Challenges
Datasets
Workspaces
Papers
Discussions
Leaderboard
Log inSign up
Challenges
Datasets
Workspaces
Papers
Discussions
Leaderboard
Blog
Job Board
Q3AS

© 2026 Aqora Quantum S.A.S.

TermsPrivacyLegal Notice

arXiv:2308.05077 · Science Advances

Fast and converged classical simulations of evidence for the utility of quantum computing before fault tolerance

Tomislav Begušić, Johnnie Gray, Garnet Kin‐Lic Chan

Published Jan 17, 2024• 89 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

A recent quantum simulation of observables of the kicked Ising model on 127 qubits implemented circuits that exceed the capabilities of exact classical simulation. We show that several approximate classical methods, based on sparse Pauli dynamics and tensor network algorithms, can simulate these observables orders of magnitude faster than the quantum experiment and can also be systematically converged beyond the experimental accuracy. Our most accurate technique combines a mixed Schrödinger and Heisenberg tensor network representation with the Bethe free entropy relation of belief propagation to compute expectation values with an effective wave function-operator sandwich bond dimension >16,000,000, achieving an absolute accuracy, without extrapolation, in the observables of <0.01, which is converged for many practical purposes. We thereby identify inaccuracies in the experimental extrapolations and suggest how future experiments can be implemented to increase the classical hardness.

DOI
10.1126/sciadv.adk4321

Related papers

Fast classical simulation of evidence for the utility of quantum computing before fault tolerance

Tomislav Begušić, Garnet Kin‐Lic Chan

We show that a classical algorithm based on sparse Pauli dynamics can efficiently simulate quantum circuits studied in a recent experiment on 127 qubits of IBM's Eagle processor [Nature 618, 500 (2023)]. Our classical simulations on a single core of a laptop are orders of magnitude faster than the reported walltime of the quantum simulations, as well as faster than the estimated quantum hardware runtime without classical processing, and are in good agreement with the zero-noise extrapolated experimental results.

arXiv:2306.16372•Jun 28, 2023•9 citations

Quantum-classical crossover in fault-tolerant quantum dynamics simulation

Jinzhao Sun, Bozhen Zhou, Jue Xu +28 more

While quantum computers promise to solve classically intractable problems, identifying the point at which fault-tolerant quantum computation outperforms the best classical algorithms for practical applications remains an outstanding challenge. Here we establish a concrete quantum-classical crossover for quantum many-body dynamics under realistic hardware conditions. We introduce a scalable fault-tolerant framework that combines coherent observable estimation with a space-time-efficient implementation of non-Clifford rotations, suppressing the residual logical errors that limit existing partially fault-tolerant approaches. A benchmark against state-of-the-art tensor-network and variational Monte Carlo algorithms reveals a concrete crossover for mixed-field Ising dynamics at modest system sizes. For a physical error rate of $p=10^{-3}$, fault-tolerant simulation requires approximately 2 hours and $3.7 \times 10^5$ physical qubits for a 100-site 1D system, whereas tensor network approaches would require about 100 years. For 2D models, where rapid entanglement growth limits the classical evolution time, we project quantum runtimes within minutes. A physical error rate of $p=10^{-4}$ leads to at least an order of magnitude reduction in qubit count ($3.1 \times 10^4$ physical qubits) and runtime (minutes for 1D and seconds for 2D). The reduction in quantum runtime arises from our improved rotation-state injection and co-design of quantum error correction and observable-estimation protocols, which jointly suppress logical-error accumulation and reduce sampling overhead. Our results establish a scalable route towards practical quantum advantage and identify quantitative engineering targets for future fault-tolerant architectures.

quant-pharXiv:2607.16116•Jul 20, 2026•0 citations

Efficient Tensor Network Simulation of IBM’s Eagle Kicked Ising Experiment

Joseph Tindall, Matthew Fishman, Edwin Miles Stoudenmire +1 more

We report an accurate and efficient classical simulation of a kicked Ising quantum system on the heavy hexagon lattice. A simulation of this system was recently performed on a 127-qubit quantum processor using noise-mitigation techniques to enhance accuracy [Y. Kim ., Nature, 618, 500–5 (2023)]. Here we show that, by adopting a tensor network approach that reflects the geometry of the lattice and is approximately contracted using belief propagation, we can perform a classical simulation that is significantly more accurate and precise than the results obtained from the quantum processor and many other classical methods. We quantify the treelike correlations of the wave function in order to explain the accuracy of our belief propagation-based approach. We also show how our method allows us to perform simulations of the system to long times in the thermodynamic limit, corresponding to a quantum computer with an infinite number of qubits. Our tensor network approach has broader applications for simulating the dynamics of quantum systems with treelike correlations. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

arXiv:2306.14887•PRX Quantum•Jan 23, 2024•152 citations

Simulation of IBM's kicked Ising experiment with Projected Entangled Pair Operator

