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Existence of hidden variables having only upper probabilities
Patrick Suppes, Mario Zanotti
Abstract
Great attention has been given to the exact formulation of locality conditions in the existence of hidden variables for quantum mechanical configurations that do not satisfy Bell's inequalities. In contrast, almost no attention has been given to examining what happens if the requirements for a probability measure are relaxed. The purpose of this paper is to show that local hidden variables do exist if the requirement of a probability measure is weakened to that of having only an upper probability measure. In the past several decades, upper and lower measures have been brought into the theory of statistical inference and the measurement of beliefs rather extensively, but in almost all cases considered in statistical theory or the belief framework, it is assumed that a probability measure exists, or in many cases, that an entire family of probability measures is given such that the sup and inf of the family defines the upper and lower measures. Sometimes still more is required, namely, that the upper–lower measure be a capacity (in the sense of Choquet) of infinite order. This is, for example, true of Dempster's theory of statistical inference. For an extensive recent analysis of the various theories of imprecise statistical models or belief functions using upper and lower probabilities, Walley (1991) is an excellent reference. In contrast and as is well known, in standard quantum mechanical cases the Bell inequalities cannot be satisfied and this implies that there exists no probability measure.