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arXiv:2510.21168

Quantum Neural Network Architectures for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

Sandra Ranilla-Cortina, Diego A. Aranda, Ballesteros, Jorge, Bonilla, Jesus, Nerea Monrio, Elías F. Combarro, José Ranilla

Published Oct 24, 2025• 0 citations
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Abstract

In this paper, we address the challenge of multivariate time-series forecasting using quantum machine learning techniques. We introduce adaptation strategies that extend variational quantum circuit models, traditionally limited to univariate data, toward the multivariate setting, exploring both purely quantum and hybrid quantum-classical formulations. First, we extend and benchmark several VQC-based and hybrid architectures to systematically evaluate their capacity to model cross-variable dependencies. Second, building upon these foundations, we introduce the iQTransformer, a novel quantum transformer architecture that integrates a quantum self-attention mechanism within the iTransformer framework, enabling a quantum-native representation of inter-variable relationships. Third, we provide a comprehensive empirical evaluation on both synthetic and real-world datasets, showing that quantum-based models may achieve competitive or superior forecasting accuracy with fewer trainable parameters and faster convergence than state-of-the-art classical and quantum baselines in some cases. These contributions highlight the potential of quantum-enhanced architectures as efficient and scalable tools for advancing multivariate time-series forecasting.

DOI
10.48550/arxiv.2510.21168

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Time-series forecasting is vital across sectors such as finance, energy, and environmental science, where accurate future predictions drive informed decision-making. Traditional statistical methods and deep learning models like LSTM and Transformers, while effective, often struggle with high-dimensional data and long-term dependencies. In this paper, we propose a hybrid quantum-classical model that utilizes Parameterized Quantum Circuits (PQCs) to capture complex temporal patterns in multivariate time-series data. Our architecture integrates a classical encoder, a quantum variational processor, and a classical decoder, trained end-to-end using gradient-based optimization. Experiments conducted on benchmark datasets—electricity load, stock prices, and weather forecasting—demonstrate that the hybrid model consistently outperforms classical baselines in terms of Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and R² score. Robustness analysis confirms the model’s resilience to moderate quantum noise, while an ablation study highlights the performance gain from quantum components. This work showcases the potential of hybrid quantum-classical approaches on Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices and lays a foundation for scalable, real-world quantum machine learning applications.
This paper explores the application of quantum self-adaptive learning to high-dimensional time series forecasting models, leveraging the unique properties of quantum computing to enhance prediction accuracy and efficiency, particularly in scenarios involving large datasets and complex feature representations. We propose a novel "Quantum Adaptive Adjustment" mechanism that dynamically adjusts the learning process based on the characteristics of the time series data, leading to improved model performance. The research focuses on mitigating the limitations of traditional machine learning algorithms in handling high dimensionality and complex patterns, presenting a promising approach for improved forecasting capabilities. The paper details the implementation of the quantum self-adaptive learning process, including the introduction of the adaptive adjustment mechanism and a comprehensive evaluation of its effectiveness through simulations and a benchmark dataset. We conclude with a discussion of the potential impact of this approach on various real-world time series forecasting tasks.
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