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International Telecommunications Conference (ITC-Egypt)

Unveiling the Threat: Quantum Factorization Techniques and Their Impact on RSA Cryptosystems

Hanan Khaled, Maha A. Metawei, Sherif M. Saif, Mohamed Taher, Salwa M. Nassar

Published Jul 28, 2025• 2 citations
Publisher

Abstract

The Rivest-Shamir-Adleman (RSA) cryptosystem plays a critical role in modern cybersecurity, relying on the complexity of factoring large biprime numbers, a task that is computationally hard for classical computers. However, the ongoing advancements in quantum computing pose significant risks to the RSA system, as quantum algorithms can solve the biprime factorization problem in a polynomial time. Among the most concerning quantum algorithms for RSA security are Shor's algorithm and the Variational Quantum Factoring (VQF) algorithm. This paper delves into the potential threats posed by these algorithms, offering a thorough examination of their implications. Additionally, it presents a comprehensive review of experimental efforts aimed at RSA factorization using quantum computing platforms. Moreover, The paper discusses the implications of ongoing advancements in quantum hardware on RSA cryptosystem. Therefore, we demonstrate strategic recommendations to help organizations transition to cryptographic systems resilient to quantum computing threats, ultimately enhancing their cybersecurity posture and safeguarding sensitive data from future quantum-enabled vulnerabilities.

