Challenges
Datasets
Workspaces
Papers
Discussions
Leaderboard
Log inSign up
Challenges
Datasets
Workspaces
Papers
Discussions
Leaderboard
Blog
Job Board
Q3AS

© 2026 Aqora Quantum S.A.S.

TermsPrivacyLegal Notice

arXiv:2509.00259 · IEEE International Conference on Big Data (BigData)

Quantum-Optimized Selective State Space Model for Efficient Time Series Prediction

Ștefan-Alexandru Jura, Mihai Udrescu, Alexandru Topîrceanu

Published Dec 8, 2025• 0 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

Long-range time series forecasting remains challenging, as it requires capturing non-stationary and multi-scale temporal dependencies while maintaining noise robustness, efficiency, and stability. Transformer-based architectures such as Autoformer and Informer improve generalization but suffer from quadratic complexity and degraded performance on very long time horizons. State space models, notably S-Mamba, provide linear-time updates but often face unstable training dynamics, sensitivity to initialization, and limited robustness for multivariate forecasting. To address such challenges, we propose the Quantum-Optimized Selective State Space Model (Q-SSM), a hybrid quantum-optimized approach that integrates state space dynamics with a variational quantum gate. Instead of relying on expensive attention mechanisms, Q-SSM employs a simple parametrized quantum circuit (RY-RX ansatz) whose expectation values regulate memory updates adaptively. This quantum gating mechanism improves convergence stability, enhances the modeling of long-term dependencies, and provides a lightweight alternative to attention. We empirically validate Q-SSM on three widely used benchmarks, i.e., ETT, Traffic, and Exchange Rate. Results show that Q-SSM consistently improves over strong baselines (LSTM, TCN, Reformer), Transformer-based models, and S-Mamba. These findings demonstrate that variational quantum gating can address current limitations in long-range forecasting, leading to accurate and robust multivariate predictions.

DOI
10.1109/bigdata66926.2025.11402163

Related papers

Optimizing Hybrid Quantum-Classical Models Using Parameterized Quantum Circuits for Time-Series Forecasting

Harshraj Bhoite

Time-series forecasting is vital across sectors such as finance, energy, and environmental science, where accurate future predictions drive informed decision-making. Traditional statistical methods and deep learning models like LSTM and Transformers, while effective, often struggle with high-dimensional data and long-term dependencies. In this paper, we propose a hybrid quantum-classical model that utilizes Parameterized Quantum Circuits (PQCs) to capture complex temporal patterns in multivariate time-series data. Our architecture integrates a classical encoder, a quantum variational processor, and a classical decoder, trained end-to-end using gradient-based optimization. Experiments conducted on benchmark datasets—electricity load, stock prices, and weather forecasting—demonstrate that the hybrid model consistently outperforms classical baselines in terms of Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and R² score. Robustness analysis confirms the model’s resilience to moderate quantum noise, while an ablation study highlights the performance gain from quantum components. This work showcases the potential of hybrid quantum-classical approaches on Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices and lays a foundation for scalable, real-world quantum machine learning applications.

•Jul 19, 2025•0 citations

A Quantum-Classical Hybrid Framework for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting Complexity-Fidelity Trade-offs and Limitations

Sanjay Chakraborty, Fredrik Heintz

This paper presents a unified quantum-classical hybrid framework for multi-horizon time-series forecasting, introducing two model variants Quantum Reservoir Forecaster (QRC-F) and Variational Quantum Forecaster (VQF-F). The proposed framework investigates the complexity-fidelity trade-off of quantum forecasting under near-term NISQ hardware constraints. Continuous time-series signals are transformed into binary representations through uniform quantization and encoded into quantum states using angle encoding with parameterized RY rotation gates. Cross-channel entanglement layers capture dependencies among multiple variables. QRC-F utilizes a fixed random unitary quantum reservoir for stable, gradient-free temporal feature extraction, whereas VQF-F employs a trainable variational quantum circuit optimized through the parameter-shift rule to learn temporal and inter-variable patterns from Pauli expectation values. Both models replace computationally expensive quadratic self-attention with efficient linear transformations, reducing parameter complexity. A shared MIMO-based multi-horizon prediction head simultaneously generates forecasts across multiple horizons, avoiding error accumulation in recursive forecasting. Experimental evaluations on benchmark datasets, including ETTh1, ETTh2, ETTm1, ETTm2, Weather, electricity, and exchange-rate, demonstrate that VQF-F achieves superior training stability and parameter efficiency, while QRC-F provides enhanced robustness and circuit fidelity under quantum noise. The results establish a practical quantum-native forecasting framework with strong potential for deployment on near-term NISQ devices.

