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Springer eBooks

Popper’s Analysis of Probability in Quantum Mechanics

Patrick Suppes

Published Jan 1, 1993• 4 citations
Publisher
DOI
10.1007/978-94-017-2300-8_22

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INTRODUCTION In his essay ‘Quantum Mechanics Without “the Observer”’ (in [20], 7–44), Popper criticizes the Copenhagen Interpretation and suggests construing the quantum theory as a ‘generalization of classical statistical mechanics’ ([20], 16). The uncertainty relations, he says, set ‘limits to the statistical dispersion … of the results of sequences of experiments’ ([20], 20) and not to what can be said about individual systems. Some strange features of orthodox microphysics are due either to a misinterpretation of probability, involving some ‘very simple mistakes’ ([20], 42); or else they are a straightforward consequence of the fact that the quantum theory is a statistical theory. For example, ‘the reduction of the wave packet … has nothing to do with quantum theory: it is a trivial feature of probability theory’ ([20], 37). The idea of probability that is presupposed in all these arguments, however, is Popper's propensity interpretation. Adopting this interpretation suffices for making clear what the quantum theory really is: a ‘generalization of classical statistical mechanics’ ([20], 16). This is Popper's position as I understand it. This position, it seems to me, is attractive enough as long as one does not carry the analysis too far. But it breaks down when confronted with all the facts which Bohr wanted to take into account. Altogether Popper's criticism and his alternative proposals once more reveal the strong points of the Copenhagen philosophy, and especially of the ideas of Niels Bohr. Today it is very difficult to find a satisfactory account of these ideas.

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INTRODUCTION In his essay ‘Quantum Mechanics Without “the Observer”’ (in [20], 7–44), Popper criticizes the Copenhagen Interpretation and suggests construing the quantum theory as a ‘generalization of classical statistical mechanics’ ([20], 16). The uncertainty relations, he says, set ‘limits to the statistical dispersion … of the results of sequences of experiments’ ([20], 20) and not to what can be said about individual systems. Some strange features of orthodox microphysics are due either to a misinterpretation of probability, involving some ‘very simple mistakes’ ([20], 42); or else they are a straightforward consequence of the fact that the quantum theory is a statistical theory. For example, ‘the reduction of the wave packet … has nothing to do with quantum theory: it is a trivial feature of probability theory’ ([20], 37). The idea of probability that is presupposed in all these arguments, however, is Popper's propensity interpretation. Adopting this interpretation suffices for making clear what the quantum theory really is: a ‘generalization of classical statistical mechanics’ ([20], 16). This is Popper's position as I understand it. This position, it seems to me, is attractive enough as long as one does not carry the analysis too far. But it breaks down when confronted with all the facts which Bohr wanted to take into account. Altogether Popper's criticism and his alternative proposals once more reveal the strong points of the Copenhagen philosophy, and especially of the ideas of Niels Bohr. Today it is very difficult to find a satisfactory account of these ideas.
Popper wrote extensively on the quantum theory. In Logic der Forschung (LSD) he devoted a whole chapter to the topic, while the whole of Volume 3 of the Postscript to the Logic of Scientific Discovery is devoted to the quantum theory. This volume entitled Quantum Theory and the Schism in Physics (QTSP) incorporated a famous earlier essay, ‘Quantum Mechanics without “the Observer”’ (QM). In addition Popper's development of the propensity interpretation of probability was much influenced by his views on the role of probability in quantum theory, and he also wrote an insightful critique of the 1936 paper of Birkhoff and von Neumann on nondistributive quantum logic (BNIQM).
Popper wrote extensively on the quantum theory. In Logic der Forschung (LSD) he devoted a whole chapter to the topic, while the whole of Volume 3 of the Postscript to the Logic of Scientific Discovery is devoted to the quantum theory. This volume entitled Quantum Theory and the Schism in Physics ( QTSP ) incorporated a famous earlier essay, ‘Quantum Mechanics without “the Observer”’ (QM). In addition Popper’s development of the propensity interpretation of probability was much influenced by his views on the role of probability in quantum theory, and he also wrote an insightful critique of the 1936 paper of Birkhoff and von Neumann on nondistributive quantum logic 1 (BNIQM).