We present BAE, a problem-tailored and noise-aware Bayesian algorithm for quantum amplitude estimation. In a fault tolerant scenario, BAE is capable of saturating the Heisenberg limit; if device noise is present, BAE can dynamically characterize it and self-adapt. We further propose aBAE, an annealed variant of BAE drawing on methods from statistical inference, to enhance robustness. Our proposals are parallelizable in both quantum and classical components, offer tools for fast noise model assessment, and can leverage preexisting information. Additionally, they accommodate experimental limitations and preferred cost trade-offs. We propose a robust benchmark for amplitude estimation algorithms and use it to test BAE against other approaches, demonstrating its competitive performance in both noisy and noiseless scenarios. In both cases, it achieves lower error than any other algorithm as a function of the cost. In the presence of decoherence, it is capable of learning when other algorithms fail.
We present BAE, a problem-tailored and noise-aware Bayesian algorithm for quantum amplitude estimation. In a fault tolerant scenario, BAE is capable of saturating the Heisenberg limit; if device noise is present, BAE can dynamically characterize it and self-adapt. We further propose aBAE, an annealed variant of BAE drawing on methods from statistical inference, to enhance robustness. Our proposals are parallelizable in both quantum and classical components, offer tools for fast noise model assessment, and can leverage preexisting information. Additionally, they accommodate experimental limitations and preferred cost trade-offs. We propose a robust benchmark for amplitude estimation algorithms and use it to test BAE against other approaches, demonstrating its competitive performance in both noisy and noiseless scenarios. In both cases, it achieves lower error than any other algorithm as a function of the cost. In the presence of decoherence, it is capable of learning when other algorithms fail.
Abstract A universal fault-tolerant quantum computer holds the promise to speed up computational problems that are otherwise intractable on classical computers; however, for the next decade or so, our access is restricted to noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) computers and, perhaps, early fault tolerant (EFT) quantum computers. This motivates the development of many near-term quantum algorithms including robust amplitude estimation (RAE), which is a quantum-enhanced algorithm for estimating expectation values. One obstacle to using RAE has been a paucity of ways of getting realistic error models incorporated into this algorithm. So far the impact of device noise on RAE is incorporated into one of its subroutines as an exponential decay model, which is unrealistic for NISQ devices and, maybe, for EFT devices; this hinders the performance of RAE. Rather than trying to explicitly model realistic noise effects, which may be infeasible, we circumvent this obstacle by tailoring device noise using randomized compiling to generate an effective noise model, whose impact on RAE closely resembles that of the exponential decay model. Using noisy simulations, we show that our noise-tailored RAE algorithm is able to regain improvements in both bias and precision that are expected for RAE. Additionally, on IBM’s quantum computer ibmq_belem our algorithm demonstrates advantage over the standard estimation technique in reducing bias. Thus, our work extends the feasibility of RAE on NISQ computers, consequently bringing us one step closer towards achieving quantum advantage using these devices.
The Quantum Amplitude Estimation (QAE) algorithm is a major quantum algorithm designed to achieve a quadratic speed-up. Until fault-tolerant quantum computing is achieved, being competitive over classical Monte Carlo (MC) remains elusive. Alternative methods have been developed so as to require fewer resources while maintaining an advantageous theoretical scaling. We compared the standard QAE algorithm with two Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ)-friendly versions of QAE on a numerical integration task, with the Monte Carlo technique of Metropolis–Hastings as a classical benchmark. The algorithms were evaluated in terms of the estimation error as a function of the number of samples, computational time, and length of the quantum circuits required by the solutions, respectively. The effectiveness of the two QAE alternatives was tested on an 11-qubit trapped-ion quantum computer in order to verify which solution can first provide a speed-up in the integral estimation problems. We concluded that an alternative approach is preferable with respect to employing the phase estimation routine. Indeed, the Maximum Likelihood estimation guaranteed the best trade-off between the length of the quantum circuits and the precision in the integral estimation, as well as greater resistance to noise.
