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The Journal of Physical Chemistry B

Exploring the Boundaries of Modern Quantum Annealers with RNA Structure Prediction

Brian Andrews, Jacob Abraham, Dillion M. Fox, Asja Radja

Published Feb 23, 2026• 1 citation
Publisher

Abstract

Quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) has gained popularity over the past ten years both for the wide range of problems that can be expressed in this form and for its compatibility with many quantum computing architectures. More recently, quantum annealers have advanced to the point where the scaling of qubits makes real-world applications increasingly feasible; however, current architectures remain restricted to solving quadratic unconstrained binary optimization problems, which can represent at most two-body interactions. Here we systematically examine the shortcomings of the QUBO framework and modern quantum annealers through the lens of the high-dimensional, exponentially scaling problem of RNA structure prediction, and find results that are generalizable to QUBO formalisms writ large. We find that using the QUBO framework to predict RNA structures results in poor accuracy, which becomes worse as system size scales. We determine that the fundamental constraint of two-body interactions prevents emergent correlations in the system, which are crucial to accurate structure prediction. Furthermore, we highlight that explicit, higher-order, empirical terms that are needed to improve structure prediction are incompatible with a QUBO framework. Finally, we show that our energy landscape has many deep local minima, which lead to local minima trapping and prevent permutation invariance. The relevance of these findings to other applications of QUBO, and therefore to modern quantum annealers more broadly, are discussed, with our work providing the first explicit explanation of why these formalisms have failed and will continue to fail in high-dimensional systems with similar constraints.

DOI
10.1021/acs.jpcb.5c07902

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Quantum Optimization (QO) is emerging as a promising approach to tackle hard combinatorial optimization problems by leveraging the unique computational properties of quantum hardware. In recent years, QO has gained traction in Machine Learning (ML), where problems such as clustering and vector quantization can be naturally expressed as Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) problems. These ML applications often involve complex, high-dimensional data, which directly influences both the structure and scale of the resulting QUBO formulations. However, current quantum devices fall under the category of Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) hardware, which imposes significant limitations on qubit counts and small error rates. This dissertation investigates the impact of data complexity and data scale—as encountered in ML settings—on the effectiveness and feasibility of QO on NISQ devices. We propose novel, hardware-aware methods to overcome these challenges. The first part of this thesis focuses on the effect of data complexity for QO. We analyze how problem structure—particularly when QUBO formulations are derived from ML tasks—affects quantum solvability. We identify the spectral gap as a key factor in the success of adiabatic quantum algorithms and provide a theoretical and empirical analysis linking data-induced complexity to optimization performance.To address noise sensitivity and limited precision, we introduce a preprocessing framework based on a principled Branch-and-Bound algorithm that reduces dynamic range while preserving global optima. This improves robustness on both quantum annealers and classical solvers. In the second part, the thesis addresses challenges introduced by data scale. First, we propose a recursive Divide-and-Conquer strategy that breaks down large QUBO problems into tractable subproblems, demonstrated through an application to Bundle Adjustment in 3D scene reconstruction. Second, we introduce a variable and constraint generation method inspired by column generation for Integer Linear Programming, enabling dynamic QUBO size growth. This technique is successfully applied to Multi-Agent Pathfinding, where it scales well on NISQ devices while maintaining compatibility with classical solvers. Finally, we explore QUBO reformulations that reduce problem size through compact encodings and cyclic expansion, enabling the use of quantum hardware for tasks such as FPGA placement in chip design. Across all contributions, the developed algorithms are evaluated both theoretically and empirically, with experiments conducted on real quantum and quantum-inspired hardware. These methods significantly improve solution quality, scalability, and hardware compatibility, paving the way for more effective use of QO in practical settings. While tailored for NISQ era constraints, the results remain relevant for fault-tolerant quantum computing, offering insights into the long-term viability of QO across hardware generations.