Is Quantum Mechanics a New Theory of Probability?
Richard Healey
Abstract Some physicists but many philosophers believe that standard Hilbert space quantum mechanics faces a serious measurement problem, whose solution requires a new theory or at least a novel interpretation of standard quantum mechanics. Itamar Pitowsky did not. Instead, he argued in a major essay (Pitowsky 2006) that quantum mechanics offers a new theory of probability. In these and other respects, his views paralleled those of QBists (quantum Bayesians): but their views on the objectivity of measurement outcomes diverged radically. Indeed, Itamar’s view of quantum probability depended on his subtle treatment of the objectivity of outcomes as events whose collective structure underlay this new theory of probability. His thesis is puzzling—that quantum mechanics requires a new theory of probability, as distinct from new ways of calculating probabilities that play the same role as other probabilities in physics and daily life. This essay articulates sources of puzzlement.
•Jan 25, 2026•0 citations