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Future Generation Computer Systems

Quantum resource estimation for large scale quantum algorithms

Vlad Gheorghiu, Michele Mosca

Published Aug 12, 2024• 17 citations
Publisher

Abstract

Quantum algorithms are often represented in terms of quantum circuits operating on ideal (logical) qubits. However, the practical implementation of these algorithms poses significant challenges. Many quantum algorithms require a substantial number of logical qubits, and the inherent susceptibility to errors of quantum computers require quantum error correction. The integration of error correction introduces overhead in terms of both space (physical qubits required) and runtime (how long the algorithm needs to be run for). This paper addresses the complexity of comparing classical and quantum algorithms, primarily stemming from the additional quantum error correction overhead. We propose a comprehensive framework that facilitates a direct and meaningful comparison between classical and quantum algorithms. By acknowledging and addressing the challenges introduced by quantum error correction, our framework aims to provide a clearer understanding of the comparative performance of classical and quantum computing approaches. This work contributes to understanding the practical viability and potential advantages of quantum algorithms in real-world applications. We apply our framework to quantum cryptanalysis, since it is well known that quantum algorithms can break factoring and discrete logarithm based cryptography and weaken symmetric cryptography and hash functions. In order to estimate the real-world impact of these attacks, apart from tracking the development of fault-tolerant quantum computers it is important to have an estimate of the resources needed to implement these quantum attacks. This analysis provides state-of-the art snap-shot estimates of the realistic costs of implementing quantum attacks on these important cryptographic algorithms, assuming quantum fault-tolerance is achieved using surface code methods, and spanning a range of potential error rates. These estimates serve as a guide for gauging the realistic impact of these algorithms and for benchmarking the impact of future advances in quantum algorithms, circuit synthesis and optimization, fault-tolerance methods and physical error rates.

