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Journal of Systems and Software

A large-scale dynamic characterization of flaky tests in quantum software: The Qiskit Terra case study

Dongchan Kim, Hamidreza Khoramrokh, Lei Zhang, Andriy V. Miranskyy

Published Sep 21, 2026• 0 citations
Publisher

Abstract

Flaky tests, tests that pass or fail nondeterministically without changes to code or environment, pose a threat to software reliability. While classical software engineering has developed a body of techniques to study flakiness, evidence for quantum software remains limited. Prior work relies on static analysis or small sets of manually reported incidents, leaving open questions about their prevalence, characteristics, and detectability. This paper presents a large-scale dynamic characterization of flaky tests in quantum software through a longitudinal case study of the Qiskit terra core library. We executed the Qiskit terra test suite 10,000 times across 23 releases in controlled environments. For each release, we measured test-outcome variability, identified flaky tests, estimated empirical failure probabilities, analyzed recurrence across versions, used Wilson confidence intervals to quantify baseline rerun budgets, and mapped flaky tests to terra subcomponents. Across 27,026 qualified test identifiers, we identified 62 unique flaky tests. Although flakiness rates were low (0%–0.17%), recurrence was substantial: 52 of 62 flaky tests (83.87%) reappeared in multiple releases, while only 10 tests (16.13%) were confined to a single release. Failure probabilities spanned several orders of magnitude, with a median of 9 × 1 ⁢ 0 − 4 and 34 tests (54.84%) at or below 1 ⁢ 0 − 3 , implying that thousands to tens of thousands of executions may be required for confident detection. These results show that flakiness observed in the studied terra releases is rare under our controlled protocol but difficult to detect under typical continuous integration budgets. To support future research and replication, we release a dataset of per-test execution outcomes.

