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Winter Simulation Conference

On the error distribution for randomly-shifted lattice rules

Pierre L’Ecuyer, Bruno Tuffin

Published Dec 13, 2009• 2 citations
Publisher

Abstract

Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods estimate the expectation of a random variable by the average of n dependent realizations of it. In general, due to the strong dependence, the estimation error may not obey a central limit theorem. Analysis of RQMC methods have so far focused mostly on the convergence rates of asymptotic worst-case error bounds and variance bounds, when n → ∞, but little is known about the limiting distribution of the error. Here we examine this limiting distribution for the special case of a randomly-shifted lattice rule, when the integrand is smooth. We start with simple one-dimensional functions, where we show that the limiting distribution is uniform over a bounded interval if the integrand is non-periodic, and has a square root form over a bounded interval if the integrand is periodic. In higher dimensions, for linear functions, the distribution function of the properly standardized error converges to a spline of degree equal to the dimension.

DOI
10.5555/1995456.1995521

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Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods estimate the expectation of a random variable by the average of n dependent realizations of it. In general, due to the strong dependence, the estimation error may not obey a central limit theorem. Analysis of RQMC methods have so far focused mostly on the convergence rates of asymptotic worst-case error bounds and variance bounds, when n → ∞, but little is known about the limiting distribution of the error. Here we examine this limiting distribution for the special case of a randomly-shifted lattice rule, when the integrand is smooth. We start with simple one-dimensional functions, where we show that the limiting distribution is uniform over a bounded interval if the integrand is non-periodic, and has a square root form over a bounded interval if the integrand is periodic. In higher dimensions, for linear functions, the distribution function of the properly standardized error converges to a spline of degree equal to the dimension.
Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods estimate the expectation of a random variable by the average of n dependent realizations of it. In general, due to the strong dependence, the estimation error may not obey a central limit theorem. Analysis of RQMC methods have so far focused mostly on the convergence rates of asymptotic worst-case error bounds and variance bounds, when n ¿ ¿, but little is known about the limiting distribution of the error. Here we examine this limiting distribution for the special case of a randomly-shifted lattice rule, when the integrand is smooth. We start with simple one-dimensional functions, where we show that the limiting distribution is uniform over a bounded interval if the integrand is non-periodic, and has a square root form over a bounded interval if the integrand is periodic. In higher dimensions, for linear functions, the distribution function of the properly standardized error converges to a spline of degree equal to the dimension.
This short article studies a deterministic quasi-Monte Carlo lattice rule in weighted unanchored Sobolev spaces of smoothness 1 . Building on the error analysis by Kazashi and Sloan, we prove the existence of unshifted rank-1 lattice rules that achieve a worst-case error of O ( n − 1 / 4 ( log n ) 1 / 2 ) , with the implied constant independent of the dimension, under certain summability conditions on the weights. Although this convergence rate is inferior to the one achievable for the shifted-averaged root mean squared worst-case error, the result does not rely on random shifting or transformation and holds unconditionally without any conjecture, in contrast to the result of Kazashi and Sloan.
This paper studies the convergence rate of randomized quasi--Monte Carlo (RQMC) for discontinuous functions, which are often of infinite variation in the sense of Hardy and Krause. It was previously known that the root mean square error (RMSE) of RQMC is only o(n−1/2)o(n^{-1/2})o(n−1/2) for discontinuous functions. For certain discontinuous functions in ddd dimensions, we prove that the RMSE of RQMC is O(n−1/2−1/(4d−2)+ϵ)O(n^{-1/2-1/(4d-2)+\epsilon})O(n−1/2−1/(4d−2)+ϵ) for any ϵ>0\epsilon>0ϵ>0 and arbitrary nnn. If some discontinuity boundaries are parallel to some coordinate axes, the rate can be improved to O(n−1/2−1/(4du−2)+ϵ)O(n^{-1/2-1/(4d_u-2)+\epsilon})O(n−1/2−1/(4du​−2)+ϵ), where dud_udu​ denotes the so-called irregular dimension, that is, the number of axes which are not parallel to the discontinuity boundaries. Moreover, this paper shows that the RMSE is O(n−1/2−1/(2d))O(n^{-1/2-1/(2d)})O(n−1/2−1/(2d)) for certain indicator functions.
We study a random sampling technique to approximate integrals ∫[0, 1]s f(x) dx by averaging the function at some sampling points. We focus on cases where the integrand is smooth, which is a problem which occurs in statistics. The convergence rate of the approximation error depends on the smoothness of the function f and the sampling technique. For instance, Monte Carlo (MC) sampling yields a convergence of the root mean square error (RMSE) of order N−1/2 (where N is the number of samples) for functions f with finite variance. Randomized QMC (RQMC), a combination of MC and quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC), achieves a RMSE of order N−3/2+ε under the stronger assumption that the integrand has bounded variation. A combination of RQMC with local antithetic sampling achieves a convergence of the RMSE of order N−3/2−1/s+ε (where s ≥ 1 is the dimension) for functions with mixed partial derivatives up to order two. Additional smoothness of the integrand does not improve the rate of convergence of these algorithms in general. On the other hand, it is known that without additional smoothness of the integrand it is not possible to improve the convergence rate. This paper introduces a new RQMC algorithm, for which we prove that it achieves a convergence of the root mean square error (RMSE) of order N−α−1/2+ε provided the integrand satisfies the strong assumption that it has square integrable partial mixed derivatives up to order α > 1 in each variable. Known lower bounds on the RMSE show that this rate of convergence cannot be improved in general for integrands with this smoothness. We provide numerical examples for which the RMSE converges approximately with order N−5/2 and N−7/2, in accordance with the theoretical upper bound.
We study the convergence rate of randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods for integrands with different smoothness. The Koksma--Hlawka inequality fails to be informative for certain L2L^2L2 singular integrands. We provide convergence results based on spectral analysis.
We survey basic ideas and results on randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods, discuss their practical aspects, and give numerical illustrations. RQMC can improve accuracy compared with standard Monte Carlo (MC) when estimating an integral interpreted as a mathematical expectation. RQMC estimators are unbiased and their variance converges at a faster rate (under certain conditions) than MC estimators, as a function of the sample size. Variants of RQMC also work for the simulation of Markov chains, for function approximation and optimization, for solving partial differential equations, etc. In this introductory survey, we look at how RQMC point sets and sequences are constructed, how we measure their uniformity, why they can work for high-dimensional integrals, and how can they work when simulating Markov chains over a large number of steps.