The number of measurements demanded by hybrid quantum-classical algorithms such as the variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) is prohibitively high for many problems of practical value. Quantum algorithms that reduce this cost (e.g. quantum amplitude and phase estimation) require error rates that are too low for near-term implementation. Here we propose methods that take advantage of the available quantum coherence to maximally enhance the power of sampling on noisy quantum devices, reducing measurement number and runtime compared to VQE. Our scheme derives inspiration from quantum metrology, phase estimation, and the more recent alpha-VQE proposal, arriving at a general formulation that is robust to error and does not require ancilla qubits. The central object of this method is what we call the engineered likelihood function (ELF), used for carrying out Bayesian inference. We show how the ELF formalism enhances the rate of information gain in sampling as the physical hardware transitions from the regime of noisy intermediate-scale quantum computers into that of quantum error corrected ones. This technique speeds up a central component of many quantum algorithms, with applications including chemistry, materials, finance, and beyond. Similar to VQE, we expect small-scale implementations to be realizable on today's quantum devices.
Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) requires repeated risk-neutral expectation estimation, making it a natural test bed for quantum amplitude estimation, whose coherent amplification can in principle reduce Monte Carlo sampling cost. Whether this advantage survives realistic financial encoding and noisy hardware remains open. We develop an end-to-end, noise-aware quantum workflow for CVA, covering market calibration, discretisation, oracle construction, hardware execution and error-budget analysis. The model combines a correlated two-asset exposure with discount and default factors, encoded through a QCBM-based joint time-market distribution and controlled payoff rotations. We introduce contrast-aware Bayesian iterative quantum amplitude estimation (CABIQAE), which incorporates experimentally calibrated Grover-contrast loss into Bayesian inference and circuit-depth selection. Hardware-calibrated experiments show that CABIQAE exploits the limited amplification available on current devices more effectively than noise-agnostic alternatives and achieves a much lower classical post-processing runtime than the noise-aware BAE baseline. The analysis further decomposes the total CVA error into statistical, encoding, discretisation and hardware contributions. The full CVA oracle remains limited by circuit depth and discretisation resolution.
Maximizing the computational utility of near-term quantum processors requires predictive noise models that inform robust, noise-aware compilation and error mitigation. Conventional models often fail to capture the complex error dynamics of real hardware or require prohibitive characterization overhead. We introduce a data-efficient framework that first constructs a physically motivated, parameterized noise model, and subsequently employs machine-learning-driven Bayesian optimization to identify its parameters. Our approach circumvents costly characterization protocols by estimating algorithm- and hardware-specific error parameters directly from readily available experimental data derived from existing application and benchmark circuit executions. The generality and robustness of the framework are demonstrated across diverse algorithms and superconducting devices, yielding high-fidelity predictions by estimating an independent parameter set tailored to each specific algorithm-hardware context. Crucially, we show that a model calibrated exclusively on small-scale circuits accurately predicts the behavior of larger validation circuits. Our data-efficient approach achieves up to a 65% improvement in model fidelity quantified by the Hellinger distance between predicted and experimental circuit output distributions, compared to standard noise models derived from device properties. This work establishes a practical paradigm for application-aware noise characterization, enabling compilation and error-mitigation strategies tailored to the specific interplay between quantum algorithms and device-specific noise dynamics.
Amplitude estimation, in its original form, is formulated as phase estimation upon the Grover iterate. Subsequent improvements to the algorithm have eliminated the need for phase estimation and introduced low-depth variants that trade speedups for lower circuit depth. We make the key observation that amplitude estimation is equivalent to estimating the energy gap of an effective Hamiltonian, whereby discrete-time evolution is generated by amplitude amplification. This enables us to develop an amplitude estimation algorithm for both Heisenberg-limited and low-depth circuit regimes, inspired by statistical phase estimation techniques developed for early fault-tolerant ground-state energy estimation. In the Heisenberg-limited regime, our approach achieves performance comparable to state-of-the-art methods while using simplified classical post-processing. In the low-depth regime, it obtains optimal query--depth tradeoffs up to polylogarithmic factors, with provable guarantees and improved empirical performance over prior approaches. The resulting protocol is ancilla-free and requires only standard Grover reflections. Due to its flexibility, generality, and robustness, we expect our approach to be a key enabler for a broad range of early fault-tolerant applications.