DOI
10.1016/j.future.2024.107480

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Quantum algorithms are often represented in terms of quantum circuits operating on ideal (logical) qubits. However, the practical implementation of these algorithms poses significant challenges. Many quantum algorithms require a substantial number of logical qubits, and the inherent susceptibility to errors of quantum computers require quantum error correction. The integration of error correction introduces overhead in terms of both space (physical qubits required) and runtime (how long the algorithm needs to be run for). This paper addresses the complexity of comparing classical and quantum algorithms, primarily stemming from the additional quantum error correction overhead. We propose a comprehensive framework that facilitates a direct and meaningful comparison between classical and quantum algorithms. By acknowledging and addressing the challenges introduced by quantum error correction, our framework aims to provide a clearer understanding of the comparative performance of classical and quantum computing approaches. This work contributes to understanding the practical viability and potential advantages of quantum algorithms in real-world applications. We apply our framework to quantum cryptanalysis, since it is well known that quantum algorithms can break factoring and discrete logarithm based cryptography and weaken symmetric cryptography and hash functions. In order to estimate the real-world impact of these attacks, apart from tracking the development of fault-tolerant quantum computers it is important to have an estimate of the resources needed to implement these quantum attacks. This analysis provides state-of-the art snap-shot estimates of the realistic costs of implementing quantum attacks on these important cryptographic algorithms, assuming quantum fault-tolerance is achieved using surface code methods, and spanning a range of potential error rates. These estimates serve as a guide for gauging the realistic impact of these algorithms and for benchmarking the impact of future advances in quantum algorithms, circuit synthesis and optimization, fault-tolerance methods and physical error rates.
It is widely recognized that quantum computing has profound impacts on multiple fields, including but not limited to cryptography, machine learning, materials science, and so on. To run quantum algorithms, it is essential to develop scalable quantum hardware with low noise levels and to design efficient fault-tolerant quantum computing (FTQC) schemes. Currently, various FTQC schemes have been developed for different hardware platforms. However, a comprehensive framework for the analysis and evaluation of these schemes is still lacking. In this work, we propose Quantum Logical Operations Per Second (QLOPS) as a metric for assessing the performance of FTQC schemes on quantum hardware platforms. This benchmarking framework will integrate essential relevant factors, e.g., the code rates of quantum error-correcting codes, the accuracy, throughput, and latency of the decoder. Through a resource analysis of factoring RSA-2048, we demonstrate that QLOPS reflects the practical requirements of quantum algorithm execution. This framework will enable the identification of bottlenecks in quantum hardware, providing potential directions for their development. Moreover, our results will help establish a comparative framework for evaluating FTQC designs. As this benchmarking approach considers practical applications, it may assist in estimating the hardware resources needed to implement quantum algorithms and offers preliminary insights into potential timelines.
Quantum computers have the potential to solve certain problems exponentially faster than classical computers. However, realizing this potential in practice is a major challenge, as it requires precise control over large-scale quantum systems operating at extremely low error rates. Quantum error correction (QEC) provides a path to achieving such error rates, but its substantial resource overhead poses a significant practical barrier. In addition, identifying which computational problems offer a provable quantum advantage—and which remain fundamentally intractable—remains an open question. This thesis presents progress towards addressing both of these challenges. The first part of this thesis describes advances that substantially reduce the resource overhead of QEC. We begin by presenting realizations of logical circuits in dynamically reconfigurable arrays of neutral atoms. By jointly decoding the logical qubits, we reduce the cost of implementing such transversal Clifford circuits by a factor proportional to the code distance. We then develop new theories of fault tolerance to extend these savings to universal quantum computation with magic state inputs. Finally, we introduce techniques for fast correlated decoding, enabling practical implementations of these improvements in experimental hardware. Collectively, these advances accelerate progress toward large-scale computation and reduce the cost of QEC by over an order of magnitude. The second part of the thesis explores the relative power of quantum and classical computation in combinatorial optimization, a class of problems that is ubiquitous in science and engineering and foundational to the theory of computational complexity. We experimentally implement the optimized quantum adiabatic algorithm (QAA) in neutral atom arrays and observe evidence of a superlinear speedup over classical simulated annealing on certain hard problem instances. To interpret these results, we develop a theoretical framework to compare the performance of QAA with a broad class of classical Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. We identify conditions under which a quantum quadratic speedup is achievable and propose modifications to the QAA to reliably realize this advantage. Together, these contributions advance both the practical implementation and theoretical understanding of quantum algorithms.
