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arXiv:quant-ph/0601138

Quantum and classical probability as Bayes-optimal observation

Sven Aerts

Published Jan 20, 2006• 4 citations

Abstract

We propose a simple abstract formalisation of the act of observation, in which the system and the observer are assumed to be in a pure state and their interaction deterministically changes the states such that the outcome can be read from the state of the observer after the interaction. If the observer consistently realizes the outcome which maximizes the likelihood ratio that the outcome pertains to the system under study (and not to his own state), he will be called Bayes-optimal. We calculate the probability if for each trial of the experiment the observer is in a new state picked randomly from his set of states, and the system under investigation is taken from an ensemble of identical pure states. For classical statistical mixtures, the relative frequency resulting from the maximum likelihood principle is an unbiased estimator of the components of the mixture. For repeated Bayes-optimal observation in case the state space is complex Hilbert space, the relative frequency converges to the Born rule. Hence, the principle of Bayes-optimal observation can be regarded as an underlying mechanism for the Born rule. We show the outcome assignment of the Bayes-optimal observer is invariant under unitary transformations and contextual, but the probability that results from repeated application is non-contextual. The proposal gives a concise interpretation for the meaning of the occurrence of a single outcome in a quantum experiment as the unique outcome that, relative to the state of the system, is least dependent on the state of the observe at the instant of measurement.

DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.quant-ph/0601138

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The predictions of quantum mechanics are probabilistic. Quantum probabilities are extracted using a postulate of the theory called the Born rule, the status of which is central to the problem of quantum mechanics. Efforts to justify the Born rule from other physical principles, and thus elucidate the measurement process, have involved lengthy statistical or information-theoretic arguments. Here we show that Bohm's deterministic formulation of quantum mechanics allows the Born rule for measurements on a single system to be derived, without any statistical assumptions. We solve a simple example where the creation of an ensemble of identical quantum states, together with position measurements on those states, are described by Bohm's quantum dynamics. The calculated measurement outcomes agree with the Born-rule probabilities, which are thus a consequence of deterministic evolution. Our results demonstrate that quantum probabilities can emerge from simple dynamical laws alone, and they support the view that there is no underlying indeterminism in quantum phenomena.

The predictions of quantum mechanics are probabilistic. Quantum probabilities are extracted using a postulate of the theory called the Born rule, the status of which is central to the "measurement problem" of quantum mechanics. Efforts to justify the Born rule from other physical principles, and thus elucidate the measurement process, have involved lengthy statistical or information-theoretic arguments. Here we show that Bohm's deterministic formulation of quantum mechanics allows the Born rule for measurements on a single system to be derived, without any statistical assumptions. We solve a simple example where the creation of an ensemble of identical quantum states, together with position measurements on those states, are described by Bohm's quantum dynamics. The calculated measurement outcomes agree with the Born-rule probabilities, which are thus a consequence of deterministic evolution. Our results demonstrate that quantum probabilities can emerge from simple dynamical laws alone, and they support the view that there is no underlying indeterminism in quantum phenomena.

Understanding the core content of quantum mechanics requires us to disentangle the hidden logical relationships between the postulates of this theory. Here we show that the mathematical structure of quantum measurements, the formula for assigning outcome probabilities (Born's rule) and the post-measurement state-update rule, can be deduced from the other quantum postulates, often referred to as unitary quantum and the assumption that ensembles on finite-dimensional Hilbert spaces are characterised by finitely many parameters. This is achieved by taking an operational approach to physical theories, and using the fact that the manner in which a physical system is partitioned into subsystems is a subjective choice of the observer, and hence should not affect the predictions of the theory. In contrast to other approaches, our result does not assume that measurements are related to operators or bases, it does not rely on the universality of quantum mechanics, and it is independent of the interpretation of probability.

The Born rule assigns a probability to any possible outcome of a quantum measurement, but leaves open the question how these probabilities are to be interpreted and, in particular, how they relate to the outcome observed in an actual experiment. We propose to avoid this question by replacing the Born rule with two non-probabilistic postulates: (i) the projector associated to the observed outcome must have a positive overlap with the state of the measured system; (ii) statements about observed outcomes are robust, that is, remain valid under small perturbations of the state. We show that the two postulates suffice to retrieve the interpretations of the Born rule that are commonly used for analysing experimental data.

Understanding the core content of quantum mechanics requires us to disentangle the hidden logical relationships between the postulates of this theory. Here we show that the mathematical structure of quantum measurements, the formula for assigning outcome probabilities (Born's rule) and the post-measurement state-update rule, can be deduced from the other quantum postulates, often referred to as "unitary quantum mechanics", and the assumption that ensembles on finite-dimensional Hilbert spaces are characterized by finitely many parameters. This is achieved by taking an operational approach to physical theories, and using the fact that the manner in which a physical system is partitioned into subsystems is a subjective choice of the observer, and hence should not affect the predictions of the theory. In contrast to other approaches, our result does not assume that measurements are related to operators or bases, it does not rely on the universality of quantum mechanics, and it is independent of the interpretation of probability.

Abstract I provide a simple derivation of the Born rule as giving a classical probability, that is, the ratio of the measure of favorable states of the system to the measure of its total possible states. In classical systems, the probability is due to the fact that the same macrostate can be realized in different ways as a microstate. Despite the radical differences between quantum and classical systems, I show that the same can be applied to quantum systems, and the result is the Born rule. This works only if the basis is continuous (an eigenbasis of observables with continuous spectra), but all known physically realistic measurements involve a continuous basis (the position basis). The continuous basis is not unique, and for subsystems it depends on the observable. But for the entire universe, there are continuous bases that give the Born rule for all measurements, because all measurements reduce to distinguishing macroscopic pointer states, and macroscopic observations commute. This allows for the possibility of a unique ontic basis for the entire universe. In the wavefunctional formulation, the basis can be chosen to consist of classical field configurations, and the coefficients

\Psi [\phi ]

Ψ [ ϕ ] can be made real by absorbing them into a global U(1) gauge. For the many-worlds interpretation, this result gives the Born rule from micro-branch counting.