arXiv:2607.16358•Jul 17, 2026•0 citations

Quantum-enhanced architectures for multivariate time-series forecasting

Sandra Ranilla-Cortina, Diego A. Aranda, Jorge Ballesteros +3 more

Abstract In this paper, we address the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting through quantum-enhanced machine learning architectures. We propose adaptation strategies that extend variational quantum circuit models (VQC), traditionally constrained to univariate data, toward the multivariate setting, exploring both purely quantum and hybrid quantum-classical formulations. First, we extend and benchmark several VQC-based and hybrid models to systematically evaluate their ability to capture cross-variable dependencies. Building on these foundations, we introduce the iQTransformer, a novel quantum transformer architecture that integrates a quantum self-attention mechanism within the iTransformer framework, enabling a quantum-native representation of inter-variable relationships. Finally, we present a comprehensive empirical evaluation on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating that quantum-enhanced models can achieve competitive or superior forecasting accuracy with fewer trainable parameters and faster convergence than state-of-the-art classical and quantum baselines. These findings highlight the potential of quantum-enhanced architectures as efficient and scalable tools for advancing multivariate time-series forecasting.

The Journal of Supercomputing•Feb 12, 2026•1 citation

QLAM: A Quantum Long-Attention Memory Approach to Long-Sequence Token Modeling

Hoang-Quan Nguyen, S. D. Pandey, Ky Luu

Modeling long-range dependencies in sequential data remains a central challenge in machine learning. Transformers address this challenge through attention mechanisms, but their quadratic complexity with respect to sequence length limits scalability to long contexts. State-space models (SSMs) provide an efficient alternative with linear-time computation by evolving a latent state through recurrent updates, but their memory is typically formed via additive or linear transitions, which can limit their ability to capture complex global interactions across tokens. In this work, we introduce one of the first studies to leverage the superposition property of quantum systems to enhance state-based sequence modeling. In particular, we propose Quantum Long-Attention Memory (QLAM), a hybrid quantum-classical memory mechanism that can be viewed as a quantum extension of state-space models. Instead of maintaining a classical latent state updated through additive dynamics, QLAM represents the hidden state as a quantum state whose amplitudes encode a superposition of historical information. The state evolves through parameterized quantum circuits conditioned on the input, enabling a non-classical, globally update mechanism. In this way, QLAM preserves the recurrent and linear-time structure of SSMs while fundamentally enriching the memory representation through quantum superposition. Unlike attention mechanisms that explicitly compute pairwise interactions, QLAM implicitly captures global dependencies through the evolution of the quantum state, and retrieves task-relevant information via query-dependent measurements. We evaluate QLAM on sequential variants of standard image classification benchmarks, including sMNIST, sFashion-MNIST, and sCIFAR-10, where images are flattened into token sequences. Across all tasks, QLAM consistently improves over recurrent baselines and transformer-based models.

arXiv:2605.13833•May 13, 2026•0 citations

Quantum-Enhanced Recurrent Neural Networks via Variational Quantum Gating for Battery State of Health Prediction

Yin Xu, Qinglin Liu, Li Gao +1 more

Accurate state-of-health (SOH) estimation for lithium-ion batteries remains a challenging problem due to complex electrochemical degradation mechanisms and long-range temporal dependencies. In this work, we propose a quantum-enhanced recurrent framework, termed QLSTM, in which variational quantum circuits are directly embedded into the gating mechanisms of long short-term memory networks. By replacing classical affine transformations with parameterized unitary operations, the proposed model introduces structured nonlinear transformations into the recurrent state-transition process. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark battery datasets demonstrate that QLSTM consistently outperforms classical sequence models in both predictive accuracy and robustness, achieving significant reductions in mean absolute error (MAE), with improvements on the order of 20% compared with classical LSTM baselines. Ablation studies further confirm that these improvements arise primarily from quantum-enhanced gating rather than input-level transformations. Additional analyses on qubit scaling and noise robustness reveal that model performance is governed by a balance between expressive capacity and trainability. These results provide empirical evidence that embedding quantum computational primitives within recurrent architectures offers a structurally grounded approach to improving sequence modeling capability. The proposed framework establishes a new design paradigm for integrating quantum operators into temporal learning models, with potential applications in complex dynamical system prediction tasks.

quant-pharXiv:2604.20438•Apr 23, 2026•0 citations

Quantum Neural Network Architectures for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