While quantum computers promise to solve classically intractable problems, identifying the point at which fault-tolerant quantum computation outperforms the best classical algorithms for practical applications remains an outstanding challenge. Here we establish a concrete quantum-classical crossover for quantum many-body dynamics under realistic hardware conditions. We introduce a scalable fault-tolerant framework that combines coherent observable estimation with a space-time-efficient implementation of non-Clifford rotations, suppressing the residual logical errors that limit existing partially fault-tolerant approaches. A benchmark against state-of-the-art tensor-network and variational Monte Carlo algorithms reveals a concrete crossover for mixed-field Ising dynamics at modest system sizes. For a physical error rate of p=10−3p=10^{-3}p=10−3, fault-tolerant simulation requires approximately 2 hours and 3.7×1053.7 \times 10^53.7×105 physical qubits for a 100-site 1D system, whereas tensor network approaches would require about 100 years. For 2D models, where rapid entanglement growth limits the classical evolution time, we project quantum runtimes within minutes. A physical error rate of p=10−4p=10^{-4}p=10−4 leads to at least an order of magnitude reduction in qubit count (3.1×1043.1 \times 10^43.1×104 physical qubits) and runtime (minutes for 1D and seconds for 2D). The reduction in quantum runtime arises from our improved rotation-state injection and co-design of quantum error correction and observable-estimation protocols, which jointly suppress logical-error accumulation and reduce sampling overhead. Our results establish a scalable route towards practical quantum advantage and identify quantitative engineering targets for future fault-tolerant architectures.
Fault-tolerant quantum computing is progressing from demonstrations of individual logical components toward the execution of useful quantum algorithms on large-scale error-corrected processors. Realizing this transition requires co-design across algorithms, fault-tolerant implementations, and hardware resources. Here we develop an algorithm-to-execution framework for low-cost surface-code quantum computing that carries the structure of a computation from hierarchical logical descriptions to circuit-specific spatial organization, non-Clifford resource planning, and physical resource evaluation. We apply the framework to twenty benchmark circuits spanning seven algorithm families and to a hierarchically reconstructed application-scale elliptic-curve discrete-logarithm workload. Under the stated error and resource-supply models, combining circuit-specific layouts with hybrid non-Clifford implementation reduces space--time volume by up to 12.70x relative to an all-synthesis Litinski fast-block baseline. Circuit-specific layouts reduce both modeled runtime and space--time volume in eighteen benchmarks, while the remaining two retain the fast layout. These results show that the physical cost of fault-tolerant computation emerges from the interaction between algorithm structure, error-corrected implementation, and hardware organization rather than from aggregate logical resource counts alone.
Quantum error correction (QEC) represents the cornerstone technology for realizing fault-tolerant quantum computing, addressing the fundamental challenge of quantum state decoherence in noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. This comprehensive review examines recent advances in QEC implementations from 2020-2024, spanning theoretical foundations to practical hardware demonstrations. We analyze the evolution from pioneering stabilizer codes to modern topological approaches, with particular emphasis on surface codes and low-density parity-check (LDPC) codes that have demonstrated below-threshold error correction in superconducting and trapped-ion systems. The paper provides a comparative analysis of classical and machine learning-based decoder algorithms, evaluating their performance through complexity analysis and threshold comparisons in real-time error correction scenarios. Through examination of breakthrough experiments by Google, IBM, Quantinuum, and emerging platforms, we assess the current state of fault-tolerant quantum computing and identify critical engineering challenges including correlated noise models, cryogenic control systems, and scalable logical gate implementations. Our quantitative analysis reveals that while significant progress has been made toward practical fault-tolerance thresholds, achieving the resource efficiency and reliability required for large-scale quantum computation remains challenging. We provide detailed resource estimates for key applications including Shor's algorithm and optimization problems, along with analysis of industry roadmaps toward thousand-logical-qubit systems. This review serves as a comprehensive guide for researchers and engineers working toward the next generation of fault-tolerant quantum computers, with particular focus on information-theoretic perspectives relevant to quantum information entropy and syndrome processing.
Quantum error correction (QEC) represents the cornerstone technology for realizing fault-tolerant quantum computing, addressing the fundamental challenge of quantum state decoherence in noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. This comprehensive review examines recent advances in QEC implementations from 2020-2024, spanning theoretical foundations to practical hardware demonstrations. We analyze the evolution from pioneering stabilizer codes to modern topological approaches, with particular emphasis on surface codes and low-density parity-check (LDPC) codes that have demonstrated below-threshold error correction in superconducting and trapped-ion systems. The paper provides a comparative analysis of classical and machine learning-based decoder algorithms, evaluating their performance through complexity analysis and threshold comparisons in real-time error correction scenarios. Through examination of breakthrough experiments by Google, IBM, Quantinuum, and emerging platforms, we assess the current state of fault-tolerant quantum computing and identify critical engineering challenges including correlated noise models, cryogenic control systems, and scalable logical gate implementations. Our quantitative analysis reveals that while significant progress has been made toward practical fault-tolerance thresholds, achieving the resource efficiency and reliability required for large-scale quantum computation remains challenging. We provide detailed resource estimates for key applications including Shor's algorithm and optimization problems, along with analysis of industry roadmaps toward thousand-logical-qubit systems. This review serves as a comprehensive guide for researchers and engineers working toward the next generation of fault-tolerant quantum computers, with particular focus on information-theoretic perspectives relevant to quantum information entropy and syndrome processing.