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Logica Universalis

Probability Logics for Reasoning About Quantum Observations

Angelina Ilić Stepić, Zoran Ognjanović, Aleksandar Perović

Published Apr 25, 2023• 2 citations
Publisher
DOI
10.1007/s11787-023-00326-y

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Most quantum logics do not allow for a reasonable calculus of conditional probability. However, those ones which do so provide a very general and rich mathematical structure, including classical probabilities, quantum mechanics, and Jordan algebras. This structure exhibits some similarities with Alfsen and Shultz's noncommutative spectral theory, but these two mathematical approaches are not identical. Barnum, Emerson, and Ududec adapted the concept of higher-order interference, introduced by Sorkin in 1994, into a general probabilistic framework. Their adaption is used here to reveal a close link between the existence of the Jordan product and the nonexistence of interference of third or higher order in those quantum logics which entail a reasonable calculus of conditional probability. The complete characterization of the Jordan algebraic structure requires the following three further postulates: a Hahn-Jordan decomposition property for the states, a polynomial functional calculus for the observables, and the positivity of the square of an observable. While classical probabilities are characterized by the absence of any kind of interference, the absence of interference of third (and higher) order thus characterizes a probability calculus which comes close to quantum mechanics but still includes the exceptional Jordan algebras.
Classical anthropic reasoning relies on a binary observer model that treats existence as a yes/no variable, generating persistent paradoxes in self-locating uncertainty, indexical probability, and observer-selection effects. This work introduces Qutrit Anthropics, a triadic framework that models the observer as an SU(3)-symmetric quantum-geometric entity embedded in the complex projective plane CP². Using the Fubini–Study metric, symplectic volume, and the algebraic structure of SU(3), the paper resolves classical paradoxes such as Sleeping Beauty, the Doomsday Argument, observer-moment duplication, and SIA inflation. The framework demonstrates that anthropic paradoxes arise from forcing binary logic onto a system whose natural geometry is triadic, curved, and compact. Qutrit Anthropics reframes observerhood as a bundle section over CP², establishing a unified quantum-geometric basis for probability, existence, and indexical reasoning.