We provide two simple counterexamples to Kalai's Conjecture C and discuss our perspective on the implications for the prospect of large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computation.
In this paper I revisit my 2006 conjecture on correlated errors in entangled physical qubits, originally proposed as a potential obstruction to quantum fault tolerance. The conjecture asserts that, in any physical implementation of a quantum computer, the effective noise channel acting on entangled physical qubits contains a joint fully depolarizing component, with a rate comparable to that of two-qubit gate errors. This hypothesized structural constraint goes beyond standard noise models and, if valid, would pose a significant challenge to scalable quantum fault tolerance.
The conjecture remains open, but recent advances in experimental quantum computing bring it within reach of empirical testing on current devices. I also discuss two related directions in my critical study of quantum computation: the role of noise sensitivity and computational complexity in noisy intermediate-scale quantum systems, and the statistical analysis of experimental claims of quantum advantage. Finally, since this paper is written for a volume honoring Yuri Gurevich, I include some reflections on the ways in which my scientific and personal trajectory became intertwined with Yuri's.
More than ten years ago the author described a parameter K(ρ) for the complexity of n-qubit quantum state ρ and raised the conjecture (referred to as "Conjecture C") that when this parameter is superpolynomial in n, the state ρ is not experimentally feasible (and will not be experimentally achieved without quantum fault-tolerance). Shortly afterward [6] (arXiv:1204.3404), Steve Flammia and Aram Harrow claimed that the simple easy-to-construct W states are counterexamples to "Conjecture C." We point out that Flammia and Harrow's argument regarding W-states is incomplete. Moreover, the emergent picture from experimental progress of the past decade on noisy intermediate scale quantum (NISQ) computers suggests that W-states, as simple as they appear, cannot be achieved experimentally by NISQ computers, and can not be constructed without quantum fault-tolerance.