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European Symposium on Software Engineering (ESSE)

Using Quantum Monte Carlo Simulation to Price Complicated Derivatives In the Big Data Environment

Gen Chen, Lin Wang

Published Dec 1, 2023• 0 citations
Publisher

Abstract

Since the beginning of the 21st century, the scale and complexity of financial derivatives have increased significantly. Meanwhile, the pricing models of derivatives have become increasingly complex, and have involved larger-scale data, posing unprecedented challenges to algorithms and computing speed. Although classical computing can still solve the pricing problem of some complex derivatives by adopting the big data simulation algorithms, its speed has become more and more difficult to meet the needs of real-time computing. In recent years, the emerging quantum computing makes full use of the advantages of quantum superposition to improve the computing speed and accuracy. It has been proven to be an efficient computing mode in big data simulation. This paper takes the pricing of European options and defaultable bonds as examples to explore the application of Quantum Monte Carlo Simulation of complicated derivative pricing in big data. The innovative comprehensive method of pricing derivatives by Quantum Monte Carlo Simulation provides new development for the application of quantum computing in the pricing of complicated financial derivatives (taking defaultable bond as example) with big data simulation. In the case of defaultable bond pricing, the Quantum Amplitude Estimation has been employed to speed up the Monte Carlo Simulation and the price of it has been successfully obtained with at least the same accuracy, which demonstrates that the Quantum Monte Carlo Simulation is a prospective approach to price the complicated derivatives based on the big data since the quantum bits has dramatically increased.