Haijun Liao, Kang Wang, Zong-Sheng Zhou +2 more

We perform classical simulations of the 127-qubit kicked Ising model, which was recently emulated using a quantum circuit with error mitigation [Nature 618, 500 (2023)]. Our approach is based on the projected entangled pair operator (PEPO) in the Heisenberg picture. Its main feature is the ability to automatically identify the underlying low-rank and low-entanglement structures in the quantum circuit involving Clifford and near-Clifford gates. We assess our approach using the quantum circuit with 5+1 trotter steps which was previously considered beyond classical verification. We develop a Clifford expansion theory to compute exact expectation values and use them to evaluate algorithms. The results indicate that PEPO significantly outperforms existing methods, including the tensor network with belief propagation, the matrix product operator, and the Clifford perturbation theory, in both efficiency and accuracy. In particular, PEPO with bond dimension $χ=2$ already gives similar accuracy to the CPT with $K=10$ and MPO with bond dimension $χ=1024$. And PEPO with $χ=184$ provides exact results in $3$ seconds using a single CPU. Furthermore, we apply our method to the circuit with 20 Trotter steps. We observe the monotonic and consistent convergence of the results with $χ$, allowing us to estimate the outcome with $χ\to\infty$ through extrapolations. We then compare the extrapolated results to those achieved in quantum hardware and with existing tensor network methods. Additionally, we discuss the potential usefulness of our approach in simulating quantum circuits, especially in scenarios involving near-Clifford circuits and quantum approximate optimization algorithms. Our approach is the first use of PEPO in solving the time evolution problem, and our results suggest it could be a powerful tool for exploring the dynamical properties of quantum many-body systems.

arXiv:2308.03082•Aug 6, 2023•4 citations

Quantum Enhanced Pauli Propagation

S. Majumder, J. R. Garrison, L. Luo +8 more

Accurately estimating observables on noisy quantum devices remains a central challenge for near-term quantum algorithms. While quantum error mitigation techniques can reduce noise-induced bias, they often rely on unverifiable assumptions about the circuit noise, and cannot guarantee the magnitude of residual bias error. Here, rather than using classical resources to mitigate a noisy quantum circuit execution, we propose a hybrid algorithm that uses quantum resources to improve the accuracy of approximate classical Pauli-path simulation. Our protocol, Quantum Enhanced Pauli Propagation (QuEPP), uses Clifford perturbation theory (CPT) to construct a classically simulable ensemble of Clifford circuits from the low-order terms in CPT, which directly provide the approximate classical Pauli-path simulation of the target circuit. Noisy quantum expectation values of this ensemble are then used to infer a global rescaling factor that corrects quantum execution of the target circuit, providing higher-order contributions absent from the truncated low-order classical simulation. This approach requires no noise characterization, applies to arbitrary circuits, and provides a provable route to asymptotically unbiased estimates. Using IBM Heron hardware, we demonstrate QuEPP on 2D random mirror circuits of up to 49 qubits and circuit depth 80, as well as Trotterized Hamiltonian evolution, showing consistent improvements beyond classical CPT and unmitigated quantum results. QuEPP offers a simple, scalable, and model-free framework for enabling accurate quantum computation in the pre-fault-tolerant era.

