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arXiv:2501.18685 · Physical Review A

Real-time adaptation of quantum noise channel estimates

Lucas Daguerre, Mohan Sarovar

Published Jun 5, 2025• 2 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

Estimates of noise channels for quantum gates are required for most error-mitigation techniques and are desirable for informing quantum error-correction decoders. These estimates can be obtained by resource-intensive offline characterization techniques, but can become stale due to device drift and fluctuations. We propose a method to address this issue by performing real-time adaptation of noise channel estimates during the execution of a quantum algorithmic circuit using extended flag gadgets, midcircuit measurements, and Bayesian inference. We carry out analytical calculations and numerical simulations employing a Dirichlet prior distribution for the error rates in a Pauli channel to demonstrate and evaluate the technique, which can be seen as a protocol for real-time calibration of high-level gate error information.

DOI
10.1103/physreva.111.062609

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Estimates of noise channels for quantum gates are required for most error-mitigation techniques and are desirable for informing quantum error-correction decoders. These estimates can be obtained by resource-intensive offline characterization techniques, but can become stale due to device drift and fluctuations. We propose a method to address this issue by performing real-time adaptation of noise channel estimates during the execution of a quantum algorithmic circuit using extended flag gadgets, midcircuit measurements, and Bayesian inference. We carry out analytical calculations and numerical simulations employing a Dirichlet prior distribution for the error rates in a Pauli channel to demonstrate and evaluate the technique, which can be seen as a protocol for real-time calibration of high-level gate error information.
Current quantum computers suffer from non-stationary noise channels with high error rates, which undermines their reliability and reproducibility. We propose a Bayesian inference based adaptive algorithm that can learn and mitigate quantum noise in response to changing channel conditions. Our study emphasizes the need for dynamic inference of critical channel parameters to improve program accuracy. We use the Dirichlet distribution to model the stochasticity of the Pauli channel. This allows us to perform Bayesian inference, which can improve the performance of probabilistic error cancellation (PEC) under time-varying noise. Our work demonstrates the importance of characterizing and mitigating temporal variations in quantum noise, which is crucial for developing more accurate and reliable quantum technologies. Our results demonstrate that Bayesian PEC can outperform non-adaptive approaches by a factor of 4.5x when measured using Hellinger distance from the ideal distribution.
Advancing quantum information processors and building fault-tolerant architectures rely on the ability to accurately characterize the noise sources and suppress their impact on quantum devices. In practice, noise often drifts over time, whereas conventional noise characterization and decoding methods typically assume stationarity or provide only a time-average behavior of the noise. This treatment can result in suboptimal decoding performance. In this work, we present a rigorous analytical framework to capture time-dependent Pauli noise, by exploiting the syndrome statistics of quantum error correction experiments. We propose a sliding-window estimation method which allows us to recover the frequency components of the noise, by using optimal window sizes that we derive analytically. We prove the noise-filtering behavior of sliding windows, linking window size to spectral cutoff frequencies, and provide an iterative algorithm that captures multiple drift frequencies. We further introduce an overlapping window algorithm that enables us to capture rapid multi-frequency noise drifts in a single-pass fashion. Simulations for both phenomenological and circuit-level noise models validate our framework, demonstrating robust tracking of multi-frequency drift. The logical error rate obtained from our estimated models consistently align with the ground-truth logical error rate, and we find suppression of logical errors compared to static error models. Our window-based estimation methods and adaptive decoding offer new insights into noise spectroscopy and decoder optimization under drift using only syndrome data.
Advancing quantum information processors and building fault-tolerant architectures rely on the ability to accurately characterize the noise sources and suppress their impact on quantum devices. In practice, noise often drifts over time, whereas conventional noise characterization and decoding methods typically assume stationarity or provide only a time-average behavior of the noise. This treatment can result in suboptimal decoding performance. In this work, we present a rigorous analytical framework to capture time-dependent Pauli noise, which is designed to use only syndrome data obtained from quantum error correction experiments. We validate this framework through numerical simulations. We propose a sliding-window estimation method which allows us to recover the frequency components of the noise, by using optimal window sizes that we derive analytically. We prove the noise-filtering behavior of sliding windows, linking window size to spectral cutoff frequencies, and provide an iterative algorithm that captures multiple drift frequencies. We further introduce an overlapping window algorithm that enables us to capture rapid multi-frequency noise drifts in a single-pass fashion. Simulations for both phenomenological and circuit-level noise models validate our framework, demonstrating robust tracking of multi-frequency drift. The logical error rate obtained from our estimated models consistently aligns with the ground-truth logical error rate, and we find suppression of logical errors compared to static error models. Our window-based estimation methods and adaptive decoding offer new insights into noise spectroscopy and decoder optimization under drift using only syndrome data.
Quantum computers have enabled solving problems beyond the current machines' capabilities. However, this requires handling noise arising from unwanted interactions in these systems. Several protocols have been proposed to address efficient and accurate quantum noise profiling and mitigation. In this work, we propose a novel protocol that efficiently estimates the average output of a noisy quantum device to be used for quantum noise mitigation. The multi-qubit system average behavior is approximated as a special form of a Pauli Channel where Clifford gates are used to estimate the average output for circuits of different depths. The characterized Pauli channel error rates, and state preparation and measurement errors are then used to construct the outputs for different depths thereby eliminating the need for large simulations and enabling efficient mitigation. We demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed protocol on four IBM Q 5-qubit quantum devices. Our method demonstrates improved accuracy with efficient noise characterization. We report up to 88% and 69% improvement for the proposed approach compared to the unmitigated, and pure measurement error mitigation approaches, respectively.
Quantum circuit compilation is a fundamental step in quantum computing, translating high-level quantum algorithms into sequences of gates executable on a specific quantum hardware. However, current compilation methods often employ static decompositions, neglecting the inherent noise characteristics of quantum devices, leading to suboptimal circuit designs and reduced fidelity. This work proposes a novel adaptive quantum circuit compilation strategy that dynamically adjusts circuit decompositions in real-time, based on continuous monitoring of hardware noise profiles. The core of this approach lies in integrating quantum error mitigation techniques with a feedback loop that iteratively refines the circuit design to minimize the detrimental effects of noise. We introduce a framework for evaluating the effectiveness of this adaptive compilation process, demonstrating potential improvements in circuit fidelity and execution time. This research directly addresses the critical need for real-time adaptive compilation, a cornerstone for the practical realization of fault-tolerant quantum computing. The presented methodology offers a promising path towards more efficient and robust quantum algorithms, ultimately contributing to the advancement of quantum information processing.
Various noise models have been developed in quantum computing study to describe the propagation and effect of the noise that is caused by imperfect implementation of hardware. Identifying parameters such as gate and readout error rates is critical to these models. We use a Bayesian inference approach to identify posterior distributions of these parameters such that they can be characterized more elaborately. By characterizing the device errors in this way, we can further improve the accuracy of quantum error mitigation. Experiments conducted on IBM’s quantum computing devices suggest that our approach provides better error mitigation performance than existing techniques used by the vendor. Also, our approach outperforms the standard Bayesian inference method in some scenarios.