DOI
10.1109/itc-egypt66095.2025.11186634

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The Rivest-Shamir-Adleman (RSA) cryptosystem plays a critical role in modern cybersecurity, relying on the complexity of factoring large biprime numbers, a task that is computationally hard for classical computers. However, the ongoing advancements in quantum computing pose significant risks to the RSA system, as quantum algorithms can solve the biprime factorization problem in a polynomial time. Among the most concerning quantum algorithms for RSA security are Shor's algorithm and the Variational Quantum Factoring (VQF) algorithm. This paper delves into the potential threats posed by these algorithms, offering a thorough examination of their implications. Additionally, it presents a comprehensive review of experimental efforts aimed at RSA factorization using quantum computing platforms. Moreover, The paper discusses the implications of ongoing advancements in quantum hardware on RSA cryptosystem. Therefore, we demonstrate strategic recommendations to help organizations transition to cryptographic systems resilient to quantum computing threats, ultimately enhancing their cybersecurity posture and safeguarding sensitive data from future quantum-enabled vulnerabilities.
The fast-evolving field of quantum computing provides a lot of computational advantages in its efficiency in solving problems, however, the emergence of quantum computing presents a double-edged sword for cybersecurity. This paper aims to examine the effects of quantum algorithms, specifically Shor’s algorithm, on the security of public-key cryptography, such as Rivest-Shamir-Adleman (RSA). An examination of the Shor’s algorithm showed its capability to solve discrete logarithm and factorization problems much faster than classical computers, undermining the foundational structure of modern-day cryptographic protocols. The implications of quantum search algorithms, such as Grover’s algorithm, have also been explored alongside their influence on symmetric-key cryptography and hash functions. Furthermore, this study investigates the potential vulnerabilities in digital signature schemes and key-exchange protocols, exposing the strengths and weaknesses of current cryptographic methods in the face of quantum algorithms and highlighting the urgent need for robust quantum-resistant alternatives. Approximately 70% of literature reviewed emphasizes the critical vulnerability of existing cryptographic schemes to quantum algorithms. In conclusion, the vulnerabilities exposed by quantum algorithms necessitate a rapid switch to Post-Quantum Cryptography (PCQ) to safeguard digital infrastructure. The development of quantum-resistant solutions is critical for ensuring long-term cryptographic security in the face of the impending risks posed by quantum algorithms.
The rapid advancement of quantum computing presents a significant challenge to classical cryptographic systems that underpin modern digital security infrastructures. In particular, RSA-2048 encryption, widely deployed in banking and financial institutions for secure transactions, relies on the computational hardness of integer factorization. However, the emergence of quantum algorithms—especially Shor’s algorithm—poses a fundamental threat to RSA security by enabling polynomial-time factorization of large integers on sufficiently powerful quantum computers. This case study investigates the vulnerability of RSA-2048 within a banking environment, analyzing the mathematical foundations of the threat, potential timelines for quantum feasibility, and associated cybersecurity risks. The study further examines the implications for financial data protection, digital signatures, and secure communication channels. In response to these emerging risks, the paper explores post-quantum cryptographic alternatives, including lattice-based, hash-based, and code-based schemes, and evaluates their suitability for banking applications. The findings emphasize the urgency of transitioning toward quantum-resistant cryptographic frameworks and propose strategic recommendations for proactive cryptographic migration to ensure long-term data confidentiality and system resilience.
The rapid advancement of quantum computing poses both transformative opportunities and profound challenges for modern cybersecurity and cryptography. Unlike classical computers, quantum systems leverage the principles of quantum mechanics-superposition, entanglement, and quantum tunneling-to process information in fundamentally new ways, enabling exponentially faster computation for certain problems. This paradigm shift threatens to render many of today's widely adopted cryptographic algorithms obsolete, particularly those relying on the hardness of integer factorization (e.g., RSA) and discrete logarithms (e.g., ECC and DSA). Quantum algorithms, such as Shor's algorithm, have the potential to break these cryptosystems in polynomial time, exposing sensitive data to unprecedented levels of vulnerability. Additionally, Grover's algorithm accelerates brute-force attacks on symmetric encryption schemes, reducing their effective security strength by half. This paper explores the implications of quantum computing on current cryptographic infrastructures, highlighting the urgency for transitioning to quantum-resistant or postquantum cryptographic algorithms. It examines emerging standards from bodies such as NIST, which are fostering the development and evaluation of lattice-based, codebased, multivariate polynomial, and hash-based cryptographic solutions. Furthermore, the study delves into the dual-edged nature of quantum computing in cybersecuritydiscussing its potential not only as a threat but also as a powerful tool for enhancing security through quantum key distribution (QKD), quantum random number generation, and other quantum-enhanced protocols. The work concludes by evaluating the readiness of current systems for the "quantum threat," identifying gaps in awareness, infrastructure, and policy, and proposing a strategic roadmap for a secure transition into the post-quantum era. As the quantum revolution accelerates, understanding and preparing for its cybersecurity ramifications is not merely a technical necessity but a cornerstone of global digital resilience.
In this world of massive communication networks, data security and confidentiality are of crucial importance for maintaining secured private communication and protecting information against eavesdropping attacks. Existing cryptosystems provide data security and confidentiality by the use of encryption and signature algorithms for secured communication. Classical computers use cryptographic algorithms that use the product of two large prime numbers for generating public and private keys. These classical algorithms are based on the fact that integer factorization is a non-deterministic polynomial-time (NP) problem and requires super-polynomial time making it impossible for large enough integers. Shor’s algorithm is a well-known algorithm for factoring large integers in polynomial time and takes only O(b3) time and O(b) space on b-bit number inputs. Shor’s algorithm poses a potential threat to the current security system with the ongoing advancements of Quantum computers. This paper discusses how Shor’s algorithm will be able to break integer factorization-based cryptographic algorithms, for example, Rivest–Shamir–Adleman (RSA) and Rabin Algorithms. As a proof of concept, experimental analysis of Quantum Shor’s algorithm on existing public-key cryptosystems using IBM Quantum Experience is performed for factorizing integers of moderate length (seven bits) due to limitations of thirty-two qubits in present IBM quantum computers. In a nutshell, this work will demonstrate how Shor’s algorithm poses threat to confidentiality and authentication services.
This paper investigates the potential impact of quantum computing on the security of currently deployed cryptographic algorithms. The core premise is that the advent of powerful quantum computers, leveraging algorithms like Shor's algorithm and Grover's algorithm, poses a significant threat to widely used public-key cryptosystems and symmetric-key algorithms. We present a theoretical analysis of several key algorithms – RSA, ECC, and AES – examining their vulnerabilities when subjected to quantum attacks. Specifically, we explore the exponential speedup offered by Shor's algorithm for factoring large numbers, the impact on the key size of ECC, and the Grover's algorithm's influence on symmetric key search. Our work highlights the urgency of transitioning to post-quantum cryptography standards to mitigate the risks posed by this technological advancement. The goal is to provide a comprehensive understanding of the landscape of quantum cryptanalysis and its implications for the future of secure communication.
Quantum computing is a transformational technology once implemented, capable of addressing problems far beyond the capacity of classical computers. But this progress is also a real challenge to the core of today's modern security. Traditional cryptographic algorithms, such as those based on RSA, ECC, and Diffie-Hellman key exchange, are based on the computational hardness of problems such as prime factorization and discrete logarithms that quantum algorithms solve in polynomial time. As a particular research interesting example, with Shor's Algorithm one can factorize large numbers efficiently, rendering insecure the majority of public key cryptosystems used nowadays. This urgently demands a reevaluation of existing encryption schemes in the context of a post-quantum world. In this paper, we take a closer look at the threats that quantum computers pose to classical security infrastructure including encryption scheme and explore the impact that quantum computation can have on current cryptographic schemes. It calculates the cost in terms of symmetric and asymmetric security, accounting for effects of both Shor's and Grover's algorithms. Symmetric key systems such as AES are also harder hit—Grover's algorithm can give only a quadratic speedup here—but they do need to double key sizes for a sufficient level of post-quantum security. In reaction to those threats, the paper investigates nextgeneration post-quantum cryptographic (PQC) solutions resistant to quantum cryptanalysis. Lattice-based cryptosystems, hash-based signature schemes, multivariate polynomial systems, and code-based cryptosystems are some of the candidates that are being considered in international standardization work, including especially at NIST. In this paper, we compare those alternatives for security, performance, scalability, and feasibility of implementation in real system. An important aspect of this contribution is a comparative study of traditional and post-quantum cryptographic protocols in the context of a number of cybersecurity applications, including secure communications, blockchain networks and IoT contexts. It also covers the quantum readiness timeline and transitional issues, such as backward compatibility, standardization lag and the associated increased computational overhead. Through a mitigated risk evaluation and cryptanalytic attack simulation based on quantum-inspired algorithms, this analysis emphasizes the need to prepare ourselves against quantum-induced security issues. It provides strategic guidance to organizations as they plan for the post-quantum future, stressing cryptographic agility, hybrid encryption models and real-time threat monitoring. Ultimately, the results of this work add to the worldwide conversation on establishing secure systems within the digital age of quantum computing and recommend proactive migration plans for the integrity, confidentiality, and trust one should have in the future cyber world.