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Science China Physics Mechanics and Astronomy

Quantum algorithms for uncertainty quantification: Applications to partial differential equations

François Golse, Shi Jin, Nana Liu

Published Aug 15, 2025• 1 citation
Publisher
DOI
10.1007/s11433-024-2705-7

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Most problems in uncertainty quantification, despite its ubiquitousness in scientific computing, applied mathematics and data science, remain formidable on a classical computer. For uncertainties that arise in partial differential equations (PDEs), large numbers M>>1 of samples are required to obtain accurate ensemble averages. This usually involves solving the PDE M times. In addition, to characterise the stochasticity in a PDE, the dimension L of the random input variables is high in most cases, and classical algorithms suffer from curse-of-dimensionality. We propose new quantum algorithms for PDEs with uncertain coefficients that are more efficient in M and L in various important regimes, compared to their classical counterparts. We introduce transformations that transfer the original d-dimensional equation (with uncertain coefficients) into d+L (for dissipative equations) or d+2L (for wave type equations) dimensional equations (with certain coefficients) in which the uncertainties appear only in the initial data. These transformations also allow one to superimpose the M different initial data, so the computational cost for the quantum algorithm to obtain the ensemble average from M different samples is then independent of M, while also showing potential advantage in d, L and precision in computing ensemble averaged solutions or physical observables.

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Most problems in uncertainty quantification, despite its ubiquitousness in scientific computing, applied mathematics and data science, remain formidable on a classical computer. For uncertainties that arise in partial differential equations (PDEs), large numbers M>>1 of samples are required to obtain accurate ensemble averages. This usually involves solving the PDE M times. In addition, to characterise the stochasticity in a PDE, the dimension L of the random input variables is high in most cases, and classical algorithms suffer from curse-of-dimensionality. We propose new quantum algorithms for PDEs with uncertain coefficients that are more efficient in M and L in various important regimes, compared to their classical counterparts. We introduce transformations that transfer the original d-dimensional equation (with uncertain coefficients) into d+L (for dissipative equations) or d+2L (for wave type equations) dimensional equations (with certain coefficients) in which the uncertainties appear only in the initial data. These transformations also allow one to superimpose the M different initial data, so the computational cost for the quantum algorithm to obtain the ensemble average from M different samples is then independent of M, while also showing potential advantage in d, L and precision in computing ensemble averaged solutions or physical observables.
We present an uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework for application level benchmarking and characterization of noisy quantum backends. The framework compares two workload classes under one statistical pipeline: noisy intermediate scale quantum (NISQ) variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) and Quantum Singular Value Transformation (QSVT) based Green's function reconstruction. For the VQA branch, we evaluate ten benchmark families spanning chemistry, optimization, simulation, compiling, linear solving, partial differential equations, metrology, error correction, tomography, and channel fidelity estimation. For the QSVT branch, we reconstruct orbital resolved Green's functions and spectral peaks from a block encoded real time propagator. The workflow combines Bayesian optimization, posterior distribution refinement, sensitivity analysis, robust parameter density estimation, backend ranking, noise correlation, and resource estimation analysis. Instead of reporting only one best parameter vector, the framework identifies robust parameter regions, residual gaps to ideal behavior, backend specific failure modes, and calibration sensitive uncertainty. The result is a common benchmark for variational and non-variational workloads that measures how reliably each backend reaches useful task level behavior.