Sandra Ranilla-Cortina, Diego A. Aranda, Ballesteros, Jorge +4 more

In this paper, we address the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting using quantum machine learning techniques. We introduce adaptation strategies that extend variational quantum circuit models, traditionally limited to univariate data, toward the multivariate setting, exploring both purely quantum and hybrid quantum-classical formulations. First, we extend and benchmark several VQC-based and hybrid architectures to systematically evaluate their capacity to model cross-variable dependencies. Second, building upon these foundations, we introduce the iQTransformer, a novel quantum transformer architecture that integrates a quantum self-attention mechanism within the iTransformer framework, enabling a quantum-native representation of inter-variable relationships. Third, we provide a comprehensive empirical evaluation on both synthetic and real-world datasets, showing that quantum-based models may achieve competitive or superior forecasting accuracy with fewer trainable parameters and faster convergence than state-of-the-art classical and quantum baselines in some cases. These contributions highlight the potential of quantum-enhanced architectures as efficient and scalable tools for advancing multivariate time-series forecasting.

arXiv:2510.21168•Oct 24, 2025•0 citations
Long-range time series forecasting remains challenging, as it requires capturing non-stationary and multi-scale temporal dependencies while maintaining noise robustness, efficiency, and stability. Transformer-based architectures such as Autoformer and Informer improve generalization but suffer from quadratic complexity and degraded performance on very long time horizons. State space models, notably S-Mamba, provide linear-time updates but often face unstable training dynamics, sensitivity to initialization, and limited robustness for multivariate forecasting. To address such challenges, we propose the Quantum-Optimized Selective State Space Model (Q-SSM), a hybrid quantum-optimized approach that integrates state space dynamics with a variational quantum gate. Instead of relying on expensive attention mechanisms, Q-SSM employs a simple parametrized quantum circuit (RY-RX ansatz) whose expectation values regulate memory updates adaptively. This quantum gating mechanism improves convergence stability, enhances the modeling of long-term dependencies, and provides a lightweight alternative to attention. We empirically validate Q-SSM on three widely used benchmarks, i.e., ETT, Traffic, and Exchange Rate. Results show that Q-SSM consistently improves over strong baselines (LSTM, TCN, Reformer), Transformer-based models, and S-Mamba. These findings demonstrate that variational quantum gating can address current limitations in long-range forecasting, leading to accurate and robust multivariate predictions.
Time-series forecasting is vital across sectors such as finance, energy, and environmental science, where accurate future predictions drive informed decision-making. Traditional statistical methods and deep learning models like LSTM and Transformers, while effective, often struggle with high-dimensional data and long-term dependencies. In this paper, we propose a hybrid quantum-classical model that utilizes Parameterized Quantum Circuits (PQCs) to capture complex temporal patterns in multivariate time-series data. Our architecture integrates a classical encoder, a quantum variational processor, and a classical decoder, trained end-to-end using gradient-based optimization. Experiments conducted on benchmark datasets—electricity load, stock prices, and weather forecasting—demonstrate that the hybrid model consistently outperforms classical baselines in terms of Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and R² score. Robustness analysis confirms the model’s resilience to moderate quantum noise, while an ablation study highlights the performance gain from quantum components. This work showcases the potential of hybrid quantum-classical approaches on Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices and lays a foundation for scalable, real-world quantum machine learning applications.
This paper presents a unified quantum-classical hybrid framework for multi-horizon time-series forecasting, introducing two model variants Quantum Reservoir Forecaster (QRC-F) and Variational Quantum Forecaster (VQF-F). The proposed framework investigates the complexity-fidelity trade-off of quantum forecasting under near-term NISQ hardware constraints. Continuous time-series signals are transformed into binary representations through uniform quantization and encoded into quantum states using angle encoding with parameterized RY rotation gates. Cross-channel entanglement layers capture dependencies among multiple variables. QRC-F utilizes a fixed random unitary quantum reservoir for stable, gradient-free temporal feature extraction, whereas VQF-F employs a trainable variational quantum circuit optimized through the parameter-shift rule to learn temporal and inter-variable patterns from Pauli expectation values. Both models replace computationally expensive quadratic self-attention with efficient linear transformations, reducing parameter complexity. A shared MIMO-based multi-horizon prediction head simultaneously generates forecasts across multiple horizons, avoiding error accumulation in recursive forecasting. Experimental evaluations on benchmark datasets, including ETTh1, ETTh2, ETTm1, ETTm2, Weather, electricity, and exchange-rate, demonstrate that VQF-F achieves superior training stability and parameter efficiency, while QRC-F provides enhanced robustness and circuit fidelity under quantum noise. The results establish a practical quantum-native forecasting framework with strong potential for deployment on near-term NISQ devices.