DOI
10.1145/3651640.3651650

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Since the beginning of the 21st century, the scale and complexity of financial derivatives have increased significantly. Meanwhile, the pricing models of derivatives have become increasingly complex, and have involved larger-scale data, posing unprecedented challenges to algorithms and computing speed. Although classical computing can still solve the pricing problem of some complex derivatives by adopting the big data simulation algorithms, its speed has become more and more difficult to meet the needs of real-time computing. In recent years, the emerging quantum computing makes full use of the advantages of quantum superposition to improve the computing speed and accuracy. It has been proven to be an efficient computing mode in big data simulation. This paper takes the pricing of European options and defaultable bonds as examples to explore the application of Quantum Monte Carlo Simulation of complicated derivative pricing in big data. The innovative comprehensive method of pricing derivatives by Quantum Monte Carlo Simulation provides new development for the application of quantum computing in the pricing of complicated financial derivatives (taking defaultable bond as example) with big data simulation. In the case of defaultable bond pricing, the Quantum Amplitude Estimation has been employed to speed up the Monte Carlo Simulation and the price of it has been successfully obtained with at least the same accuracy, which demonstrates that the Quantum Monte Carlo Simulation is a prospective approach to price the complicated derivatives based on the big data since the quantum bits has dramatically increased.
Abstract Financial derivative pricing is a significant challenge in finance, involving the valuation of instruments like options based on underlying assets. While some cases have simple solutions, many require complex classical computational methods like Monte Carlo simulations and numerical techniques. However, as derivative complexities increase, these methods face limitations in computational power. Cases involving Non-Vanilla Basket pricing, American Options, and derivative portfolio risk analysis need extensive computations in higher-dimensional spaces, posing challenges for classical computers. Quantum computing presents a promising avenue by harnessing quantum superposition and entanglement, allowing the handling of high-dimensional spaces effectively. In this paper, we introduce a self-contained and all-encompassing quantum algorithm that operates without reliance on oracles or presumptions. More specifically, we develop an effective stochastic method for simulating exponentially many potential asset paths in quantum parallel, leading to a highly accurate final distribution of stock prices. Furthermore, we demonstrate how this algorithm can be extended to price more complex options and analyze risk within derivative portfolios.
As one of the major methods for the simulation of option pricing, Monte Carlo method assumes random fluctuations in the distribution of asset prices. Under certain uncertainties process, different evolution paths could be simulated so as to finally yield the expectation value of the asset price, which requires a lot of simulations to ensure the accuracy based on huge and expensive calculations. In order to solve the above computational problem, quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) has been established and applied in the relevant systems such as European call options. In this work, both MC and QM methods are adopted to simulate European call options. Based on the preparation of quantum states in QMC algorithm and the construction of quantum circuits by simulating a quantum hardware environment on a traditional computer, the amplitude estimation (AE) algorithm is found to play a secondary role in accelerating the pricing of European options. More importantly, the payoff function and the time required for the simulation in QMC method show some improvements than those in MC method.
Quantum computing is revolutionizing computational methods in finance by enhancing efficiency and accuracy in financial modeling and risk management. This review explores the impact of quantum computing in finance, focusing on derivative pricing, risk management, and portfolio optimization. It analyzes the benefits, limitations, and future implications of integrating quantum technologies with classical financial systems. A comprehensive review of quantum Monte Carlo methods, quantum algorithms, and their financial applications was conducted. Theoretical foundations, including Chebyshev’s inequality and Grover’s search method, were evaluated for their role in enhancing sampling efficiency and predictive accuracy. Empirical studies and use cases demonstrate the practical implications of quantum computing in pricing financial derivatives and managing risk through Value at Risk and Conditional Value at Risk assessments. The critical findings reveal that Quantum Monte Carlo algorithms provide substantial efficiency gains, reducing sample size requirements by up to fourfold compared to classical methods. Techniques employed in prior studies highlight the effectiveness of Quantum Amplitude Estimation for derivative pricing and risk analysis. However, challenges persist in scalability, data quality, integration with classical systems, and compliance with regulatory standards. This research contributes to the current body of knowledge by providing a comprehensive analysis of quantum algorithms’ practical applications in derivative pricing, risk management, and portfolio optimization, demonstrating the efficiency gains and limitations of quantum approaches. Future research should explore hybrid quantum–classical frameworks, quantum applications in blockchain, and enhanced quantum cryptography to ensure secure and efficient financial transactions.
Quantum computing has emerged as a revolutionary computational paradigm capable of solving complex optimization and probabilistic problems that are computationally expensive for classical computers. The financial industry, characterized by large-scale datasets, uncertainty, stochastic behavior, and multidimensional optimization challenges, is increasingly exploring quantum computing to enhance decision-making processes. This paper presents a comprehensive investigation into the applications of quantum computing in financial modeling, emphasizing portfolio optimization, derivative pricing, risk assessment, fraud detection, and algorithmic trading. Unlike conventional computational techniques that suffer from exponential complexity when processing high-dimensional financial data, quantum algorithms leverage superposition, entanglement, and quantum parallelism to improve computational efficiency and solution quality. The study discusses fundamental quantum computing concepts, analyzes existing financial modeling frameworks, and examines how quantum algorithms such as Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA), Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE), Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC), Grover’s Search Algorithm, and Quantum Machine Learning (QML) contribute to solving real-world financial problems. Furthermore, the paper reviews recent research developments, identifies implementation challenges associated with noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices, and highlights future opportunities for hybrid quantum-classical financial systems. The findings demonstrate that quantum computing has significant potential to transform computational finance by improving prediction accuracy, accelerating optimization tasks, and enabling scalable financial analytics for next-generation intelligent financial ecosystems.
Options are financial instruments whose payoffs are determined by the value of an underlying asset. These underlying assets are typically stocks, interest rates, or exchange rates, but can also include commodities such as energy or agricultural products. Options serve diverse purposes, including hedging against price volatility and speculating on market movements. Additionally, they play a critical role in assessing certain positions on the balance sheets of insurance companies, particularly in the context of solvency capital requirement calculations. As an option’s payoff lies in the future and is stochastic in nature, finding a fair price today is a non-trivial task. The focus of this work is finding quantum algorithms for calculating these prices and compare them to algorithms designed for classical computers. This work follows two different directions on how to improve on classical methods for option pricing. The first direction is improving on Monte-Carlo (MC) methods and the second one is adapting Fourier based pricing algorithms. The Amplitude Estimation (AE) algorithm promises a quadratic speedup compared to classical MC. This fact makes this algorithm an interesting candidate for improvements by quantum algorithms. It was shown in the literature, that simple options with very crude discretization of the underlying stochastic models, can be implemented on a quantum device and evaluated with AE. One big challenge is the efficient implementation of the option’s payoff profile. To solve this problem colleagues and I have introduced a multi-objective genetic algorithm to automatically find well performing and efficient circuits to implement the payoff of non-path-dependent European options on one or more underlyings. Another strategy for pricing options is based on the fact, that in many models the characteristic function of the underlying is numerically more tractable than its distribution function. There are methods that make use of this fact and the performance of the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) to efficiently calculate prices for European call options for many strikes in one go. The quantum version of the FFT, the Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT), is in some sense, even faster than its classical counterpart. We have adapted the existing classical method to make use of QFT, to benefit from its performance. Finally, the different strategies are benchmarked and compared regarding their accuracy, their potential for scaling and their adaptability to different styles of derivatives and models. The result of this comparison are requirements on the quantum hardware for the methods to be viable as well as use cases where each method has its benefits over the others.
The accurate valuation of financial derivatives plays a pivotal role in the finance industry. Although closed formulas for pricing are available for certain models and option types, exemplified by the European Call and Put options in the Black-Scholes Model, the use of either more complex models or more sophisticated options precludes the existence of such formulas, thereby requiring alternative approaches. The Monte Carlo simulation, an alternative approach effective in nearly all scenarios, has already been challenged by quantum computing techniques that leverage Amplitude Estimation. Despite its theoretical promise, this approach currently faces limitations due to the constraints of hardware in the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era. In this study, we introduce and analyze a quantum algorithm for pricing European call options across a broad spectrum of asset models. This method transforms a classical approach, which utilizes the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT), into a quantum algorithm, leveraging the efficiency of the Quantum Fourier Transform (QFT). Furthermore, we compare this novel algorithm with existing quantum algorithms for option pricing.