedups over classical algorithms for sampling problems. We establish our simulation theorem by proving the stronger statement that parallel-query quantum algorithms cannot distinguish the uniform distribution over oracles from oracles drawn from so-called "dense distributions". Our main technical contribution is a coupling theorem that relates the uniform distribution over oracles to oracles drawn from dense distributions. We further extend this approach beyond the purely parallel setting. We prove simulation theorems for quantum algorithms with constant rounds of adaptivity, and for quantum algorithms with a bounded quantum-query prefix followed by a massively parallel quantum-query stage.
BosonSampling and Random Circuit Sampling are important both as a theoretical tool for separating quantum and classical computation, and as an experimental means of demonstrating quantum speedups. Prior works have shown that average-case hardness of sampling follows from certain unproven conjectures about the hardness of computing output probabilities, such as the Permanent-of-Gaussians Conjecture (PGC), which states that e−nlog⁡n−n−O(log⁡n)e^{-n \log n-n-O(\log n)}e−nlogn−n−O(logn) additive-error estimates to the output probability of most random BosonSampling experiments are #P-hard. Prior works have only shown weaker average-case hardness results that do not imply sampling hardness. Proving these conjectures has become a central question in quantum complexity. In this work, we show that e−nlog⁡n−n−O(nδ)e^{-n \log n-n-O\left(n^{\delta}\right)}e−nlogn−n−O(nδ) additive-error estimates to output probabilities of most random BosonSampling experiments are #P-hard for any δ>0\delta\gt 0δ>0, exponentially improving on prior work. In the process, we circumvent all known barrier results for proving PGC. The remaining hurdle to prove PGC is now “merely” to show that the O(nδ)O\left(n^{\delta}\right)O(nδ) in the exponent can be improved to O(log⁡n)O(\log n)O(logn). We also obtain an analogous result for Random Circuit Sampling. We then show, for the first time, a hardness of average-case classical sampling result for BosonSampling, under an anticoncentration conjecture. Specifically, we prove the impossibility of multiplicative-error sampling from random BosonSampling experiments with probability 1−2−O~(N1/3)1-2^{-\tilde{O}\left(N^{1 / 3}\right)}1−2−O~(N1/3) for input size N, unless the Polynomial Hierarchy collapses. This exponentially improves upon the state-of-the-art. To do this, we introduce new proof techniques which tolerate exponential loss in the worst-to-average-case reduction. This opens the possibility to show the hardness of average-case sampling without ever proving PGC.