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arXiv:1212.0953 · Physical review. D. Particles, fields, gravitation, and cosmology/Physical review. D. Particles and fields

Origin of probabilities and their application to the multiverse

Andreas Albrecht, Daniel Phillips

Published Dec 11, 2014• 38 citations
arXivHTMLPDF

Abstract

We argue using simple models that all successful practical uses of probabilities originate in quantum fluctuations in the microscopic physical world around us, often propagated to macroscopic scales. Thus we claim there is no physically verified fully classical theory of probability. We comment on the general implications of this view, and specifically question the application of purely classical probabilities to cosmology in cases where key questions are known to have no quantum answer. We argue that the ideas developed here may offer a way out of the notorious measure problems of eternal inflation.

DOI
10.1103/physrevd.90.123514

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We argue using simple models that all successful practical uses of probabilities originate in quantum fluctuations in the microscopic physical world around us, often propagated to macroscopic scales. Thus we claim there is no physically verified fully classical theory of probability. We comment on the general implications of this view, and specifically question the application of purely classical probabilities to cosmology in cases where key questions are known to have no quantum answer. We argue that the ideas developed here may offer a way out of the notorious measure problems of eternal inflation.
A quantum theory of the universe consists of a theory of its quantum dynamics and a theory of its quantum state The theory predicts quantum multiverses in the form of decoherent sets of alternative histories describing the evolution of the universe's spacetime geometry and matter content. These consequences follow: (a) The universe generally exhibits different quantum multiverses at different levels and kinds of coarse graining. (b) Quantum multiverses are not a choice or an assumption but are consequences of the theory or not. (c) Quantum multiverses are generic for simple theories (d) Anthropic selection is automatic because observers are physical systems within the universe not somehow outside it. (e) Quantum multiverses can provide different mechanisms for the variation constants in effective theories (like the cosmological constant) enabling anthropic selection. (f) Different levels of coarse grained multiverses provide different routes to calculation as a consequence of decoherence. We support these conclusions by analyzing the quantum multiverses of a variety of quantum cosmological models aimed at the prediction of observable properties of our universe. In particular we show how the example of a multiverse consisting of a vast classical spacetime containing many pocket universes arises automatically as part of a quantum multiverse describing an eternally inflating false vacuum that decays by the quantum nucleation of true vacuum bubbles. In a FAQ we argue that the quantum multiverses of the universe are scientific, real, testable, falsifiable, and similar to those in other areas of science even if they are not directly observable on arbitrarily large scales.
There is a persistent state of confusion regarding the account of the quantum origin of the seeds of cosmological structure during inflation. The issue is the transition from the quantum uncertainties in the homogeneous and isotropic initial state, into the late-time "classical" anisotropies and inhomogeneities. There seems to be a widespread belief that decoherence addresses the issue in a satisfactory way. This view is taken, often implicitly, by most researchers working in the field. This can be seen most clearly in those accounts intended on facing the issue directly. For instance, a recent article [C. Kiefer and D. Polarski, arXiv: 0810.0087] argues just that, and presents a detailed explanation of the justifications. The explicit nature of that account will allow us to discuss the issue in detail. There are, of course, various other works that often indirectly address the issue with similar approaches (see Refs. 2–13). This type of arguments do not only implicitly assume that decoherence offers a satisfactory solution to the measurement problem in quantum mechanics, but also that, in particular, such approach is applicable to these quantum aspects of cosmology. We will review here, why do we, together with various other researchers in the field, consider that this assumption is not correct in general. Moreover as previously discussed in Refs. 22–26, we will argue that the cosmological situation is one where the measurement problem of quantum mechanics appears in a particular exacerbated form, and that, it is this, even sharper conundrum, that should be addressed when dealing with the inflationary account of the origin of the seeds of cosmic structure in the early Universe. We briefly discuss the ideas behind what we feel might be a promising approach to deal with this problem.
One of the main unsolved question in Quantum Mechanics (QM) is its compatibility with classical mechanics. The laws of QM, which describe the microscopic world, must merge into the classical ones for large enough physical systems, but it is still unknown at which point, if any, the transition occurs and if the transition is smooth or sudden as the size increases. Furthermore, a strict extension of QM to the macroscopic world leads to well known 'paradoxes', which is not straightforward to solve. This question is tightly connected with the measurement problem, since any measurement apparatus must give a response which can be described at classical level. Many experiments have been performed to answer to this question. They mainly try to find to which extent the number of particles can be increased in order to observe clear evidence of violation of standard QM. In this paper we argue that the macroscopicity parameter is not the number of particles but the number of independent degrees of freedom, as proposed in a recent model for the completion of QM. This introduces a sort of change of paradigm. To support this claim a representative set of well known experiments are analyzed from this point of view. This brings to a new interpretation of the experiments. A general scheme for the quantum-classical transition is discussed in some details.
Various physical examples are displayed in which the probability distribution can be traced back to its causal origin. It is argued that probability is never irreducible, but is, in principle, always derivable from a deterministic process which determines its numerical value. It is suggested that deterministic and probabilistic theories are interlocked, each presenting a different aspect of reality, yet that no description of the laws of nature in terms of either of these concepts will ever be ultimate.