quant-pharXiv:2603.14485•Mar 17, 2026•0 citations

Evidence for the utility of quantum computing before fault tolerance

Young‐Seok Kim, Andrew Eddins, Sajant Anand +8 more

Abstract Quantum computing promises to offer substantial speed-ups over its classical counterpart for certain problems. However, the greatest impediment to realizing its full potential is noise that is inherent to these systems. The widely accepted solution to this challenge is the implementation of fault-tolerant quantum circuits, which is out of reach for current processors. Here we report experiments on a noisy 127-qubit processor and demonstrate the measurement of accurate expectation values for circuit volumes at a scale beyond brute-force classical computation. We argue that this represents evidence for the utility of quantum computing in a pre-fault-tolerant era. These experimental results are enabled by advances in the coherence and calibration of a superconducting processor at this scale and the ability to characterize 1 and controllably manipulate noise across such a large device. We establish the accuracy of the measured expectation values by comparing them with the output of exactly verifiable circuits. In the regime of strong entanglement, the quantum computer provides correct results for which leading classical approximations such as pure-state-based 1D (matrix product states, MPS) and 2D (isometric tensor network states, isoTNS) tensor network methods 2,3 break down. These experiments demonstrate a foundational tool for the realization of near-term quantum applications 4,5 .

Nature•Jun 14, 2023•1,050 citations
A recent quantum simulation of observables of the kicked Ising model on 127 qubits implemented circuits that exceed the capabilities of exact classical simulation. We show that several approximate classical methods, based on sparse Pauli dynamics and tensor network algorithms, can simulate these observables orders of magnitude faster than the quantum experiment and can also be systematically converged beyond the experimental accuracy. Our most accurate technique combines a mixed Schrödinger and Heisenberg tensor network representation with the Bethe free entropy relation of belief propagation to compute expectation values with an effective wave function-operator sandwich bond dimension >16,000,000, achieving an absolute accuracy, without extrapolation, in the observables of <0.01, which is converged for many practical purposes. We thereby identify inaccuracies in the experimental extrapolations and suggest how future experiments can be implemented to increase the classical hardness.
We show that a classical algorithm based on sparse Pauli dynamics can efficiently simulate quantum circuits studied in a recent experiment on 127 qubits of IBM's Eagle processor [Nature 618, 500 (2023)]. Our classical simulations on a single core of a laptop are orders of magnitude faster than the reported walltime of the quantum simulations, as well as faster than the estimated quantum hardware runtime without classical processing, and are in good agreement with the zero-noise extrapolated experimental results.
While quantum computers promise to solve classically intractable problems, identifying the point at which fault-tolerant quantum computation outperforms the best classical algorithms for practical applications remains an outstanding challenge. Here we establish a concrete quantum-classical crossover for quantum many-body dynamics under realistic hardware conditions. We introduce a scalable fault-tolerant framework that combines coherent observable estimation with a space-time-efficient implementation of non-Clifford rotations, suppressing the residual logical errors that limit existing partially fault-tolerant approaches. A benchmark against state-of-the-art tensor-network and variational Monte Carlo algorithms reveals a concrete crossover for mixed-field Ising dynamics at modest system sizes. For a physical error rate of p=10−3p=10^{-3}p=10−3, fault-tolerant simulation requires approximately 2 hours and 3.7×1053.7 \times 10^53.7×105 physical qubits for a 100-site 1D system, whereas tensor network approaches would require about 100 years. For 2D models, where rapid entanglement growth limits the classical evolution time, we project quantum runtimes within minutes. A physical error rate of p=10−4p=10^{-4}p=10−4 leads to at least an order of magnitude reduction in qubit count (3.1×1043.1 \times 10^43.1×104 physical qubits) and runtime (minutes for 1D and seconds for 2D). The reduction in quantum runtime arises from our improved rotation-state injection and co-design of quantum error correction and observable-estimation protocols, which jointly suppress logical-error accumulation and reduce sampling overhead. Our results establish a scalable route towards practical quantum advantage and identify quantitative engineering targets for future fault-tolerant architectures.
We report an accurate and efficient classical simulation of a kicked Ising quantum system on the heavy hexagon lattice. A simulation of this system was recently performed on a 127-qubit quantum processor using noise-mitigation techniques to enhance accuracy [Y. Kim ., Nature, 618, 500–5 (2023)]. Here we show that, by adopting a tensor network approach that reflects the geometry of the lattice and is approximately contracted using belief propagation, we can perform a classical simulation that is significantly more accurate and precise than the results obtained from the quantum processor and many other classical methods. We quantify the treelike correlations of the wave function in order to explain the accuracy of our belief propagation-based approach. We also show how our method allows us to perform simulations of the system to long times in the thermodynamic limit, corresponding to a quantum computer with an infinite number of qubits. Our tensor network approach has broader applications for simulating the dynamics of quantum systems with treelike correlations. Published by the American Physical Society 2024
