Bell's theorem rests on three assumptions: locality, determinism, and measurement independence. Experiments violate Bell inequalities, so at least one assumption must be abandoned. The first two exits are well explored; the third — allowing lawful, partial correlation between measurement settings and hidden variables — is usually dismissed as "superdeterminism" and assumed to require total conspiracy. This paper computes what that third exit actually costs. Hall (2010) priced the bipartite case exactly: 13.81% of measurement independence must be surrendered to reproduce singlet-state correlations. This work extends that program to multipartite GHZ/Mermin scenarios and computes, via exact linear programming, the minimum measurement dependence required to reproduce the full faithful statistics — every correlator and every marginal — for 3 through 13 parties. The floors climb a lawful staircase: 1/3, 2/5, 4/9, 8/17, 16/33, 32/65, all obeying the closed form F = R/(2(R+1)) with R the Mermin violation ratio. A proven universal ceiling shows the required dependence never exceeds 1/2 at any experiment size: quantum statistics never force total superdeterminism. The optimal hidden-variable distributions take a closed physical form — uniform measures on the ground states of the prepared state's frustrated stabilizer Hamiltonian — confirmed out-of-sample on cluster states. The result answers a question Hall posed and left open in 2011, and supplies an answer key against which every published lawful-measurement-dependence program (invariant-set theory, cellular-automaton interpretations, future-input dynamics, all-at-once retrocausality, and the displacement-condensate framework of the present authors) is graded in its own formalism. Operationally, the floors are counterfeiting thresholds for multipartite device-independent certificates. Every exact value is machine-verified on independent hardware and reproducible in under one minute from the linked repository: github.com/RandomInternetPreson/moire-phase-space-sampler (DST_Bell_MI directory). Also available at ai.viXra.org/abs/2607.0049.Version 2 (Oct 2026): closed form proved for all n; cluster-core census with exact certificates; scripts and run logs added.
Bell's theorem rests on three assumptions: locality, determinism, and measurement independence. Experiments violate Bell inequalities, so at least one assumption must be abandoned. The first two exits are well explored; the third — allowing lawful, partial correlation between measurement settings and hidden variables — is usually dismissed as "superdeterminism" and assumed to require total conspiracy. This paper computes what that third exit actually costs. Hall (2010) priced the bipartite case exactly: 13.81% of measurement independence must be surrendered to reproduce singlet-state correlations. This work extends that program to multipartite GHZ/Mermin scenarios and computes, via exact linear programming, the minimum measurement dependence required to reproduce the full faithful statistics — every correlator and every marginal — for 3 through 13 parties. The floors climb a lawful staircase: 1/3, 2/5, 4/9, 8/17, 16/33, 32/65, all obeying the closed form F = R/(2(R+1)) with R the Mermin violation ratio. A proven universal ceiling shows the required dependence never exceeds 1/2 at any experiment size: quantum statistics never force total superdeterminism. The optimal hidden-variable distributions take a closed physical form — uniform measures on the ground states of the prepared state's frustrated stabilizer Hamiltonian — confirmed out-of-sample on cluster states. The result answers a question Hall posed and left open in 2011, and supplies an answer key against which every published lawful-measurement-dependence program (invariant-set theory, cellular-automaton interpretations, future-input dynamics, all-at-once retrocausality, and the displacement-condensate framework of the present authors) is graded in its own formalism. Operationally, the floors are counterfeiting thresholds for multipartite device-independent certificates. Every exact value is machine-verified on independent hardware and reproducible in under one minute from the linked repository: github.com/RandomInternetPreson/moire-phase-space-sampler (DST_Bell_MI directory). Also available at ai.viXra.org/abs/2607.0049.Version 2 (Oct 2026): closed form proved for all n; cluster-core census with exact certificates; scripts and run logs added.
A local deterministic model can reproduce Bell-inequality violations only if the hidden state depends on the measurement settings. Hall found the minimum such dependence for the singlet state [Phys. Rev. Lett. 105, 250404 (2010)] and posed the corresponding problem for the Mermin state [Phys. Rev. A 84, 022102 (2011)]. This paper solves it, for the n-party GHZ-Mermin scenario at every n≥3, with the marginals reproduced as well as the correlators. The minimum measurement-dependence fraction is Fmin(n)=R/[2(R+1)], with R=2⌊(n−1)/2⌋ the Mermin violation ratio: 1/3,2/5,4/9,8/17,…, always below 1/2. The lower bound follows from Mermin's inequality by a general overlap bound; the upper bound is an explicit model, uniform on the hidden-variable classes that violate the fewest constraints, with closed-form counts; a reduction theorem shows that for Mermin scenarios the marginals impose no additional dependence. The Mermin values are also certified by integer-arithmetic enumeration through n=22. The formula was stated as a conjecture in the first version of this paper and was first proved, by a different route, by Wang, Yao and Chen; the proof here was obtained independently and the two agree. Every minimal contradiction of size k among stabilizer constraints has correlator-only minimum 1/(k−1). With the marginals included the minimum is the same on every core of the C5 ring cluster, on the size-4 and size-5 cores of C4 and on every four-core of C6, but larger on the size-6 and size-7 cores of C4 and on 112 of the 1,920 five-cores of C6, with exact certificates on both sides in every case.
