Posted
Aditi Awasthi, Sayam Sethi, Sahil Khan, Gokul Subramanian Ravi, Jonathan Mark Baker (May 11 2026).
Abstract: A promising approach to achieving scalable fault-tolerant quantum computation is the use of quantum error correction (QEC) codes augmented with magic states i.e. resource states produced via distillation, cultivation, or synthesis and teleported into the circuit as needed. Because magic-state production dominates the space-time volume of fault-tolerant programs, system architects must decide how many production units to allocate. Current approaches rely on deterministic analysis that either provisions for worst-case peak demand (wasting valuable qubit resources on factories that are never simultaneously utilized) or assumes average demand, which increases execution time. In this work, we build a simulation framework that couples circuit scheduling with different stochastic magic state production models, and use it to quantify the impact of non-determinism on circuit execution. We show that non-determinism has a dual effect that deterministic models cannot capture: it inflates total execution time (the price), while deflating peak per-cycle resource demand (the payoff). For distillation-based architectures, this demand smoothing shifts the space-time-optimal provisioning point: fewer factories are needed to minimize space-time volume than deterministic analysis predicts. Across benchmarks, stochastic-aware provisioning reduces space-time volume by up to 27% compared to the deterministic optimum for distillation, while requiring up to 30% fewer factories. We characterize these effects across each preparation mechanism, map the resulting design-space tradeoffs, and demonstrate that static resource estimation systematically mis-characterizes the cost of fault-tolerant execution. Our results establish that stochastic-aware analysis is necessary for right-sizing the factory allocations and should replace deterministic heuristics as the standard methodology for FTQC resource planning.
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