We perform classical simulations of the 127-qubit kicked Ising model, which was recently emulated using a quantum circuit with error mitigation [Nature 618, 500 (2023)]. Our approach is based on the projected entangled pair operator (PEPO) in the Heisenberg picture. Its main feature is the ability to automatically identify the underlying low-rank and low-entanglement structures in the quantum circuit involving Clifford and near-Clifford gates. We assess our approach using the quantum circuit with 5+1 trotter steps which was previously considered beyond classical verification. We develop a Clifford expansion theory to compute exact expectation values and use them to evaluate algorithms. The results indicate that PEPO significantly outperforms existing methods, including the tensor network with belief propagation, the matrix product operator, and the Clifford perturbation theory, in both efficiency and accuracy. In particular, PEPO with bond dimension χ=2χ=2χ=2 already gives similar accuracy to the CPT with K=10K=10K=10 and MPO with bond dimension χ=1024χ=1024χ=1024. And PEPO with χ=184χ=184χ=184 provides exact results in 333 seconds using a single CPU. Furthermore, we apply our method to the circuit with 20 Trotter steps. We observe the monotonic and consistent convergence of the results with χχχ, allowing us to estimate the outcome with χ→∞χ\to\inftyχ→∞ through extrapolations. We then compare the extrapolated results to those achieved in quantum hardware and with existing tensor network methods. Additionally, we discuss the potential usefulness of our approach in simulating quantum circuits, especially in scenarios involving near-Clifford circuits and quantum approximate optimization algorithms. Our approach is the first use of PEPO in solving the time evolution problem, and our results suggest it could be a powerful tool for exploring the dynamical properties of quantum many-body systems.
Accurately estimating observables on noisy quantum devices remains a central challenge for near-term quantum algorithms. While quantum error mitigation techniques can reduce noise-induced bias, they often rely on unverifiable assumptions about the circuit noise, and cannot guarantee the magnitude of residual bias error. Here, rather than using classical resources to mitigate a noisy quantum circuit execution, we propose a hybrid algorithm that uses quantum resources to improve the accuracy of approximate classical Pauli-path simulation. Our protocol, Quantum Enhanced Pauli Propagation (QuEPP), uses Clifford perturbation theory (CPT) to construct a classically simulable ensemble of Clifford circuits from the low-order terms in CPT, which directly provide the approximate classical Pauli-path simulation of the target circuit. Noisy quantum expectation values of this ensemble are then used to infer a global rescaling factor that corrects quantum execution of the target circuit, providing higher-order contributions absent from the truncated low-order classical simulation. This approach requires no noise characterization, applies to arbitrary circuits, and provides a provable route to asymptotically unbiased estimates. Using IBM Heron hardware, we demonstrate QuEPP on 2D random mirror circuits of up to 49 qubits and circuit depth 80, as well as Trotterized Hamiltonian evolution, showing consistent improvements beyond classical CPT and unmitigated quantum results. QuEPP offers a simple, scalable, and model-free framework for enabling accurate quantum computation in the pre-fault-tolerant era.
Abstract Quantum computing promises to offer substantial speed-ups over its classical counterpart for certain problems. However, the greatest impediment to realizing its full potential is noise that is inherent to these systems. The widely accepted solution to this challenge is the implementation of fault-tolerant quantum circuits, which is out of reach for current processors. Here we report experiments on a noisy 127-qubit processor and demonstrate the measurement of accurate expectation values for circuit volumes at a scale beyond brute-force classical computation. We argue that this represents evidence for the utility of quantum computing in a pre-fault-tolerant era. These experimental results are enabled by advances in the coherence and calibration of a superconducting processor at this scale and the ability to characterize 1 and controllably manipulate noise across such a large device. We establish the accuracy of the measured expectation values by comparing them with the output of exactly verifiable circuits. In the regime of strong entanglement, the quantum computer provides correct results for which leading classical approximations such as pure-state-based 1D (matrix product states, MPS) and 2D (isometric tensor network states, isoTNS) tensor network methods 2,3 break down. These experiments demonstrate a foundational tool for the realization of near-term quantum applications 4,5 .