For local hidden-variable accounts of the CHSH experiment that are faithful -- reproducing the observed singles and coincidence rates and unbiased marginals of a polarization singlet with symmetric detector efficiency ηeff -- I determine the minimal measurement dependence M (Hall's measure) needed to reach a CHSH value S. Linear programming over all local strategies yields M(S,ηeff)=max{0,ηeff((S+2)ηeff−4)/6}, whose edges reproduce Hall's bound, the Garg-Mermin threshold, and the postselection ceiling. The quantum point is certified exactly: M(22,9/10)=(272−33)/100, by primal and dual certificates in Q(2). I solve the detection profile under which a deterministic sign model reproduces the singlet exactly, and prove exact quantum correlations and angle-independent coincidence rates jointly impossible in this class. Mixtures of this profile with measurement dependence trade M against a cos4(a−b) modulation of the fourfold coincidence sum, up to 12.4% in relative amplitude, identical at the two CHSH angles; existing data exclude its full amplitude and bound its mixtures with flat detection to a detection share of order 15%; its sub-percent content is unbounded. A two-setting cross-ratio and a settings-torus log-Fourier protocol, calibrated against channel-efficiency imbalance, reach 5σ at 0.1% within hours; a flat result excludes the solved family to a detection share of order 1%. A local mechanism, moiré phase locking, with deterministic phase evolution and quenched randomness, attains the certified floor exactly at ηeff=1 and, with the solved profile, reaches M=0 at ηeff≈0.80. Its floor-attaining census shares a low-order Fourier skeleton across independent solutions and is not realizable by station-local offsets on the terrains tested.
Bell’s theorem teaches us that there are quantum correlations that can not be simulated by just shared randomness (Local Hidden variable). There are some recent results which simulate singlet correlation by using either 1 cbit or a binary (no-signaling) correlation which violate Bell’s inequality maximally. But there is one more possible way to simulate quantum correlation by relaxing the condition of independency of measurement on shared randomness. Recently, MJW Hall showed that the statistics of singlet state can be generated by sacrificing measurement independence where underlying distribution of hidden variables depend on measurement direction of both parties [Phys. Rev. Lett.105 250404 (2010)]. He also proved that for any model of singlet correlation, 86 % measurement independence is optimal. In this paper, we show that 59 % measurement independence is optimal for simulating singlet correlation when the underlying distribution of hidden variables depend only on measurements of one party. We also show that a distribution corresponding to this optimal lack of free will, already exists in literature which first appeared in the context of detection efficiency loophole. I.
Local hidden-variable models can reproduce Bell violations if settings depend on hidden variables. Using total-variation distance, we determine the minimum dependence needed to reproduce all outcome probabilities for Pauli X and Y measurements on n-qubit Greenberger-Horne-Zeilinger states, for every n ≥ 3, visibility and coherence phase. For odd n, the larger magnitude of the real and imaginary coherence components sets the cost; for even n, the smaller can raise it. States with identical, Bell-violating Mermin data can thus have different costs.
A supplementary calculational note to the interpretational program "Spacetime as Register, Not Stage". The note reconstructs the full structure of spin-1/2 singlet correlations — the joint distribution P = 1/4(1−αβ·a·b), the correlation E(a,b) = −a·b, and CHSH S = 2√2 — from the program's picture of the "entangled" pair as one indivisible complement unit read out locally at two sites by independently oriented detector settings. The note proves sufficiency, not derivation, and keeps an explicit ledger of its epistemic status: two rules are added and underived (a half-angle spinor readout structure, and the square law for amplitudes), two are derived conditionally (antisymmetry, relative to an explicit phase bridge; normalization, fixed by completeness with no free parameter), and every remaining gap is recorded in a debt register. The model exits the factorizable (Bell) class exactly where quantum mechanics does: conditioned on the full preparation state, local marginals remain 1/2 (parameter independence holds per preparation state), while outcome independence fails — with no superluminal transport claim derived from statistics, no superdeterminism (the preparation state carries no free parameter that could co-vary with later settings), and operational no-signaling verified numerically. A deterministic hidden-orientation contrast model is included, reproducing the linear correlation −1+2θ/π and S ≤ 2, to show that the cosine requires a genuine exit from the factorizable class rather than a change of vocabulary. The English text is a full translation of the author's Polish source version (both files included; frozen 28.07.2026, changes tracked in the program's correction register, Series 33).
The original Bell inequality was obtained in a statistical derivation assuming three mutually cross-correlated random variables (four in the later version). Given that observations destroy the particles, the physical realization of three variables from an experiment producing two particles per trial requires two separate trial runs. One assumed variable value (for particle 1) occurs at a fixed instrument setting in both trial runs while a second variable (for particle 2) occurs at alternative instrument settings in the two trial runs. Given that measurements on the two particles occurring in each trial are themselves correlated, measurements from independent realizations at mutually exclusive settings on particle 2 are conditionally independent, i.e., conditionally dependent on particle 1, through probability. This situation is realized from variables defined by Bell using entangled particle pairs. Two correlations have the form that Bell computed from entanglement, but a third correlation from conditionally independent measurements has a different form. When the correlations are computed using quantum probabilities, the Bell inequality is satisfied without recourse to assumptions of non-locality, or non-reality.