Abstract In this paper, we address the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting through quantum-enhanced machine learning architectures. We propose adaptation strategies that extend variational quantum circuit models (VQC), traditionally constrained to univariate data, toward the multivariate setting, exploring both purely quantum and hybrid quantum-classical formulations. First, we extend and benchmark several VQC-based and hybrid models to systematically evaluate their ability to capture cross-variable dependencies. Building on these foundations, we introduce the iQTransformer, a novel quantum transformer architecture that integrates a quantum self-attention mechanism within the iTransformer framework, enabling a quantum-native representation of inter-variable relationships. Finally, we present a comprehensive empirical evaluation on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating that quantum-enhanced models can achieve competitive or superior forecasting accuracy with fewer trainable parameters and faster convergence than state-of-the-art classical and quantum baselines. These findings highlight the potential of quantum-enhanced architectures as efficient and scalable tools for advancing multivariate time-series forecasting.
Modeling long-range dependencies in sequential data remains a central challenge in machine learning. Transformers address this challenge through attention mechanisms, but their quadratic complexity with respect to sequence length limits scalability to long contexts. State-space models (SSMs) provide an efficient alternative with linear-time computation by evolving a latent state through recurrent updates, but their memory is typically formed via additive or linear transitions, which can limit their ability to capture complex global interactions across tokens. In this work, we introduce one of the first studies to leverage the superposition property of quantum systems to enhance state-based sequence modeling. In particular, we propose Quantum Long-Attention Memory (QLAM), a hybrid quantum-classical memory mechanism that can be viewed as a quantum extension of state-space models. Instead of maintaining a classical latent state updated through additive dynamics, QLAM represents the hidden state as a quantum state whose amplitudes encode a superposition of historical information. The state evolves through parameterized quantum circuits conditioned on the input, enabling a non-classical, globally update mechanism. In this way, QLAM preserves the recurrent and linear-time structure of SSMs while fundamentally enriching the memory representation through quantum superposition. Unlike attention mechanisms that explicitly compute pairwise interactions, QLAM implicitly captures global dependencies through the evolution of the quantum state, and retrieves task-relevant information via query-dependent measurements. We evaluate QLAM on sequential variants of standard image classification benchmarks, including sMNIST, sFashion-MNIST, and sCIFAR-10, where images are flattened into token sequences. Across all tasks, QLAM consistently improves over recurrent baselines and transformer-based models.
Accurate state-of-health (SOH) estimation for lithium-ion batteries remains a challenging problem due to complex electrochemical degradation mechanisms and long-range temporal dependencies. In this work, we propose a quantum-enhanced recurrent framework, termed QLSTM, in which variational quantum circuits are directly embedded into the gating mechanisms of long short-term memory networks. By replacing classical affine transformations with parameterized unitary operations, the proposed model introduces structured nonlinear transformations into the recurrent state-transition process. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark battery datasets demonstrate that QLSTM consistently outperforms classical sequence models in both predictive accuracy and robustness, achieving significant reductions in mean absolute error (MAE), with improvements on the order of 20% compared with classical LSTM baselines. Ablation studies further confirm that these improvements arise primarily from quantum-enhanced gating rather than input-level transformations. Additional analyses on qubit scaling and noise robustness reveal that model performance is governed by a balance between expressive capacity and trainability. These results provide empirical evidence that embedding quantum computational primitives within recurrent architectures offers a structurally grounded approach to improving sequence modeling capability. The proposed framework establishes a new design paradigm for integrating quantum operators into temporal learning models, with potential applications in complex dynamical system prediction tasks.
In this paper, we address the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting using quantum machine learning techniques. We introduce adaptation strategies that extend variational quantum circuit models, traditionally limited to univariate data, toward the multivariate setting, exploring both purely quantum and hybrid quantum-classical formulations. First, we extend and benchmark several VQC-based and hybrid architectures to systematically evaluate their capacity to model cross-variable dependencies. Second, building upon these foundations, we introduce the iQTransformer, a novel quantum transformer architecture that integrates a quantum self-attention mechanism within the iTransformer framework, enabling a quantum-native representation of inter-variable relationships. Third, we provide a comprehensive empirical evaluation on both synthetic and real-world datasets, showing that quantum-based models may achieve competitive or superior forecasting accuracy with fewer trainable parameters and faster convergence than state-of-the-art classical and quantum baselines in some cases. These contributions highlight the potential of quantum-enhanced architectures as efficient and scalable tools for advancing multivariate time-series forecasting.