DOI
10.1016/j.jss.2026.113106

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Flaky tests, tests that pass or fail nondeterministically without changes to code or environment, pose a threat to software reliability. While classical software engineering has developed a body of techniques to study flakiness, evidence for quantum software remains limited. Prior work relies on static analysis or small sets of manually reported incidents, leaving open questions about their prevalence, characteristics, and detectability. This paper presents a large-scale dynamic characterization of flaky tests in quantum software through a longitudinal case study of the Qiskit terra core library. We executed the Qiskit terra test suite 10,000 times across 23 releases in controlled environments. For each release, we measured test-outcome variability, identified flaky tests, estimated empirical failure probabilities, analyzed recurrence across versions, used Wilson confidence intervals to quantify baseline rerun budgets, and mapped flaky tests to terra subcomponents. Across 27,026 qualified test identifiers, we identified 62 unique flaky tests. Although flakiness rates were low (0%–0.17%), recurrence was substantial: 52 of 62 flaky tests (83.87%) reappeared in multiple releases, while only 10 tests (16.13%) were confined to a single release. Failure probabilities spanned several orders of magnitude, with a median of 9 × 1 ⁢ 0 − 4 and 34 tests (54.84%) at or below 1 ⁢ 0 − 3 , implying that thousands to tens of thousands of executions may be required for confident detection. These results show that flakiness observed in the studied terra releases is rare under our controlled protocol but difficult to detect under typical continuous integration budgets. To support future research and replication, we release a dataset of per-test execution outcomes.
Like classical software, quantum software systems rely on automated testing. However, their inherently probabilistic outputs make them susceptible to quantum flakiness -- tests that pass or fail inconsistently without code changes. Such quantum flaky tests can mask real defects and reduce developer productivity, yet systematic tooling for their detection and diagnosis remains limited. This paper presents an automated pipeline to detect flaky-test-related issues and pull requests in quantum software repositories and to support the identification of their root causes. We aim to expand an existing quantum flaky test dataset and evaluate the capability of Large Language Models (LLMs) for flakiness classification and root-cause identification. Building on a prior manual analysis of 14 quantum software repositories, we automate the discovery of additional flaky test cases using LLMs and cosine similarity. We further evaluate a variety of LLMs from OpenAI GPT, Meta LLaMA, Google Gemini, and Anthropic Claude suites for classifying flakiness and identifying root causes from issue descriptions and code context. Classification performance is assessed using standard performance metrics, including F1-score. Using our pipeline, we identify 25 previously unknown flaky tests, increasing the original dataset size by 54%. The best-performing model, Google Gemini, achieves an F1-score of 0.9420 for flakiness detection and 0.9643 for root-cause identification, demonstrating that LLMs can provide practical support for triaging flaky reports and understanding their underlying causes in quantum software. The expanded dataset and automated pipeline provide reusable artifacts for the quantum software engineering community. Future work will focus on improving detection robustness and exploring automated repair of quantum flaky tests.
In recent years, software engineers have explored ways to assist quantum software programmers. Our goal in this paper is to continue this exploration and see if quantum software programmers deal with some problems plaguing classical programs. Specifically, we examine whether intermittently failing tests, i.e., flaky tests, affect quantum software development. To explore flakiness, we conduct a preliminary analysis of 14 quantum software repositories. Then, we identify flaky tests and categorize their causes and methods of fixing them. We find flaky tests in 12 out of 14 quantum software repositories. In these 12 repositories, the lower boundary of the percentage of issues related to flaky tests ranges between 0.26% and 1.85% per repository. We identify 46 distinct flaky test reports with 8 groups of causes and 7 common solutions. Further, we notice that quantum programmers are not using some of the recent flaky test countermeasures developed by software engineers. This work may interest practitioners, as it provides useful insight into the resolution of flaky tests in quantum programs. Researchers may also find the paper helpful as it offers quantitative data on flaky tests in quantum software and points to new research opportunities.
Testing and debugging quantum software pose significant challenges due to the inherent complexities of quantum mechanics, such as superposition and entanglement. One challenge is indeterminacy, a fundamental characteristic of quantum systems, which increases the likelihood of flaky tests in quantum programs. To the best of our knowledge, there is a lack of comprehensive studies on quantum flakiness in the existing literature. In this paper, we present a novel machine learning platform that leverages multiple machine learning models to automatically detect flaky tests in quantum programs. Our evaluation shows that the extreme gradient boosting and decision tree-based models outperform other models (i.e., random forest, k-nearest neighbors, and support vector machine), achieving the highest F1 score and Matthews Correlation Coefficient in a balanced dataset and an imbalanced dataset, respectively. Furthermore, we expand the currently limited dataset for researchers interested in quantum flaky tests. In the future, we plan to explore the development of unsupervised learning techniques to detect and classify quantum flaky tests more effectively. These advancements aim to improve the reliability and robustness of quantum software testing.
Like classical software, quantum software systems rely on automated testing. However, their inherently probabilistic outputs make them susceptible to quantum flakiness -- tests that pass or fail inconsistently without code changes. Such quantum flaky tests can mask real defects and reduce developer productivity, yet systematic tooling for their detection and diagnosis remains limited. This paper presents an automated pipeline to detect flaky-test-related issues and pull requests in quantum software repositories and to support the identification of their root causes. We aim to expand an existing quantum flaky test dataset and evaluate the capability of Large Language Models (LLMs) for flakiness classification and root-cause identification. Building on a prior manual analysis of 14 quantum software repositories, we automate the discovery of additional flaky test cases using LLMs and cosine similarity. We further evaluate a variety of LLMs from OpenAI GPT, Meta LLaMA, Google Gemini, and Anthropic Claude suites for classifying flakiness and identifying root causes from issue descriptions and code context. Classification performance is assessed using standard performance metrics, including F1-score. Using our pipeline, we identify 25 previously unknown flaky tests, increasing the original dataset size by 54%. The best-performing model, Google Gemini, achieves an F1-score of 0.9420 for flakiness detection and 0.9643 for root-cause identification, demonstrating that LLMs can provide practical support for triaging flaky reports and understanding their underlying causes in quantum software. The expanded dataset and automated pipeline provide reusable artifacts for the quantum software engineering community. Future work will focus on improving detection robustness and exploring automated repair of quantum flaky tests.
In recent years, software engineers have explored ways to assist quantum software programmers. Our goal in this paper is to continue this exploration and see if quantum software programmers deal with some problems plaguing classical programs. Specifically, we examine whether intermittently failing tests, i.e., flaky tests, affect quantum software development. To explore flakiness, we conduct a preliminary analysis of 14 quantum software repositories. Then, we identify flaky tests and categorize their causes and methods of fixing them. We find flaky tests in 12 out of 14 quantum software repositories. In these 12 repositories, the lower boundary of the percentage of issues related to flaky tests ranges between 0.26% and 1.85% per repository. We identify 46 distinct flaky test reports with 8 groups of causes and 7 common solutions. Further, we notice that quantum programmers are not using some of the recent flaky test countermeasures developed by software engineers. This work may interest practitioners, as it provides useful insight into the resolution of flaky tests in quantum programs. Researchers may also find the paper helpful as it offers quantitative data on flaky tests in quantum software and points to new research opportunities.
Quantum simulators are a foundational component of the quantum software ecosystem. They are widely used to develop and debug quantum programs, validate compiler transformations, and support empirical claims about correctness and performance. In the absence of large-scale quantum hardware, simulator outputs are often treated as ground truth for algorithm development and system evaluation. However, quantum simulators also introduce unique implementation challenges. They must faithfully emulate quantum behavior while executing on classical hardware, requiring complex representations of quantum state evolution, operator composition, and noise modeling. Yet, we still lack a large-scale and in-depth study of failures in quantum simulators. To bridge this gap, this work presents a comprehensive empirical study of bugs in widely used open-source quantum simulators. We analyze 394 confirmed bugs from 12 simulators and manually categorize them based on root causes, failure manifestations, affected components, and discovery mechanisms. Our study reveals several key findings. First, bug discovery is largely user-driven, with most crashes, exceptions, and resource-related failures not detected by automated testing and identified after deployment. Second, logical correctness failures are widespread and often silent, producing plausible but incorrect outputs without triggering crashes or explicit error signals. Third, many critical failures originate in classical simulator infrastructure, such as memory management, indexing, configuration, and dependency compatibility, rather than in core quantum execution logic. These findings provide new insights into the reliability challenges of quantum simulators and highlight opportunities to improve testing and validation practices in the quantum software ecosystem.